Sat.May 04, 2024 - Fri.May 10, 2024

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US Equities: 9% Forever?

The Big Picture

It’s taken me months to organize all of my research for my next book project; it’s a lot of stuff, some dating back to 2000. Much of it reflects the bad ideas and numbers, and worse advice, that float around Wall Street. A lot of it has not aged well. But every now and then, something I saved turned out to be prescient — not because it was lucky, but because it contained a well-considered insight that has stood the test of time.

Numbers 281
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Saturday links: academic courage

Abnormal Returns

EVs What is going to become of Tesla's ($TSLA) charging network? (washingtonpost.com) Do EVs need artificial noises? (axios.com) Autos Automatic braking will soon be a standard, required feature on cars. (theverge.com) Do you really want a GM ($GM) car without Apple CarPlay? (bloomberg.com) What goes into a VIN? (theconversation.com) Energy Why Plant Vogle could be the last large scale nuclear power plants built in the U.S.

Medicine 254
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5 Questions Using Risk Assessment Data That Help Advisors Understand Clients’ True Concerns About Risk

Nerd's Eye View

Measuring a client's tolerance for risk is an essential (and required!) step when onboarding a new client, as making any sort of recommendation is impossible without first understanding how comfortable clients may be when their portfolios inevitably experience volatility. Over the years, 2 types of measurement tools have emerged as the standards for assessing risk tolerance: 1) psychometric tests, which feature a series of questions (such as, "What amount of risk do you feel you have taken with

Clients 245
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Translating Wall Street Jargon

A Wealth of Common Sense

I saw the following headline earlier this week: I didn’t even need to read the actual article to know what the message would be. The tell here was the term ‘veteran forecaster’ In finance-speak, veteran forecaster can be translated to mean someone who is supremely confident in their predictions but almost always wrong. It has to be this way because forecasters are so unreliable.

Media 129
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Live Demo: How to Achieve Reconciliation Zen

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Automation generally supercharges any process and brings its value to the forefront. See how infusing automation such as ART (our month-end close solution), into your close can get you to the next level of closing. We will share a live demo of SkyStem's solution, ART and share the key elements of month-end close automation. Through ART, we'll take a look at: What month-end close automation entails Which process steps can and should be automated Benefits of achieving process automation, and Why i

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MiB: Jim O’Shaughnessy, O’Shaughnessy Ventures

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Jim O’Shaughnessy, founder and CEO of O’Shaughnessy Ventures. He is also chairman of the board at Stability AI. He is the host of the Infinite Loops podcast and the author of How to Retire Rich , Invest Like the Best , and Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow. We discuss how the book What Works on Wall Street set the tone for his entire career as a quant.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (May 11-12)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners"– this week's edition kicks off with the news that a recent analysis from Morningstar suggests that the Department of Labor's (DoL's) new Retirement Security Rule (aka Fiduciary Rule 2.0) could save retirement plan participants $55 billion over the next 10 years (due to an expectation of more low-cost fees being offered in plans) and those rolling over workplace plans into IRAs to purchase annuities another $32.5 bill

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Seinfeld on When Money Became Everything

A Wealth of Common Sense

One of my favorite pop culture developments in recent years is the famous person press tour. If you write a new book or have a new movie or TV show coming out, you have to talk to every outlet imaginable to sell your project. There is so much content and so much competition for our attention these days that even uber-successful people are forced to make the hard sell.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • The Most Important Skill of the Future is Being ‘Indistractable’ How the difference between traction and distraction could transform your productivity. ( Nir and Far ) • this is a teenager : In 1998, a researcher named Vincent Felitti published a paper that drastically changeed the way we think about these kids and childhood.

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Friday links: optimized leverage

Abnormal Returns

Markets Picking 30 companies for the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't easy in a dynamic economy. (wsj.com) The stock market doesn't love high inflation. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Apple Apple ($AAPL) is in a tough spot. (om.co) Apple ($AAPL) may be late in AI, but don't count them out. (barrons.com) If Apple ($AAPL) is no longer the world's biggest brand, what is?

Economy 228
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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#FA Success Ep 384: Growing An Advisor Career From (Bank) Assistant To Partner While Also Growing A Family, With Hannah Provost

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome everyone! Welcome to the 384th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Hannah Provost. Hannah is a partner and financial advisor at Lomanto Provost Financial Advisors, a hybrid advisory firm based in Plattsburgh, New York, that oversees approximately $150 million in assets under management for about 380 client households.

Banking 232
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Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern – Trading Strategies And More

Trade Brains

Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern: Technical analysts rely heavily on chart and candlestick patterns to conduct comprehensive analyses of stock prices and accurately predict their future movements. Each pattern formed in the market has a clear and justified reason behind its formation and indicates the market’s direction. Here in this article, we shall discuss a two-candlestick pattern called the bearish engulfing candlestick pattern with its meaning, formation, indication, and how to

Marketing 124
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Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in April; Down 14.0% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Declined in April Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) were down in April compared to March. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index (MUVVI) fell to 198.4, a decline of 14.0% from a year ago. The seasonal adjustment to the index magnified the results for the month, resulting in a 2.3% month-over-month decrease.

