New US Home Sales Jump to Highest Level Since September
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 23, 2024
Sales of new homes in the US bounced back broadly in March as an abundance of inventory helped drive prices lower.
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Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 23, 2024
Sales of new homes in the US bounced back broadly in March as an abundance of inventory helped drive prices lower.
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 16, 2024
New home construction in the US slowed last month as a leveling off in interest rates has given way to a lull in housing demand and caution among builders.
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Advisor Perspectives
MARCH 29, 2024
Pending sales of previously-owned homes in the US recovered last month after declining at the start of the year, adding to evidence that the housing market is gradually improving.
Advisor Perspectives
MARCH 28, 2024
Pending sales of previously-owned homes in the US recovered last month after declining at the start of the year, adding to evidence that the housing market is gradually improving.
Advisor Perspectives
JANUARY 24, 2024
Applications for home-purchase mortgages in the US rose to the highest level since April, signaling housing demand is picking up as borrowing costs hold below 7%.
Calculated Risk
JANUARY 9, 2024
From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: US Home Price Growth Speeds Up Again in November • U.S. home prices increased by 5.2% Annual home price growth is projected to slow to 2.3% Markets where the prolonged inventory shortage has been exacerbated by the lack of new homes for sale recorded notable price gains over the course of 2023.”
Advisor Perspectives
NOVEMBER 17, 2023
New US home construction unexpectedly picked up in October, indicating builders continue to benefit from a limited supply in the resale market.
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 26, 2023
Home prices in the US rose for a ninth straight month, reaching a fresh record as buyers battled for a stubbornly tight supply of listings.
Advisor Perspectives
JUNE 22, 2023
Sales of previously owned US homes barely rose in May as high mortgage rates continued to crimp demand and discourage owners from listing their properties.
Advisor Perspectives
JUNE 12, 2023
When it comes to their equity portfolios, US investors have historically exhibited a high degree of home-country bias. But in today’s fast-changing global market landscape, they may find that there are good reasons to rethink regional allocations to stocks.
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 11, 2024
If the rising price of homeowners insurance were factored into the US Consumer Price Index — a key metric of inflation — it could have added 80 basis points, or about 0.8%, to last year’s CPI increase of 3.4%, according to an analysis from Bloomberg Intelligence.
Advisor Perspectives
DECEMBER 23, 2022
Sales of previously owned US homes fell for a 10th-straight month in November, extending a record decline as high mortgage rates continue to stifle affordability.
Advisor Perspectives
FEBRUARY 27, 2023
US pending home sales rose by the most since June 2020, potentially a temporary reprieve as lower mortgage rates in the month helped prop up demand.
Calculated Risk
FEBRUARY 6, 2024
From CoreLogic: Job Growth Continues to Drive Annual Home Price Gains in December, CoreLogic Reports • Annual U.S. home price growth was 5.5% home prices have recorded annual gains since early 2012. • In 2023, the average CoreLogic Home Price Index gain was 3.9%, down from 14.5% Year-over-year U.S. emphasis added
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 18, 2022
Nowhere is this easier to see than in mortgage rates and their impact on home purchases. The caveat these days is that a wicked combination of events — falling new home construction post-GFC, the pandemic purchase spree, and the low available inventory have made it more difficult to read into the usual home data.
oXYGen Financial
JANUARY 28, 2024
Home prices have surged to an average of $382,000, ]] [CDATA[ In 1975, the real estate landscape was vastly different than in present times. A house, priced at $36,500, was considered a substantial investment, and an ounce of gold was a mere $145. Fast forward to 2024, and we witness a staggering transformation.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 17, 2024
Business Insider ) • Office Towers Reshaped US Skylines. Wired ) • Realtor Commissions Are Still a Hefty Part of Home Sales. Wired ) • Realtor Commissions Are Still a Hefty Part of Home Sales. Despite years of technology disruption, home commissions remain stuck near 6%. Now Construction Cranes Are Vanishing.
