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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Wall Street Journal ) • How Models Get the Economy Wrong : Seemingly complex and sophisticated econometric modeling often fails to take into account common sense and observable reality. American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world.

Valuation 286
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Markets surge despite continued uncertainty

Nationwide Financial

This either sets the stage for upward revisions as pessimism eases or suggests the S&P 500 has gotten ahead of itself, with a valuation of 18x forward earnings. Pessimists argue about still elevated inflation, tightening financial conditions, the risk to earnings estimates, and rising valuations. versus 4.7% the previous month.

Marketing 105
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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

Despite being widely expected for many months, the recession has yet to materialize in the US and other developed economies. All the sectors went up with major sectoral growth seen in auto (up 22%), realty (up 33%), and consumer durables (up 13%) on the back of an improving economic outlook.

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Weekly Market Insights – March 4, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

1 Economic news also helped boost markets. Consumers Remain Upbeat With all the excitement over AI, it’s easy to overlook some key economic indicators that also speak to the underlying strength of the economy—specifically, consumer data. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Motor Vehicle Sales.

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Weekly Market Insights – September 4, 2023

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Weekly Market Insights: September Stocks Open In Positive Territory Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Falling bond yields–spurred by weak economic data–helped lift stocks to weekly gains. A downward revision of Q2 economic growth and fresh signs of a cooling labor market reversed the recent rise in bond yield.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

Contrary to the expectation of an economic slowdown in 2023, the year turned out to be full of surprises, mostly positive ones. Global growth exceeded projections, primarily propelled by the resilient performance of the US economy. The debt yields have declined across the yield curve maturities in the developed economies.

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Weekly Market Insights – March 11, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

The economy added 275,000 jobs in February—exceeding the 198,000 expected—but wage growth slowed, and jobless claims edged up. Some investors saw that as a negative, while others viewed it as a “Goldilocks” moment—an economy that’s not too hot or cold. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Consumer Price Index. So, the U.S.