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Podcast links: being happier at work

Abnormal Returns

The biz How the Acquired podcast became a favorite in the business world. (wsj.com) Scott Galloway is launching a new finance-focused podcast. (semafor.com) Business Rick Buhrman and Paul Buser talk with Mitch Rales, co-founder of Danaher Corp. (joincolossus.com) Derek Thompson talks with Gideon Lewis-Kraus about the prospects for eVTOLs. (theringer.com) Josh Brown and Michael Batnick talk all things Hollywood with Matt Belloni.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (May 2024)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the May 2024 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that self-directed retirement planning software provider NewRetirement has raised a $20M Series A round as the company demonstrates that its DIY tools really do turn a subset of consumers into bona fide prosp

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Unemployment Claims Jump to 8-Month High

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending May 4, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 231,000, an increase of 22,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is higher than the forecast of 212,000 jobless claims.

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Unpacking the Firestorm Over Blackstone's Real Estate Valuations

Wealth Management

A recent New York Times article suggested that Blackstone's non-traded REIT is inflating its property valuations. But real estate industry insiders say they are not worried.

Valuation 115
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Tuesday links: the idea of escape

Abnormal Returns

Markets Why TIPS are more attractive than nominal bonds at this point. (morningstar.com) Chinese stocks have badly underperformed for more than a decade. (sherwood.news) ETFs Just because somebody puts a strategy in an ETF wrapper doesn't mean you need to buy it. (rogersplanning.blogspot.com) Is there another class of investors able to push spot Bitcoin ETF adoption higher?

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Is Social Security Going Bankrupt?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Your favorite tax expert Bill Sweet joined me on the show again this week to discuss questions about downshifting your risk as you approach retirement, the most tax-efficient way to pay for a medical procedure, when DIY investors should consider an advisor, the Rule of 55 and how to prepare for taxes in retirement. Further Reading: Can Young People Still Count on Social Security?

Medical 117
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Using Machine Language Programs to Forecast the Equity Risk Premium

Alpha Architect

To date, the best metric we have for forecasting future equity returns and the ERP is current valuations. An interesting question is whether more complicated methods using newly developed machine learning models can provide superior forecasts. Using Machine Language Programs to Forecast the Equity Risk Premium was originally published at Alpha Architect.

Valuation 112
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FINRA Fines SoFi $1.1M For Customer ID, Identity Theft Oversight

Wealth Management

According to the settlement letter, third parties used the firm’s cash management brokerage account to withdraw funds from accounts they’d illegally accessed at other financial institutions.

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Sunday links: overlooked downsides

Abnormal Returns

Markets Stocks have stopped going up. (sherwood.news) CEO confidence is rising. (apolloacademy.com) Strategy If you own every stock, it's harder to feel FOMO. (thefinancialbodyguard.com) How to make yourself miserable as an investor including 'Don’t change your mind.' (morningstar.com) Crafting negative financial narratives is easy. (securityanalysis.org) Berkshire Hathaway Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) now holds $189 billion in cash and cash equivalents.

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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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Can Power Corrupt You?

Advisor Perspectives

The idea that power is inherently corrupting has been repeatedly proven throughout history. From politics to business to religion, there are countless examples of individuals who succumb to corruption and abuse their authority.

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May newsletter: Better quarterly commentary

Investment Writing

Want to do a better job on your next quarterly commentary? You’ve finished your first-quarter commentary, but you have a nagging feeling you could have done a better job editing it. Check out the five-step process in my blog post on “ 5 steps for rewriting your investment commentary ”! Also, if you’re writing for an audience of individual investors, pay attention to my list of “ Words to avoid in your investment communications with regular folks. ” You might also enjoy “ Investment commentary nu

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Former Merrill Advisor Claims Firm Withheld Compensation, Violating ERISA

Wealth Management

Kelly Milligan filed a class action complaint in federal court, arguing he lost $500,000 in deferred compensation after leaving the wirehouse several years ago. One attorney estimated more than 1,000 former Merrill advisors have a similar story.

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Personal finance links: hoarding points

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Brett McKay talks with Jared Dillian author of "No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life." (artofmanliness.com) Cameron Passmore and Benamin Felix talk with Scott Galloway author of "The Algebra of Wealth: A Simple Formula for Financial Security." (rationalreminder.libsyn.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Larry Swedroe about the challenge of stock picking.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February • Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak • Lawler: Update on Mortgage Rates and Spreads and also New / Renewal Rents • Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in March; Up 6.6% Year-over-year This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

Marketing 111
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What a Car Says About its Driver

The Irrelevant Investor

I once heard somebody say, “You are what you drive.” I thought it was ridiculous when I first heard it and I feel the same way more than twenty years removed. But just because cars don’t tell you everything about their driver, it doesn’t mean they tell you nothing either. I’ve been thinking about cars lately because after a lousy experience, I’m starting to think differently about what.

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Hightower CMO Meghan McCartan Leaves

Wealth Management

McCartan, who became CMO at Hightower in July 2022, shared the “bittersweet update” that she had departed the firm, saying she was unsure but excited about her next opportunity.

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