Wed.May 01, 2024

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Wednesday links: larger market trends

Abnormal Returns

April 2024 The S&P 500 lost 4.08% in April 2024. (on.spdji.com) How major asset classes performed in April 2024. (capitalspectator.com) Hedge funds are overexposed to momentum. (ft.com) Strategy Catalysts matter. Good luck identifying them. (behaviouralinvestment.com) How to think about debt. (collabfund.com) Markets have to clear. (fortunesandfrictions.com) Companies Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) owners can thank Todd Combs and Ted Weschler for the Apple ($AAPL) investment.

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How To Register And Remain Registered With The SEC As An Internet Investment Adviser

Nerd's Eye View

A little over 20 years ago, when the Internet was still just a few years into gaining widespread use, the SEC understood its potential to transform how financial advisory firms conducted business with the ability to deliver advice digitally, lowering the barriers to serve clients across the country. However, the challenge for firms that wanted to use their websites to advise clients, but didn't otherwise qualify for SEC registration, was that they would ostensibly need to register in all 50 stat

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Personal finance links: working longer

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Amy Arnott talk with Meir Statman author of "A Wealth of Well-Being: A Holistic Approach to Behavioral Finance." (morningstar.com) Justin Carbonneau and Jack Forehand talk with Jared Dillian author of "No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life." (youtube.com) Peter Lazaroff talks with Sara Gelsheimer, Senior Wealth Manager at Plancorp, about the unique planning needs for women who are primary breadwinners.

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FTC Non-Compete Ban Could Impact Wirehouses and Banks More Than RIAs

Wealth Management

The Federal Trade Commission's move to outlaw these clauses in contracts could affect millions of Americans. But litigation against the ban is already in motion.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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ISM Manufacturing Index Moves Back into Contraction Territory in April

Advisor Perspectives

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 49.2 in April from 50.3 in March. The latest figures draws the index back into contraction territory after expanding for one month. The April reading was below the forecast of 50.0.

More Trending

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Chart of the Week: The Softening Labor Market

Discipline Funds

Wednesday’s Fed decision was largely unsurprising. But the most important data point of the day came long before the Fed decision. The latest JOLTS report showed the lowest levels of quits since early 2018 when Core PCE inflation was around 2%. This is an interesting data point because the quit rate has tended to be a good measure of labor market tightness.

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$2B RIA Eton Advisors Brings on New President

Wealth Management

Brian Hughes has had a 30-year career in financial services, most recently as founder and president of wealth management consultancy Hughes Growth Strategies.

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ADP National Employment Report: 192K Private Jobs Added in April

Advisor Perspectives

The ADP employment report revealed that 192K nonfarm private jobs were added in April, a slowdown from the 208K private jobs added in March. The latest reading came in higher than the expected 179K addition of new private jobs.

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How to Conduct a Technology Assessment at Your RIA

Wealth Management

Guidelines for taking a deeper look at the ways your firm is leveraging each system and how they all work together.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.7 million SAAR in April; Up Slightly YoY

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for April: U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales Trudge Along with Tepid Growth in April (pay site). Affordability continued to dominate the sales mix as gains in entry-price CUV and car segments more than offset downturns recorded in most other segments. While the SAAR and the daily selling rate were up, raw volume declined year-over-year due to April 2024 having one fewer selling day than in 2023.

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Private Advisor Group Adds $90M Advisor From RFG

Wealth Management

Ethan Campbell of Stones River Wealth Management in Woodbury, Tenn., is the latest to join $31.5 billion Private Advisor Group.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 2.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 26, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 2.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier.

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LPL Signs First Succession Deal With External Practice

Wealth Management

The IBD has deployed about $400 million in capital across 27 deals since launching the liquidity and succession program.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Animal Spirits: Negative Arbitrage

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts: See here for the YCharts report builder and proposal capabilities to save time and add value to client relationships! On today’s show, we discuss: 30 years of financial market returns Cathie Wood’s popular ARK funds are sinking fast Young Americans are getting left behind by rising home prices, higher stocks Vanguard: How America Saves Five thing.

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Certifications in Wealth Management: Elevating Standards and Shaping Futures

Wealth Management

Certified advisors differentiate themselves by being equipped to offer comprehensive services that address complex client needs.

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BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.5 million in March

Calculated Risk

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary The number of job openings changed little at 8.5 million on the last business day of March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, the number of hires changed little at 5.5 million while the number of total separations decreased to 5.2 million. Within separations, quits (3.3 million) and layoffs and discharges (1.5 million) changed little. emphasis added The following graph shows job openings (black line), hires (

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What Happens If Mutual Funds Can Also Trade as ETFs?

Wealth Management

If the SEC approves mutual fund/ETF dual shares, it might bring a big pivot for the RIA industry.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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P/E10 and Market Valuation: April 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Here is the latest update of a popular market valuation method, Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, using the most recent Standard & Poor's "as reported" earnings and earnings estimates, and the index monthly average of daily closes for the past month. The latest trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is 26.6 and the latest P/E10 ratio is 33.0.

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U.S. Appeals Court: Today's Loans May Be Tomorrow's Gifts

Wealth Management

Ninth Circuit affirms holding that a history of lending is not determinative of tax treatment of subsequent intrafamily wealth transfers.

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Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 210 thousand initial claims, up from 207 thousand last week. • Also at 8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for March from the Census Bureau. The consensus is the trade deficit to be $68.8 billion.

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Sanctuary Wealth Acquires Tru Independence

Wealth Management

Tru will operate as a separate entity from Sanctuary, maintaining its brand and leadership team.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Construction Spending Decreased 0.2% in March

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during March 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,083.9 billion, 0.2 percent below the revised February estimate of $2,087.8 billion. The March figure is 9.6 percent above the March 2023 estimate of $1,901.4 billion. emphasis added Private spending decreased and public spending increased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,600.8

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IRS Forms New Office to Resolve Tax Disputes Earlier and More Efficiently

Wealth Management

The agency hopes to renew interest in alternate dispute resolution options.

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Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: April 2024

Advisor Perspectives

Based on the April S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 36.7 is 144% above its arithmetic mean, 166% above its geometric mean, and is at the 99th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.

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401(k) Real Talk Episode 104: May 1, 2024

Wealth Management

Open, honest and candid discussion about the DOL fiduciary rule, RIA M&A, the Callan study, 401GO funding and more.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Job Openings Fall to Three Year Low

Advisor Perspectives

The latest job openings and labor turnover summary (JOLTS) report showed that job openings fell to their lowest level in over three years. Vacancies dropped to 8.488 million in March from February's upwardly revised level of 8.813 million. The latest reading was below the expected 8.680 million vacancies.

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Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in March; Up 6.6% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in March; Up 6.6% Year-over-year A brief excerpt: On a year-over-year basis, the National FMHPI was up 6.6% in March, up from up 6.5% YoY in February. The YoY increase peaked at 19.1% in July 2021, and for this cycle, bottomed at up 0.9% YoY in April 2023. As of March, 11 states and D.C. were below their previous peaks, Seasonally Adjusted.

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Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: April 2024

Advisor Perspectives

The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. The latest Q-ratio is at 1.90, down from 1.93 in March.