August, 2024

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Catastrophizing Debt

The Big Picture

I’m deep in my book writing work discussing federal debt when I see a tweet that simply epitomizes the entire genre. Full disclosure: My priors on federal debt are that I don’t know where the line of too much should be drawn, but I do know that none of the terrible things we were warned about over the past 50 years due to excess debt have come to pass.

Economy 347
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Saturday links: moving more

Abnormal Returns

Autos Why Americans are snapping up small cars. (axios.com) The U.S. has higher alcohol limits for drivers than other countries. (nytimes.com) How to get drivers to put down their phones. (arstechnica.com) Lighter, stronger steel would make for more efficient cars. (knowablemagazine.org) The story of Porsche. (quartr.com) Transport Air cargo rates across the Pacific are on the rise.

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Fed Confronts Up to a Million US Jobs Vanishing in Revision

Advisor Perspectives

US job growth in the year through March was likely far less robust than initially estimated, which risks fueling concerns that the Federal Reserve is falling further behind the curve to lower interest rates.

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Millennials Are Becoming Boomers

A Wealth of Common Sense

After the Great Financial Crisis, everyone was trying to figure out how it would impact the coming wave of millennials entering adulthood. Millennials were getting blamed for killing everything — napkins, diamond rings, chain restaurants, motorcycles, bar soap and more. Sure, whatever. The one that never made sense to me was all the pundits predicting millennials would never buy a home or move out of big cities.

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If It Aint Broke, Don’t Fix It: A Dangerous Mindset

Time and time again we tell ourselves and others NOT take action on something that is not "broken." We apply that mindset at home and at work. Sometimes, it doesn’t work out so well. Because when it's truly broken, it's usually an emergency, costs more and causes stress. Join us in this webinar where we share ways where you are able to anticipate your needs, understand benefits that you will get from getting better now instead of later, and relieving your team of tasks that they don't need to be

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Yes, Social Security Is Taxable – But Yours Doesn’t Have to Be

Carson Wealth

As you move toward retirement, you can’t be content just to accumulate assets. You need to develop a retirement income plan that can help guide you when it comes time to turn savings into sustainable retirement income. The real challenge of retirement income planning is that you need to generate income for an uncertain period of time — because no one knows how long they’ll live in retirement.

More Trending

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911 EV Is Complete!

The Big Picture

Our story so far : Stuck at home over the pandemic, it was a perfect time to revisit a pastime of my youth – buying cheap beater cars, and turning them into something fun and worthwhile. Only this time, I have a lifetime of experience with what does and doesn’t work well, along with a somewhat more generous budget. All of this got restarted about a decade ago; I was personalizing a 2013 flood salvage-title Rubicon ; it reminded me how much fun it was to do these little projects.

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Monday links: building wealth over time

Abnormal Returns

Markets There is big difference between politics and policies when it comes to investing. (optimisticallie.com) 20 pandemic darlings that have yet to rebound. (investmenttalk.co) Companies Couche-Tard seeks to buy US$31 billion owner of 7-Eleven stores (bnnbloomberg.ca) Why Carl Icahn and Icahn Enterprises ($IEP) just settled with the SEC. (ft.com) How the cannabis landscape is changing.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 6.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Applications Survey for the week ending August 2, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 6.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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This is Normal

A Wealth of Common Sense

Boy that escalated quickly. Markets sold off in a hurry this week. The S&P 500 is down almost 6% from the recent highs. The Nasdaq 100 is in an 11% drawdown. After an extremely calm year, the past week or so has finally seen some volatility in the stock market. Here’s the thing — it’s what happened before this that was not normal: This really cool chart came out a couple of weeks ago (via Sherwood).

