The Big Picture

APRIL 7, 2023

Wall Street Journal ) • How Models Get the Economy Wrong : Seemingly complex and sophisticated econometric modeling often fails to take into account common sense and observable reality. American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world.

Valuation 283

Valuation Advertising Economy Food 283

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 24, 2022

(theinformation.com) Snowflake ($SNOW) is growing into its valuation. wsj.com) China is dramatically reducing the amount of economic statistics it publishes. economist.com) Economy This high yield bond indicator is signalling economic trouble ahead. thediff.co) Global How the U.S.

Marketing 220

Marketing Marketing Financial Advising Valuation 220

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 7, 2023

(techcrunch.com) SpaceX SpaceX is reportedly planning a tender offer for employee shares at a $175 billion valuation. axios.com) Economy Kyla Scanlon, "People are complex and economics doesn’t (can’t!) yahoo.com) Why SpaceX continues to win new launch business. take that into consideration."

Digital Media 216

Digital Media Electronics Financial Advising Startup 216

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 6, 2023

Markets Cullen Roche, "This has been one of the more fascinating years in economic and market history." michaelparekh.substack.com) Venture capital Q2 2023 startup data from AngelList show median valuations back to pre-pandemic levels. should let China continue to shoot itself in the (economic) foot. nytimes.com) Why the U.S.

Financial Advising 232

Financial Advising Startup Economics Valuation 232

Abnormal Returns

AUGUST 9, 2023

(axios.com) Venture capital Why more markdowns are coming to venture capital portfolio valuations. news.crunchbase.com) China China's economy is now experiencing deflation. economist.com) Economy A re-accelerating economy risks higher base inflation. hunterwalk.com) Do VC platform teams add value?

Financial Advising 177

Financial Advising Economy Valuation Consulting 177

Bell Investment Advisors

AUGUST 2, 2023

Bureau of Economic Analysis showed the domestic economy grew at an inflation-adjusted pace of 2.4% The most economically sensitive industries saw the strongest stock price gains. The low interest rates that justified higher stock valuations are not so low anymore. A report from the U.S. during the second quarter of 2023.

Economy 52

Economy Valuation Investment Advisor Economics 52

Abnormal Returns

OCTOBER 31, 2022

allstarcharts.com) And valuations are still attractive. economist.com) With economic sanctions in place, it's back to the future for the Russian auto industry. fortune.com) Economy Three things that are dampening economic pain, including remote work. Small caps Small caps are outperforming of late.

Financial Advising 221

Financial Advising Media Valuation Retail 221

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 25, 2023

riabiz.com) Companies Nvidia's ($NVDA) valuation has gotten ahead of itself. axios.com) Economy Where various recession probability models stand. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Crypto Bitcoin had a good week. abnormalreturns.com) What you missed in our Saturday linkfest.

Financial Advising 203

Financial Advising Valuation Retail Media 203

Abnormal Returns

DECEMBER 28, 2022

tomtunguz.com) Instacart continues to slash its valuation. wired.com) Economy The October Case-Shiller numbers show the rollover in housing prices. calculatedriskblog.com) Indicators show the economic cycle is maturing, but not yet in recession. (cnn.com) Big Tech is set to cut costs (and jobs) in 2023.

Financial Advising 192

Financial Advising Valuation Media Economy 192

Carson Wealth

APRIL 8, 2024

economy continues to look solid, with markets rallying Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Pockets of attractive valuations exist despite above-average valuations in some high-profile areas of the market. economy, and the job market is leading the way. Payroll growth picked up in recent months.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 96

Validea

MAY 5, 2023

With valuations still high, the threat of a recession still looms over the economy, ushering in a prolonged period of low returns across the market, from stocks and real estate to corporate profits, as well as elevated inflation and unemployment rates. But for long-term prosperity in the U.S.

Economics 52

Economics Government Economy Banking 52

Park Place Financial

NOVEMBER 29, 2022

Estates Estate Planning in this Economic Climate Schedule a Complimentary Financial Review CLICK HERE TO SCHEDULE. Between inflation, increasing interest rates, federal changes to monetary policies, and global conflict, many factors are putting a strain on the current economic situation. Create a Trust . Work with the Professionals .

