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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 175
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Wednesday links: living through downturns

Abnormal Returns

(entrylevel.topdowncharts.com) Strategy 12 lessons the markets taught investors in 2023 including 'Valuations cannot be used to time markets.' realreturns.blog) Lessons learned from markets in 2023 including 'Years like 2023 are why investors should not put much weight into market or economic predictions.'

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Wednesday links: an awesome product

Abnormal Returns

(marginalrevolution.com) Finance Private equity is stuck between elevated valuations high interest rates and a moribund IPO market. apolloacademy.com) How much longer can banks and office owners push out loan expirations? institutionalinvestor.com) How rising interest rates have affected interest coverage ratios for leveraged loans.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world. Alex Murrell ) • UBS Chairman’s Top-Secret Prep Paid Off in Credit Suisse Moment : Colm Kelleher was ready when a crisis of confidence that started in US regional banking spread to Switzerland.

Valuation 283
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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site Spending does more than change your bank balance. aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com) Small cap valuations look attractive. wsj.com) Three things that are dampening economic pain, including remote work. abnormalreturns.com) Why rough edges remain in financial markets: people. collabfund.com) Travel while you can.

Medical 162
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Bank on it? Top 5 Banking Stocks

Dear Mr. Market

Dear Mr. Market: SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) logo is seen through broken glass in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. Wash, rinse, repeat… Does that little preamble mean banking stocks now will be the oil stocks from just three years ago?

Banking 59
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Sunday links: the appeal of simple stories

Abnormal Returns

tker.co) You can't take historical stock market statistics to the bank. riabiz.com) Companies Nvidia's ($NVDA) valuation has gotten ahead of itself. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. Markets Wall Street strategists views on the market can differ in the short and long term.