Marketing 142
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4 Things Great Companies Do to Improve Cash Flow

Speaker: Don Gallianza, Credit Manager at Chevron Phillips Chemical and Indy Chakrabarti, Chief Marketing Officer at HighRadius

4 Case Studies to Optimize DSO 26 Days Sales Outstanding. Already better than most. But, should you improve on that? Why would 3 fewer days even matter? It matters because it fundamentally transforms business outcomes. Join this webinar to explore 4 things companies do to reclaim hard dollars - not just soft costs - and go from good to great! What You'll Learn 6 operational KPIs every AR manager should track: Define and track these metrics to enhance performance, drive efficiency, and make infor

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Market Commentary: Risks Increase, But Don’t Overreact to the Turbulence

Carson Wealth

Houston, We Have Turbulence The S&P 500 fell 2.0% last week, declining for the third consecutive week, but unlike the past few weeks, this time the selling was across the board. Economic data last week showed the economy slowing more than expected, adding to worries about a potential recession. We still think a recession can be avoided, but risks have increased.

Marketing 141
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Inflation Since 1872: A Long-Term Look at the CPI

Advisor Perspectives

The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released for July puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.89%. The latest reading keeps inflation below the 3.74% average since the end of the Second World War for the 14th straight month. However, inflation remains above the 10-year moving average which is now at 2.83%.

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Advisors Tell Clients to ‘Buy the Dip’

Wealth Management

Financial advisors view the market correction as a normal course of events and a good buying opportunity. “Market volatility is my best friend,” one advisor said. “This is an opportunity to show clients why they pay us a fee, to navigate difficult times with a rock steady approach.

Clients 124
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site When it comes to finances, you are on your own. No one is coming to save you. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week Callie Cox, "Your portfolio’s success depends on your behavior during the wild panics." (optimisticallie.com) Big up and down days in the stock market tend to cluster. (downtownjoshbrown.com) There is nothing normal about the distribution of angel investment returns.

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Pricing for Profit: How to Set, Negotiate, and Succeed

Speaker: Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader

In today’s competitive market, pricing is more than just a number — it’s the cornerstone of profitability. The right pricing strategy ensures that you capture the true value of your offering, paving the way for sustainable growth and long-term success. Join Igli Laci, Strategic Finance Leader, in this exclusive session where he will explore how a well-crafted pricing approach balances customer perception with business objectives, creating a powerful tool for securing both competitive advantage a

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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 8% in July

Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Expands Another 8% in July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 7.9% in July to 216.3 (2000=100) from the revised June reading of 200.5. Over the month, commercial planning increased 6.8% and institutional planning expanded 11.1%. “While data centers have had an outsized influence on nonresidential planning activity in recent months, more momentum is building across many other major sectors and diversifyin

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15 Ways to Lose Money in the Markets

A Wealth of Common Sense

There’s plenty of investment advice out there based on what one must do to be successful. You don’t see many people who take the opposite approach and talk about what you shouldn’t do. There are many ways to succeed as an investor but only a few avenues to failure. Here are some surefire ways to make poor investment decisions: 1. Pretend you’re smarter than the market.

Marketing 137
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Three Things – Weekend Reading

Discipline Funds

Here are three things I think I am thinking about this weekend: 1) Three Terrible Ideas That Won’t Die. The Great Financial Crisis was wonderful because it got people interested in economics. And it was terrible in that it convinced a lot of people that mainstream economics was wrong about almost everything. This led to a revival in some heterodox ideas that the mainstream had long thrown in the dustbin.

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How Do You Decide to “Graduate” a Client?

Advisor Perspectives

As tough as financial advisors claim to be, we still get nervous about “firing” clients, too. When we say “graduate,” that is our delicate way of handling an uncomfortable situation. It’s a cheap, but effective way to massage the misgivings that we have about terminating client relationships.

Clients 116
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Benchmarking ROI with Forrester: Measuring the Success of Finance Transformation

Finance Transformation Myths Busted Over 75% of organizations struggle to define the right success metrics to benchmark the impact of their finance transformation investment. Whether you are just initiating your digital transformation journey or planning to pitch your next AI project to leadership, without the right metrics and a rigorous tracking process - all your efforts might go to waste!

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Unlocking Customer 360 Through Generative AI

Wealth Management

New GenAI-driven technologies can help wealth management firms enhance their customer understanding, streamline operations and deliver more personalized and effective services.