Abnormal Returns
MARCH 13, 2024
Crypto Travis Kling, "The evidence for the rise of Financial Nihilism is all around us." disciplinefunds.com) Earlier on Abnormal Return Personal finance links: a shared home. epsilontheory.com) How much is Bitcoin worth? Nobody really knows. wired.com) The spot Bitcoin ETF fee war is here.
Abnormal Returns
APRIL 12, 2024
theatlantic.com) Business Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Ken Langone about Home Depot and American capitalism. pushkin.fm) Sean Illing talks with Kieran Setiya author of "Life Is Hard: How Philosophy Can Help Us Find Our Way." (axios.com) You can now listen to Substack podcasts on Spotify ($SPOT). podcasts.apple.com)
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 25, 2022
Eventually, we figured out that vaccines and masking could help us manage the worst of this. We fast-tracked vaccine approval and passed the largest fiscal stimulus in US history – 10% of GDP for CARES Act I. We rode out the pandemic at home, doing our best via Zoom and Teledoc, Pelotons and Netflix.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 27, 2023
morningstar.com) Home ownership House ownership isn't for everyone. morningstar.com) Read the fine print when it comes to home energy rebates. ofdollarsanddata.com) What the 'Matthew effect' tells us about wealth. awealthofcommonsense.com) Why you should keep track of the tax basis of your house.
The Big Picture
APRIL 25, 2024
This brings us to State coincident indexes for the 50 states for March 2024: “Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 44 states, decreased in five states, and remained stable in one, for a three-month diffusion index of 78.” That consumer strength is — in BEA model-terms — a drag on GDP.
The Big Picture
OCTOBER 6, 2022
. • The Climate Crisis Spells Big Business for Carbon Capture : At a recent expo in Houston, innovators claimed they can spare us a global catastrophe—and make billions in the process. What Do Dogs Know About Us? The firm is the largest developer of multifamily-homes in the United States. Texas Monthly ). Bloomberg ).
The Big Picture
AUGUST 22, 2022
How the US Toppled the World’s Most Powerful Gold Trader : JPMorgan’s former gold boss was convicted last week. You Have No Idea How Good Mosquitoes Are at Smelling Us The insects have infinite backup plans for hunting us down. ( Axios ). • Bloomberg ). • Bloomberg ). • The Atlantic ). • Now they stand for steroids.
Abnormal Returns
SEPTEMBER 29, 2022
(peterlazaroff.com) Housing There is a lot about our financial lives we can't control, including home prices. awealthofcommonsense.com) The rising value of land is responsible for almost all of the surge in home values in recent decades. wsj.com) A study shows remote work drove some 60% of the run up in home prices.
Mish Talk
NOVEMBER 25, 2022
Demand Weakness Weighs On private sector business activity in November The S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI™ shows and escalation in private sector demand weakness. Key Findings Flash US PMI Composite Output Index at 46.3 Flash US Services Business Activity Index at 46.1 Flash US Manufacturing Output Index at 47.2
Abnormal Returns
OCTOBER 25, 2023
(riabiz.com) What does the introduction of the gold ETF tell us about the prospects for Bitcoin? econbrowser.com) The new and existing home markets have diverged. blockworks.co) Economy Q3 GDP nowcasts still show robust growth. capitalspectator.com) A low consumer confidence index is not the same as a recession.
The Big Picture
AUGUST 7, 2023
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The Pandemic Small-Business Boom Is Fueling the US Economy : Startup registrations remain 42% ahead of 2019 levels, with growing numbers of companies founded by women and minorities. Barron’s ) • The US Housing Drought Is Ending. Bloomberg ) • What Does an Inverted Yield Curve Tell Us?
The Big Picture
MAY 5, 2023
Wall Street Journal ) see also The 10 Greatest US Investors and the Virtues That Made Them : There can be few fields of human endeavor in which history counts for so little as in the world of finance. Finally, it would be dangerous to extrapolate the post-1990 outperformance of US equities, as it mainly reflects rising relative valuations.
The Big Picture
JULY 12, 2023
Source: Reventure Let’s get to the caveats up front: Re:Ventures has been pretty bearish on housing the past few years, even forecasting a crash; their landing page claims “ The US Housing Market is in a record Bubble in 2023 ,” and this post “ 90% Chance: RECESSION in 2022? Heavy primary and second home demand.”