Estate Planning 52

Estate Planning Economics Planning Financial Planner 52

Abnormal Returns

JULY 20, 2023

Strategy Why stock market valuations are logically higher today than they were in the past. npr.org) Economy Jobless claims are not breaking out, yet. marketwatch.com) What's driving economic pessimism? ofdollarsanddata.com) Why compounding is still unheralded. wsj.com) The U.S. lags, badly, in real-time funds transfer.

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Valuation Media Economy 130

Abnormal Returns

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

(howardlindzon.com) Private assets Why private equity needs much better valuations. bloomberg.com) Economy What does a 'no landing' economic scenario look like? ft.com) Why where investors mark the portfolios can be all over the place. axios.com) Funds Tax efficiency is the secret sauce of ETFs. pragcap.com) Fidelity is hiring!

Financial Advising 147

Financial Advising Engineering Valuation Retail 147

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

FOMC Says Inflation Is Still Too High Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Concerns over a firmer monetary policy were heightened by fresh economic data, touching off a climb in bond yields and a slide in stock prices last week. However, members diverged on the economy, with some members finding the risk of recession elevated.

Economics 59

Economics Taxes Investment Advisor Investing 59

Abnormal Returns

JANUARY 18, 2023

institutionalinvestor.com) Startup valuations trended down in the second half of 2022. angellist.com) Economic uncertainty is not slow the pace of investment at Brookfield Infrastructure Partners ($BIP). institutionalinvestor.com) Economy Retail sales fell 1.1% in December 2022.

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Startup Wealth Management Valuation 130

Nationwide Financial

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

The year began with a reversal in investors’ mood, from widespread pessimism about a pending recession at the end of 2022 to optimism for a soft landing for the economy, predicated on better-than-expected economic data. Rates might rise and stay higher for longer, challenging the current lofty valuations for equities.

Valuation 104

Valuation Economy Economics Marketing 104

Carson Wealth

JANUARY 16, 2024

We believe the odds of a recession remain low, with continued income growth, a recovery in rate-sensitive cyclical areas of the economy, and untapped potential for productivity gains helping to support the expansion. Market participants, strategists, policymakers, and the economy rarely saw eye to eye. We continue to favor the U.S.,

Investing 96

Investing Investments Marketing Marketing 96

The Big Picture

AUGUST 1, 2023

Recall John Kenneth Galbraith’s observation: “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” are fast-growing, highly profitable key players in the modern economy. But we won’t know how big a losing trade it might be until early 2024, when we see the updated valuations.

Economics 246

Economics Valuation Marketing Marketing 246

Abnormal Returns

JUNE 11, 2023

wsj.com) How a seed investor approaches valuation discussions. nytimes.com) Economy How will the fertility crisis affect GDP growth? axios.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (om.co) Twitter really hates paying its bills. platformer.news) VC You can expect to see more startups closing up shop as funding dries.

Financial Advising 130

Financial Advising Startup Budgeting Valuation 130

Carson Wealth

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

We Aren’t Alone Anymore A year ago, we told anyone who would listen that the economy would likely avoid a recession and stocks were going to have a great year. Since avoiding a recession is normal, falling concern about the economy isn’t contrarian in itself, but we do lose some extra fuel from bearish views unwinding.

Marketing 96

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 96

The Big Picture

JANUARY 9, 2023

My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • Economist Says His Indicator That Predicted Eight US Recessions Is Wrong This Year : Cambell Harvey’s work showed link between curve inversion and growth Strong labor demand, risk avoidance support US economy now. Bloomberg ). The index is now up 8.9% from its October 12 closing low of 3,577.03

Economy 158

Economy Valuation Education Retail 158

Truemind Capital

AUGUST 12, 2023

Despite being widely expected for many months, the recession has yet to materialize in the US and other developed economies. All the sectors went up with major sectoral growth seen in auto (up 22%), realty (up 33%), and consumer durables (up 13%) on the back of an improving economic outlook.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

FEBRUARY 26, 2024

Stocks Rally To Record Highs Stocks traded in a fairly tight range for the first half of the short week, yawning at the lack of economic data while awaiting earnings results from one key company that creates chips that power the artificial intelligence operations of many firms. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: New Home Sales.

Marketing 82

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 82

Carson Wealth

JULY 27, 2022

It all added up to the third most volatile market in 25 years. And while the economy isn’t going to just turn on a dime and recover overnight, there is hope for a better second half of the year. Valuations Could Move to a More Normal Range . Virus variants: Will virus mutations undo the economic recovery? High inflation.

