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Slowing U.S. Economy, State by State

The Big Picture

Note: I have been occasionally eyeballing this map since 2008 , and it does a good job of showing the overall trend of the economy (on an obvious lag). The economy is mixed to good, with 2/3rd of states expanding and 1/3rd of states slowing; Dropping from +96 to -22 is a substantial decrease, regardless of the high GDP print last Q.

Economy 353
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Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?

Calculated Risk

How much will the economy grow in 2025? A year ago, I argued that "the economy will avoid recession" in 2024, and that a soft landing was the likely outcome. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2025 and a few predictions: Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Economy 173
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Advisor Sentiment Index: Confidence in the Economy Falls

Wealth Management

Financial advisors’ confidence in the current state of the economy sank last month to its lowest point year-to-date, while optimism in the stock market continued to rise.

Economy 289
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Wealth Management EDGE: Clients Are Too Worried About the Economy

Wealth Management

Despite persistent concerns from clients about the state of the economy, indicators are either fine or improving, according to Cetera Chief Market Strategist Brian Klimke.

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Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Calculated Risk

economy will likely perform in 2025, and if there are surprises - like in 2020 with the pandemic - to adjust my thinking. There is also the potential for significant policy mistakes, but for now I'm assuming any policy changes will not significantly impact the economy in 2025. How much will the economy grow in 2025? Q4-over-Q4).

Economics 290
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Advisor Sentiment Index: Confidence in the Economy, Stock Market Climbs Higher

Wealth Management

In the weeks leading up to November’s election, financial advisors were largely positive on the state of the economy and the stock market, according to the monthly Advisor Sentiment Index.

Economy 259
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Advisor Sentiment Index: Market, Economy Begin 2025 on High Note

Wealth Management

Advisors overall optimism in the current and future state of the stock market and the economy remained high during the first month of 2025, dampened by a growing expectation of volatility over the next six months.

Economy 249