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Monday links: easily digestible narratives

Abnormal Returns

Strategy Why pessimism sells on Wall Street. (optimisticallie.com) You can't just lock in money market rates. (obliviousinvestor.com) Finance Building a better global market index. (ft.com) The big index fund managers have a problem on their hands. (humbledollar.com) Ukraine How Ukraine successfully invaded Kursk. (ig.ft.com) How Ukraine defeated Russia in the Black Sea.

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Fed Q2 SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards and Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types

Calculated Risk

From the Federal Reserve: The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices The July 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) addressed changes in the standards and terms on, and demand for, bank loans to businesses and households over the past three months, which generally correspond to the second quarter of 2024.

Banking 131
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Financial Voices I Ignore

A Wealth of Common Sense

The firehose of information we’re afforded these days is a double-edged sword. There is an abundance of news, analysis, charts and opinions but it can all be overwhelming if you don’t have an effective filter in place. When it comes to finance I have some filters to help understand which types of sources and people to safely ignore. These are the types of financial voices and data I immediately ignore: Pricing.

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How to Navigate Revenue and Expense Management: Competitive Insights for Financial Success

Speaker: Hilary Akhaabi, PhD - Founder, Chief Financial & Operations Officer at Go Africa Global

In the fast-paced world of corporate finance, staying ahead of the curve is crucial for sustainable growth and profitability. This exclusive webinar with leading expert Hilary Akhaabi, PhD, will teach you practical ways to navigate complex financial landscapes and enhance your company's revenue management capabilities. Whether you're aiming to refine your financial strategies or seeking innovative solutions to drive performance, this new session is for you!

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The Value of WallStreetBets Investment Research Recommendations

Alpha Architect

Wallstreetbets has become an increasingly prominent source of investment research. Do their recommendations have value? The Value of WallStreetBets Investment Research Recommendations was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

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Welcome to the End of the Biggest Commodity Boom

Advisor Perspectives

Oil, copper, soybeans and a handful of others monopolized the attention — but of all commodities, the humble lump of iron ore benefited the most from the Chinese economic boom of the last 25 years.

Economics 109
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Redtail Founder, Orion Tech Exec Brian McLaughlin Steps Down

Wealth Management

After more than 20 years in the wealthtech business, Orion's president of advisor technology says he's taking a break from the industry. He’ll stay on as an advisor to Orion’s CEO for the rest of this year.

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How Focused Marketing and Top-Tier Advice Doubled Erin Scannell’s AUM to $4B in Just 4 Years

Steve Sanduski

Guest: Erin Scannell , Chief Executive Officer of Heritage Wealth Advisors. In a Nutshell: When I talked to Erin Scannell in 2020, he was directing 50 team members, 18 advisors, and about $2 billion in AUM. Four years later, Heritage has doubled to $4 billion in AUM, and Erin is in charge of over 80 team members, including 20 advisors and a robust support team.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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NY Fed Q2 Report: Household Debt Increased, Mortgage Originations Remain Low

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Household Debt Increased Moderately in Q2 2024; Auto and Credit Card Delinquency Rates Remain Elevated The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The report shows total household debt increased by $109 billion (0.6%) in Q2 2024, to $17.80 trillion.

Retail 130
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Chasing Star Fund Manager Performance

A Wealth of Common Sense

In December 2020 I wrote a short history of chasing the best performing funds. At the time, Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation fund was on fire, absolutely destroying the market: Wood quickly became one of the most famous fund managers alive. She was in the headlines every day. Her stock picks and pronouncements about the future were reported by every financial media publication in the country.

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The Effect of ESG Strategies on Global Equity Returns

Alpha Architect

To determine the impact of sustainable investment strategies on equity returns, Romulo Alves, Philipp Krueger, and Mathijs van Dijk analyzed the relationship between ESG ratings and global stock returns. They found very little evidence that ESG ratings were related to global stock returns over the two-decade period. The Effect of ESG Strategies on Global Equity Returns was originally published at Alpha Architect.

Investing 113