The Big Picture
JULY 7, 2024
@TBPInvictus here If you’re tired of California-minimum-wage-and-its-impact-on-limited-service-restaurant-employment stories, I understand. Leave this page immediately. I’m tired of it, too, but some stories are so factually challenged that they demand a response. So, allow me to address a hot mess of a story that appeared recently in the California Globe.
Abnormal Returns
JULY 14, 2024
Top clicks this week How the rise of automated investing has changed the stock market. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why Bill Ackman spends so much time on Twitter. (sherwood.news) The CAPM doesn't work. Maybe this measure does. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Why young men around the world are breaking hard to the right. (politico.com) Today's constructive CPI report rang a bell for financial markets.
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A Wealth of Common Sense
JULY 21, 2024
Hendrik Bessimbinder has produced some of my favorite stock market research. Bessimbinder discovered that four out of every seven stocks in the U.S. have underperformed cash (one-month T-bills) since 1926. And just 4% of companies accounted for all the wealth gains for the entire stock market in that time. The stock market runs on power laws over the long run.
Carson Wealth
JULY 3, 2024
Running a small business involves juggling multiple responsibilities. Managing the business’s finances is one of the most crucial aspects. Proper financial management can be the difference between a thriving business and one that struggles to stay afloat. Here are eight essential financial tips for small business owners to help ensure long-term success. 1.
Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global
In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!
Calculated Risk
JULY 8, 2024
Here is another monthly update on lumber prices. SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023. I switched to a physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022. Unfortunately, this impacts long term price comparisons since the new contract was priced about 24% higher than the old random length contract for the period when both contracts were available.
Financial Advisor Source brings together the best content for financial advisor professionals from the widest variety of industry thought leaders.
Alpha Architect
JULY 19, 2024
The amortization of volatility should be of concern for private capital asset classes. In order to properly budget for beta risks, it is critical that investors in private assets understand the amount of systemic (beta) risk that will “wash” into their private portfolios. The Impact of Amortizing Volatility across Private Investments was originally published at Alpha Architect.
Abnormal Returns
JULY 23, 2024
Markets Small caps have, relative to large caps, seen a lost decade. (ft.com) Joe Wiggins, "Everything within us and around us seems designed to interrupt the positive force of compounding." (behaviouralinvestment.com) Crypto What you need to know about the new spot Ethereum ETFs. (theblock.co) The players in the spot Ethereum space look familiar. (blockworks.co) What happens when you at Ethererum to a 60/40 portfolio.
A Wealth of Common Sense
JULY 14, 2024
Here’s a scenario I was presented with recently: Five years ago, a relatively conservative investor was sitting on some cash and seeking a more balanced portfolio. To keep things simple, this investor split the difference between stocks and bonds by allocating 50% to equities and 50% to fixed income. Five years later there is a clear winner in terms of performance within this 50/50 portfolio: You basically doubled.
Carson Wealth
JULY 25, 2024
Owning a business can be like parenting. You’ve likely experienced many sleepless nights and spent a countless amount of energy on your “baby.” Like parenting, being a business owner can be an enriching journey and make life worth the trip. To protect your business, you need the right mix of insurance. From the relationships that make your business run to the building it’s housed in, insurance can help prevent devastating financial losses or legal consequences.
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As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.
Calculated Risk
JULY 26, 2024
Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through June 2024. CPI Shelter was up 5.1% year-over-year in June, down from 5.4% in May, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 5.3% YoY in June , down from 5.5% in May, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.
Wealth Management
JULY 16, 2024
Some 64% of advisory firms have no plans to develop or use client-facing artificial intelligence, yet 46% said it was a chief compliance concern, according to the ACA Group's latest survey.
Advisor Perspectives
JULY 12, 2024
Wholesale inflation unexpectedly rose last month. The producer price index for final demand increased 0.2% month-over-month (s.a.). On an annual basis, headline PPI accelerated from 2.4% in May to 2.6% in June.
Abnormal Returns
JULY 7, 2024
Top clicks this week How major asset classes performed in June 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Just how useful is historical financial markets data? (retirementresearcher.com) Don't forget, stocks are real assets. (downtownjoshbrown.com) Europe's stock market has badly lagged the U.S. How much longer can it last? (awealthofcommonsense.com) Beware small sample sizes.
Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor
During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.
