Thu.Apr 25, 2024

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Thursday links: analysts and accountants

Abnormal Returns

Markets The energy sector is still less than 4% of the S&P 500. (allstarcharts.com) What are to make of the big, and persistent, valuation disparities between large and small caps. (morningstar.com) Strategy Good luck trying to dial risk up and down at the right times. (collabfund.com) Expect to see some overconfidence tonight in Detroit. (seeitmarket.com) There's no return without risk.

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March 2024 State Coincident Indexes Ease

The Big Picture

A quick note on the state of the economy in light of some recent data. Q1 2024 Gross Domestic Product expanded at a disappointing 1.6% — note this is seasonally and inflation-adjusted annual rate. That lagged economists’ consensus of 2.4%. However, it’s not quite all it appears. Some of this is that “long and variable lag” of higher rates starting to bite — but it’s not just that.

Economy 208
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Unemployment Claims Down 5K, Better Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

In the week ending April 20, initial jobless claims were at a seasonally adjusted level of 207,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's figure. The latest reading is lower than the forecast of 214,000 jobless claims.

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U.S. Births decreased in 2023

Calculated Risk

From the National Center for Health Statistics: Births: Provisional Data for 2023. The NCHS reports: The provisional number of births for the United States in 2023 was 3,591,328, down 2% from 2022. The general fertility rate was 54.4 births per 1,000 females ages 15–44, down 3% from 2022. The total fertility rate was 1,616.5 births per 1,000 women in 2023, a decline of 2% from 2022.

Numbers 107
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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Q1 Advance Estimate: GDP Per Capita versus GDP

Advisor Perspectives

The advance estimate for Q1 GDP came in at 1.59%, a deceleration from 3.40% for the Q4 final estimate. With a per-capita adjustment, the headline number is lower at 1.00%, a decrease from 2.79% for the Q4 headline number.

Numbers 103

More Trending

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Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors: $1B+ Wells Fargo Breakaway Team Gets Re-Energized in New Model

Wealth Management

Carnegie Private Wealth's Angie Ostendarp and Jordan Raniszeski share their journey of why they left Wells Fargo and joined LPL's Strategic Wealth Services model.

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4 Pitfalls of Not Having a Financial Plan

Carson Wealth

There are some things in life you just can’t plan for: an unexpected illness, job loss, death of spouse, disability. And while experiencing one of these major events can drastically impact your life, having an effective financial plan can help ensure that it doesn’t ruin your financial well-being. What Do You Need in Your Financial Plan? Your financial plan should be customized to your own unique needs.

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WealthStack Roundup: Jeanette Kuda Named COO of TIFIN AG

Wealth Management

Also, a new F2 Strategy study suggests firms must be responsive to digitally native affluent millennial clients to keep their business and MyVest expands tax-aware portfolio transitions for its Strategic Portfolio System.

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Why people will pay for service

Million Dollar Round Table (MDRT)

By Bryce Sanders It is easy to think the financial services industry is engaged in a race to the bottom when there are ads telling people they can trade stocks “for free.” This advertising appeals to DIY buyers, but it doesn’t appeal to everyone. Many people — especially those who are quality clients — are willing to pay more for a trusted financial advisor they can build an enduring relationship with.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Strong Economic Data Gives Reason To Be Constructive on Markets

Wealth Management

Astoria believes emerging markets will continue to struggle if the dollar strengthens and rates are held.

Economics 111
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Q1 GDP Advance Estimate: Real GDP at 1.6%, Below Forecast

Advisor Perspectives

The U.S. economy grew at a slower than expected pace to start off the year. Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 1.6% in Q1 2024, according to the advance estimate. The latest estimate is lower than the forecasted 2.5% growth and is a slowdown from the Q4 2023 GDP final estimate of 3.4%.

Economy 72
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Cetera Names Head of Corporate Development From Avantax

Wealth Management

Before joining Avantax, acquired by Cetera last year, Michael Molnar spent time as a strategy consultant, equity analyst, successful investor, CPA and dealmaker.