Abnormal Returns
JANUARY 27, 2023
novelinvestor.com) The stock market is constantly providing us 'instant feedback' much to our detriment. cnbc.com) Zillow ($Z) has a new AI-powered way to search for homes. msn.com) Homebuilders have an oversupply of unsold new homes. (awealthofcommonsense.com) 2022 shows that every portfolio strategy comes under pressure.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 1, 2023
We are looking for client service associates who can help us continue to grow. We are hiring!
The Big Picture
DECEMBER 27, 2023
That seems to be the consensus, but there are still tips and tricks to getting the biggest return for your home. They see their neighbor’s home selling for a lot more last year than this year. For the sale of your home. Tell us, what’s the state of the housing market today? Then rates spiked up.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 21, 2023
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • The Share of Americans Who Are Mortgage-Free Is at an All-Time High : Almost 40% of US homeowners own their homes outright as of 2022—many of them baby boomers who refinanced when rates were low. Lots of baby boomers are going to sell their homes in the years ahead. Now Sell It.
The Big Picture
FEBRUARY 16, 2023
Do you want to continue working from home? It’s far from ideal, but how else to make use of otherwise wasted time? At least until all those hours were reclaimed when we were forced to work from home. that even the best adaption strategies were still a workaround, second best to a more civilized use of precious time.
The Big Picture
DECEMBER 5, 2022
Hawks, it’s time to join us in reality. Stay-At-Home Macro ) see also Meet the Man on a Mission to Expose Sneaky Price Increases : Edgar Dworsky has become the go-to expert on “shrinkflation,” when products or packaging are manipulated so people get less for their money. ( New York Times ). • Bloomberg ). • Barron’s ).
Calculated Risk
MARCH 28, 2024
After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report , I pick up additional local market data that is reported after the NAR. This gives us a sense of the current low level of sales and inventory, and also shows some significant regional differences.
The Big Picture
NOVEMBER 27, 2023
Building More Housing Can Combat Rising Rents : To many people, new home construction is synonymous with gentrification. After it nearly blew up on him, he now emerges with closer ties to its leader, Sam Altman. ( WSJ ) • No, Really. But a new analysis reinforces how more supply drives down housing costs.
The Big Picture
JULY 3, 2023
( Wall Street Journal ) • The multibillion-dollar lawsuits that could radically reshape how we buy and sell homes forever : As the money makes its way to all the players in the transaction, you may wonder: Why does it work this way? The post 10 Monday AM Reads appeared first on The Big Picture.
Calculated Risk
APRIL 24, 2024
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March A brief excerpt: After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report , I pick up additional local market data that is reported after the NAR. This is the final look at local markets in March.
Advisor Perspectives
APRIL 12, 2024
The US is somehow home to the most valuable electric vehicle producer in the world and, simultaneously, an also-ran in the race for EVs. How did that happen?
Abnormal Returns
MARCH 19, 2023
axios.com) Work From Home Don't let work from home prevent you from being active. fivethirtyeight.com) The pandemic gave us all a taste of car-free streets. nytimes.com) Medicare Advantage plan decisions are being made using AI. (tomtunguz.com) Why Berkshire Hathaway's ($BRK.A) proxy statement is so short.
Calculated Risk
JUNE 8, 2023
From CoreLogic: CoreLogic: US Home Borrowers See First Annual Home Equity Losses Since 2012 in Q1 2023, but Overall Mortgage Performance Remains Strong CoreLogic®. homeowners with mortgages (which account for roughly 63% of all properties) saw home equity decrease by 0.7% million homes or 2.1% The average U.S.
Abnormal Returns
MAY 2, 2023
espn.com) Economy Frustrated homebuyers are flocking to the new home market. econbrowser.com) What the March JOLTS report tells us about the coming employment report. (theringer.com) What players think about MLB's new rules. wsj.com) Lower wage workers are holding their own in terms of real wages.
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