A Wealth of Common Sense
JULY 7, 2024
I’ve been writing about the housing market for years now. It fascinates me to no end because housing is one of the most important decisions from a personal and financial perspective. In recent years, much of my focus has been on how broken the residential housing market is. Higher prices and mortgage rates have driven housing affordability to levels we’ve never seen before in the United States.
Mr. Money Mustache
JULY 23, 2024
– “I used to read Mr. Money Mustache” , some people say these days, “Until he got all rich and fancy so that he no longer understands the common person’s plight. Stash probably doesn’t even practice any of these money-saving things he preaches any more!” When I read things like this, I can’t help but laugh. Because on the one hand, when you put a bunch of personal life details online like this, being misunderstood is just part of the package.
Calculated Risk
JULY 12, 2024
The BLS reported yesterday: The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 3.3 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 308.163 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index increased 0.1 percent prior to seasonal adjustment. CPI-W is the index that is used to calculate the Cost-Of-Living Adjustments (COLA).
Wealth Management
JULY 16, 2024
BlackRock’s plans to leverage its recent acquisition of Preqin to build private market ETFs have drawn skeptics, reports the Financial Times. Fortune profiled nine executives in the burgeoning private credit arena. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.
Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC
In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.
Advisor Perspectives
JULY 20, 2024
American Express Co. warned it’s planning to increase spending on marketing in the coming months after billings growth on the payments giant’s credit cards slowed in the second quarter.
Abnormal Returns
JULY 6, 2024
Autos How 'electric trees' could allow for charging on city streets. (thecooldown.com) Where an EV saves you money, by state. (axios.com) Why choose a self-driving taxi? (fastcompany.com) Energy Clean energy is being transported over even longer distances. (wsj.com) What's the ideal temperature to set your AC? (vox.com) Solar panels need regular maintenance.
A Wealth of Common Sense
JULY 16, 2024
There aren’t all that many millionaires in the world. People with wealth in excess of $1 million make up just 1.5% of the world’s population. Yet this group controls nearly half of the world’s wealth (around $214 trillion in total). There are even fewer billionaires — a little less than 2,700 worldwide or a number that rounds down to 0% of the global population.
Indigo Marketing Agency
JULY 23, 2024
If I went to your website right now, would it pass the 5-second test? Would I be able to immediately discern: Who you are? What you do? Who you do it for? And most importantly—why someone should choose you? Then, would I know what they should do next after visiting ? When envisioning your firm’s next website, it’s easy to articulate its purpose and desired ambiance.
Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker
If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!
Calculated Risk
JULY 10, 2024
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending July 5, 2024. Last week’s results included an adjustment for the July 4th holiday. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.
Wealth Management
JULY 5, 2024
On the Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity website, advisors and clients can search for the ROI of individual programs offered by private and state colleges and universities.
Advisor Perspectives
JULY 18, 2024
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) decreased in June to its lowest level since April 2020. The index fell 0.2% from the previous month to 101.1, its smallest monthly decline in the past four months.
Abnormal Returns
JULY 16, 2024
Rates Widening deficits don't seem to be putting a crimp on Treasury funding. (wsj.com) What an inverted yield curve (still) says about the odds of a recession. (econbrowser.com) Real estate Striking out on your own these days is expensive. (housingwire.com) Evictions are on the rise in a lot of localities. (wsj.com) Economy National homebuilder confidence is soft.
Speaker: Lynnette Khalfani-Cox, The Money Coach®
Niche markets represent a huge opportunity for the financial services industry in America. From college students and women to communities of color and low-to-moderate-income households, niche populations have specialized financial needs – but they often underutilize many valuable financial products and services. How can you better connect with these consumers?
A Wealth of Common Sense
JULY 12, 2024
Charley Ellis wrote a great book about the index fund revolution back in 2016. One of my favorite parts of the book is where Ellis looks at how Wall Street has changed in the past 50 years: MBAs were uncommon. PhDs were never seen. Commissions still averaged 40 cents a share. All trading was paper based. Messengers with huge black boxes on wheels, filled with stock and bond certificates, scurried from broker to broker tr.
Alpha Architect
JULY 22, 2024
We propose a novel framework for analyzing linear asset pricing models: simple, robust, and applicable to high-dimensional problems. Using Bayesian Solutions to Resolve the Factor Zoo was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.
Calculated Risk
JULY 2, 2024
Today, in the Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year Brief excerpt: Tracking rents is important for understanding the dynamics of the housing market. For example, the sharp increase in rents helped me deduce that there was a surge in household formation in 2021 (See from September 2021: Household Formation Drives Housing Demand ).
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