Marketing 98

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economy 98

The Big Picture

JULY 21, 2023

disinflation sweeps through 2023, without a cratering of employment or the wider economy so far, the narrative is shifting again – and encouraging hopes that bruising central bank tightening may be short-lived too. Valuations by Market Cap Range Source: @nategeraci Sign up for our reads-only mailing list here. Don’t buy it.

Engineering 239

Engineering Valuation Communication Media 239

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 4, 2023

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other. manufacturing sector, by the measures of employment and service prices, has been in a recession for nearly 12 months.

Valuation 205

Valuation Economics Economy Marketing 205

Truemind Capital

JANUARY 24, 2024

Many investors of today do not have much idea about how persistently high inflation can be ruinous to the economic health and their own wealth. The world has accumulated a significant proportion of debt at low yields (thanks to reckless money printing) that any meaningful monetary tightening can plunge the economies into recession.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Valuation Engineering Economics 52

Nationwide Financial

APRIL 3, 2023

This either sets the stage for upward revisions as pessimism eases or suggests the S&P 500 has gotten ahead of itself, with a valuation of 18x forward earnings. Pessimists argue about still elevated inflation, tightening financial conditions, the risk to earnings estimates, and rising valuations. Consumer spending was up 0.2%

Marketing 105

Marketing Marketing Valuation Economics 105

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

MARCH 4, 2024

1 Economic news also helped boost markets. Consumers Remain Upbeat With all the excitement over AI, it’s easy to overlook some key economic indicators that also speak to the underlying strength of the economy—specifically, consumer data. 3,4 This Week: Key Economic Data Monday: Motor Vehicle Sales.

Marketing 71

Marketing Marketing Economics Taxes 71

Truemind Capital

JANUARY 16, 2024

Contrary to the expectation of an economic slowdown in 2023, the year turned out to be full of surprises, mostly positive ones. Global growth exceeded projections, primarily propelled by the resilient performance of the US economy. The debt yields have declined across the yield curve maturities in the developed economies.

Financial Market 52

Financial Market Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Nationwide Financial

MAY 10, 2023

Are the Russell 2000’s weak returns a sign of slowing economic growth, or is the recent underperformance of small caps reflecting investor sentiment about current market opportunities? The valuation gap between small and large caps is just as notable as the gap in year-to-date performance.

Risk Tolerance 52

Risk Tolerance Valuation Economics Accounting 52

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

MARCH 11, 2024

The economy added 275,000 jobs in February—exceeding the 198,000 expected—but wage growth slowed, and jobless claims edged up. Some investors saw that as a negative, while others viewed it as a “Goldilocks” moment—an economy that’s not too hot or cold. 6,7 This Week: Key Economic Data Tuesday: Consumer Price Index.

Marketing 75

Marketing Marketing Insurance Taxes 75

Validea

JANUARY 13, 2023

Making things murkier are happenings such as the rising bond yield, and stock valuations that are again near their long-term average, as well as bubble bursts in the speculative tech, cryptocurrency, and clean energy sectors. Economic data backs up the confusion, according to the article.

Investing 59

Investing Investments Valuation Economy 59

Validea

MAY 5, 2023

Market volatility and economic slowdowns can often expose a company’s vulnerabilities, making it easier for activist investors to target those companies and campaign for massive changes, contends an article in Barron’s. But as that liquidity drains out, it’s much more difficult to keep those problems in the dark.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economy Economics Banking 52

Validea

FEBRUARY 10, 2023

Shifting out of equities and into bonds may be the direction investors want to go, since equity valuations are still expensive, contends Ian Harnett, a chief investment strategist at Absolute Strategy Research. and at Japan, where the yen’s low valuation and the reopening of the economy could prove a winning investment.

Investing 59

Investing Investments Valuation Wealth Advisor 59

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2023

Commentators continue to shout the doom-and-gloom forecasts of a hard landing recession, but after an economic hurricane in 2022 there are some signs the financial clouds have begun to lift this year. Investors Waiting for Another Flood While the calls for a hard economic landing remain, healthy GDP growth ( +2.9%

Economy 59

Economy Economics CFP Investing 59