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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Wall Street Journal ) • How Models Get the Economy Wrong : Seemingly complex and sophisticated econometric modeling often fails to take into account common sense and observable reality. American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world.

Valuation 286
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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

Despite being widely expected for many months, the recession has yet to materialize in the US and other developed economies. The recent rally in the market has made the valuations more expensive compared to historical standards. Valuations across all sectors do not offer any margin of safety.

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Markets surge despite continued uncertainty

Nationwide Financial

This either sets the stage for upward revisions as pessimism eases or suggests the S&P 500 has gotten ahead of itself, with a valuation of 18x forward earnings. Pessimists argue about still elevated inflation, tightening financial conditions, the risk to earnings estimates, and rising valuations. versus 4.7% the previous month.

Marketing 105
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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

Global growth exceeded projections, primarily propelled by the resilient performance of the US economy. Some of the fund managers continued discouraging flows in Mid & Small Cap stocks by either sounding cautious, dropping coverage, or stopping the inflows owing to frothy valuations in the space.

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Equity markets remain in a volatile trading range

Nationwide Financial

Markets remain on an emotional roller coaster, driven in the short term by shifting views on the Fed and the economy, though markets have been in an increasingly narrow trading range since May. Deteriorating earnings estimates for next year have many wondering what the true valuation is for equity markets. Headline CPI rose by 7.1%

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Transcript: Albert Wenger

The Big Picture

Let’s talk about a couple of companies you invested in because I’m picking up a theme there, Meatable, Terra, Living Carbon, Marvel Fusion, Legendary Food, climate sustainability impact investing. WENGER: No, we’ve definitely always been disciplined on valuation, and we’ve let a number of things go.

Valuation 293
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Weekly Market Insights – March 4, 2024

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

Consumers Remain Upbeat With all the excitement over AI, it’s easy to overlook some key economic indicators that also speak to the underlying strength of the economy—specifically, consumer data. Finally, the PCE report also reflected an ongoing consumer shift from goods to services—a sign the economy continues to normalize after the pandemic.