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Sunday links: return expectations

Abnormal Returns

sherwood.news) Economy Americans are making more grocery store stops in order to combat food inflation. calculatedrisk.substack.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (axios.com) The U.S. fertility rate is at its lowest level since measurement started. wsj.com) Americans are not defaulting very much on their mortgages.

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Sunday links: a shrinking pie

Abnormal Returns

(theguardian.com) Why some states are unwilling to help students to get food during the summer. slate.com) Economy Why everyone keeps underestimating the strength of the U.S. msn.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. nytimes.com) How religious exemptions could preempt stricter state abortion laws.

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Want More Jobs? Raise the Minimum Wage

The Big Picture

The least contentious of which is that modest increases in minimum wages increase economic activity and create jobs. Perhaps even more surprising has been the wholesale abandonment of specific industries: Food service, retail, etc., It stays local and is likely to benefit the regional economy.

Food 364
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Sunday links: forecasting accuracy

Abnormal Returns

gothamgal.com) 15 states have rejected a new, federally funded summer program to give food assistance to hungry children. washingtonpost.com) Measuring economic inequality is harder than it looks. papers.ssrn.com) Economy People have nostalgia for a time that never existed. calculatedriskblog.com) Inflation is trending lower.

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Leading indicators and weak corporate earnings reflect a slowing economy: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

The latest batch of economic data continue to signal that a recession is on the horizon — we still foresee a downturn unfolding in the second half of the year. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) posted its 12th straight monthly decline, falling to its lowest level since November 2020. from a year ago. jump in February.

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Weaker consumer demand helping to cool inflation: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

March’s cooler CPI data provided further evidence that price pressures are fading in many pockets of the economy. April 20: Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) LEI points to elevated recession risk The index of leading economic indicators (LEI) is expected to retreat again in March, marking the twelfth straight month of decline.

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Saturday links: making the switch

Abnormal Returns

economy continues to get more energy efficient. nytimes.com) Long-term renewable energy storage is needed, but the economics are uncertain. wapo.st) Food Chick-fil-A is going to reintroduce chicken treated with antibiotics. abnormalreturns.com) Podcast links: the introvert economy. nytimes.com) Energy The U.S.