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Bearish Kicker Candlestick Pattern – Strengths And Trading Ideas

Trade Brains

Bearish kicker candlestick pattern: It is often observed that market participants utilize technical analysis as a means of speculating and predicting short-term movements in stock prices. Technical analysis encompasses a range of methods for analyzing the market, including the candlestick pattern method, which is commonly employed to forecast stock price movements.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Several RIAs Take Big Stakes in Bitcoin ETFs

Wealth Management

The money from RIAs to Bitcoin ETFs is flowing to the asset managers offering lower fees.

Assets 113
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Make Simplicity Your Superpower

NAIFA Advisor Today

Richard Dobson is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP) who strives to simplify communication between clients and financial advisors. As a keynote speaker, he has provided insurance and investment advice for over 40 years. Richard is the author of Make Simplicity Your Superpower! and The Trusted Professional. He is also a NAIFA member and has previously served as a former FINRA Broker Dealer Chief Compliance Officer (CCO).

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Wealth Enhancement Group Scores $500M Hybrid From Raymond James

Wealth Management

Lynch Retirement Investment Group brings WEG to almost $82 billion and adds a fourth Maryland office.

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Pending Home Sales Rise More Than Expected in March

Advisor Perspectives

The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) released the latest monthly data for its pending home sales index. The index rose 3.4% in March to 78.2, its highest level in over a year and more than the forecasted 0.3% growth. Pending home sales are up 0.1% from one year ago.

Sales 64
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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Private Equity Firm GTCR Buys AssetMark

Wealth Management

Rumors swirled for months that the TAMP and technology provider was up for sale.

Sales 109
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 3.4% in March; Up 0.1% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Ascended 3.4% in March Pending home sales in March climbed 3.4% , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Northeast, South and West posted monthly gains in transactions while the Midwest recorded a loss. Year-over-year, the Northeast and South registered decreases but the Midwest and West improved. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – increased to 78.2 in March.

Sales 64
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When Mental Health Issues Lead to Financial Ruin

Wealth Management

How acclaimed journalist Josephine Franklin ended up homeless.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 207,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending April 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 207,000 , a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 212,000. The 4-week moving average was 213,250, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 214,500. emphasis added The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Embracing Automation

Advisor Perspectives

Today’s technology-driven landscape makes it easier than ever for RIAs to embrace automation across their tech stack and supercharge their businesses. Advisors can save time and minimize errors by using trading and rebalancing tools, portfolio management and CRM systems to manage accounts. Automation in data analysis also frees up time to provide more personalized advice or pursue new business.

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Friday: Personal Income and Outlays

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, Personal Income and Outlays, March 2024. The consensus is for a 0.5% increase in personal income, and for a 0.3% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.3%. PCE prices are expected to be up 2.6% YoY, and core PCE prices up 2.7% YoY. • At 10:00 AM: University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Final for April).

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Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Declined Again in April

Advisor Perspectives

The latest Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Survey composite index declined again in April while future expectations remained flat. The composite index came in at -8, down from -7 in March, while the future outlook inched up to 2.

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Lawler: Observations on the Recent Surge in Net International Migration

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Observations on the Recent Surge in Net International Migration A brief excerpt: NOTE: Housing economist Tom Lawler has written extensively on demographics and the impact on household growth and housing demand. Last November, Lawler reviewed the most recent Census projections: Lawler on Existing Home Sales, Population Projections and Household Slowdown.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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The Power of RILAs in Retirement Planning

Advisor Perspectives

With nearly 4.5 million Americans turning 65 in 2024, advisors are navigating four core risks that will impact their portfolios in retirement: longevity, inflation, volatility, and emotions. We will discuss new research by Dr. Wade Pfau, professor at The American College of Financial Services. He did this research on behalf of Equitable to look at how to improve the efficient frontier, enhance risk-adjusted returns and help advisors – and their clients – make the most of their assets

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Celebrating Meredith: A Beacon of Teamwork at FSI

Financial Symmetry

We take pride in recognizing our team members who not only excel in their roles but also embody our core values. Today, we’re shining the spotlight on Meredith, who’s dedication to teamwork and diligence is a testament to FSI’s commitment … Continued The post Celebrating Meredith: A Beacon of Teamwork at FSI appeared first on Financial Symmetry, Inc.

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An Inside Look at the Q1 2024 GDP Advance Estimate

Advisor Perspectives

Real gross domestic product (GDP) is comprised of four major subcomponents. In the Q1 GDP advance estimate, three of the four components made positive contributions.

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