article thumbnail

US Composite PMI Suggests the Economy is On the Verge of Recession

Mish Talk

The PMI numbers are diffusion indexes. Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Comments “Business conditions across the US worsened in November, according to the preliminary PMI survey findings, with output and demand falling at increased rates, consistent with the economy contracting at an annualized rate of 1%.”

Economy 290
article thumbnail

Where Will the Global Economy Land in 2024?

Advisor Perspectives

Heading into 2024, most economists and market analysts have adopted a baseline scenario in which most major economies avoid both a recession and renewed inflation – the much-desired "soft landing." But the current encouraging consensus could still be derailed by any number of factors, not least geopolitics.

Economy 59
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

5 Unusual Economic Indicators That Can Tell You About the Economy

Trade Brains

However, there are many other lesser-known indicators that can actually provide valuable insights and are helpful for the economy. Back in the autumn of 2001, he noticed that when the US economy was struggling due to the recession, lipstick sales were actually going up instead of down. Keep reading to find out what they are!

Economy 64
article thumbnail

5 Numbers That Will Tell Us How the U.S. Economy Does This Year

A Wealth of Common Sense

This continues to be one of the more confusing economic environments in history. Every other day the narrative switches between an imminent recession and a soft landing. Neither outcome would surprise me at this point. Some economic indicators are screaming slowdown while others are giving an all-clear.

Numbers 109
article thumbnail

Wednesday links: the shelf life of a stock

Abnormal Returns

Banking The number of bank branches in the U.S. bloomberg.com) Economy The housing and manufacturing sectors are both range-bound. peaked in 2012. sherwood.news) Where SVB's business stands as JP Morgan ($JPM) looks to make inroads. bloomberg.com) ETFs Where active ETFs are growing fastest.

article thumbnail

The Economy vs. Interest Rates

Bell Investment Advisors

That’s occurred alongside an impressive number of jobs still unfilled. To be sure, the number of unfilled job openings has declined to 9.6 The broader economy surprises, too. With a seemingly unstoppable labor market and an economy that’s defied recession expectations, why have most financial markets declined since July?

Economy 52
article thumbnail

Wednesday links: looking inward

Abnormal Returns

theringer.com) Economy How well does consumer sentiment correlate with the real economy? bonddad.blogspot.com) Part-time is not a negative for the economy if it isn't for economic reasons. bloomberg.com) How immigration is affecting the jobs numbers. (espn.com) There is no shortage of twins playing in the NBA.