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In The Long Run, Stocks Outperform Bonds… Or Do They?

Nerd's Eye View

Sometimes Yes, Sometimes No," reached back even further to 1793 and expanded the data set to include 3–5X more stocks and 5–10X more bonds. Meanwhile, McQuarrie also found that stock-bond correlations have also been "highly variable over 20-year intervals, ranging all the way from about −0.70

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At the Money: How To Know When The Fed Will Cut

The Big Picture

You got to move up the risk curve to stocks and you’ve got to, you know, try and get some kind of a reward from it. Well, in 2024, now money market fund is yielding 5. And especially if we wanted to stick with a money market fund and virtually no market risk, cause it has an NAV of 1 $ every day.

Numbers 277
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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • Jerome Powell’s Inflation Whisperer: Paul Volcker Aiming to reduce inflation even at the risk of recession, the Fed Chairman draws on a 1980s playbook. ‘We He co-founded 5 companies; was President of del.icio.us The Overshoot ). Of Dollars And Data ). • Bloomberg ). • Bloomberg ). •

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At the Money: How to Pay Less Capital Gains Taxes

The Big Picture

On this episode of At the Money, we look at direct indexing as a way to manage capital gains taxes. . ~~~ About this week’s guest: Ari Rosenbaum serves as the Director of Private Wealth Solutions at O’Shaughnessy Asset Management , now part of investing giant Franklin Templeton. Savvy investors understand this. Equity returns.

Taxes 236
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Soft Landing RIP

The Big Picture

Q2 earnings have disappointed, but at least so far seem to be in line with modestly reduced expectations. For the first half of this year, I have steadfastly refused to join Club Recessionista. A soft landing is now officially RIP. Here are five of those questions: 1. Will the economic slowdown continue into 2023?

Economy 343
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Saturday links: suppressed complaints

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Transport Five ways the U.S. biopharmadive.com) How statins can reduce cardiovascular risk for patients with HIV. npr.org) Teenagers love their energy drinks way too much. Tesla Tesla ($TSLA) has long tried to suppress complaints about vehicle range. charging network. car buying experience has changed.

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The Problem with 60/40

Discipline Funds

I quantify the bond market as a 5 year instrument. This isn’t a post about how the 60/40 portfolio is “dead” We talked about how that was nonsense last year and a 60/40 portfolio was up 20% last year right when everyone was declaring it dead. The GFAP is presently about 45% stocks and 55% bonds. This comes out to a 12.2