The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

My mental image was that he worked in the bank of, back of a bank approving mortgage applications. There’s also quantitative metrics that we look at Those have evolved, but always within that capa, that cluster of high returns on investment stability across the economic cycle are consistent and strong balance sheets.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds ajackson Tue, 07/24/2018 - 09:25 For years, “defense” in portfolios—i.e., allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

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Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. But after many years of economic recovery, we finally have reached a point where defensive allocations once again provide a reasonable yield. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

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Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages. Source: Trading Economics. The rising Baker Hughes drilling rig count below reflects the miracle of supply-demand economics operating in full force. Source: Trading Economics. Source: GasBuddy.com.

Economy 59

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Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks achen Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47 Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks. Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47.

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Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Truemind Capital

MARCH 20, 2020

In good times i.e. when the market valuations are usually very high, everyone agrees to the logic of buying low and selling high. Not understanding the role & importance of tactical asset allocation (overweight debt in euphoric times and overweight equity in a time of acute pessimism) in creating superior returns over the long term.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

Ahead of the first tightening by the Federal Reserve in nine years, we are shifting into less-traditional assets, anticipating that, at best, U.S. stocks and fixed income securities will probably languish when the central bank begins to withdraw record stimulus. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations.

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Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S.

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Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. Incremental Equity Risks.

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Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Japan’s GDP had grown by an average of more than 5% per year from 1950 to 1989—a true post-War economic miracle. As important, however, is the contrast in how the two countries have dealt with financial or economic crises.

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Investing Investments Assets Economics 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Investors who were active in the late 1980s will recall that asset prices in Japan reached extreme levels as money poured into the country from all over the world, propelled by extraordinary economic growth.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Assets Economics 52

Truemind Capital

APRIL 19, 2024

RBI also goes in tandem with the other central banks regarding rate cuts to maintain stability in the exchange rate and avoid the risk of loosening too early. Indian equity benchmark BSE Sensex went up by only 2% due to already stretched equity valuations. Other Asset Classes: Gold sparkled in the last quarter, going up by 9%.

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Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 98

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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Assets Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

As I have discussed numerous times in the past, money goes where it is treated best, which is why interest rates, cash flows, and valuations play such a key role in ultimately determining long-term values across all asset classes. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). interest rates.

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Math Assets Investing Investments 52

The Big Picture

MARCH 5, 2024

So I switched to be an economics major. I graduated economics with, with a lot of coursework in accounting and finance. So they’d give individual asset allocation to people and they’d go invest their money. And so I remember back, back in 2005 when we first started, you know, we think about the banks.

Banking 141

Banking Portfolio Assets Investing 141

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

Although we expressed some worry about the long-term effects of mounting deficits, we concluded that stocks and other assets were not in bubble territory and represented good value despite what we saw as a weak economic recovery. Some might argue that the Fed’s policy could trigger another crisis as asset prices become overly inflated.

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Investing Investments Valuation Assets 52

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

His latest book could not be more timely, “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest,” it’s all about the history of interest rates, money lending, investing speculation, funded by banks and loans and credit. And Jeremy said, “Well, at least there’s enough structural redundancy in the banking system.”

Banking 141

Banking Valuation Economy Investing 141

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said in June that the central bank is carefully monitoring whether investors “take on risks they cannot measure or manage.”. million in 2006, inhibiting demand and economic growth, according to the Krueger report. By Taylor Graff, CFA, Asset Allocation Analyst. million from about 3.8

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Transportation Government Economy Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Assets 52

James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment. With economic data continuing to suggest the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Valuation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The hit to valuations in the form of about 4 P/E points (21 to 17) translates into a roughly 20% drop in the S&P 500 Index. Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

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Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

One equity market debate discussed frequently in the LPL Research Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) is the growth vs. value style reversal experienced the past 12 months. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Investment Perspectives - The Great Debate achen Wed, 06/21/2017 - 12:35 Aside from some current political and economic topics that dominate the financial media, the most widely debated investment issue today involves the merits of passive investing, or indexing. Reasons for this tendency are varied. In short, every situation is different.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2017

Aside from some current political and economic topics that dominate the financial media, the most widely debated investment issue today involves the merits of passive investing, or indexing. It underperformed primarily during very strong markets, as might be expected given its discipline with regard to valuations.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management 52

James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Economic activity does not stop like an airplane eventually does, but rather the economy will settle into a steady state where growth is consistent with factors such as population and productivity. Perhaps that was not the first time market watchers used the term, but the conversations at the Economic Club of New York were prescient.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Market strategists and pundits make the relationship between recessions and the stock market seem binary, but each economic contraction is different and has different effects on earnings. First, keep in mind that stocks tend to look forward by four to six months and can provide warnings of changing economic conditions.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Valuation 52

James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Economic and corporate data support the initial strong reads on holiday retail sales despite the macro headwinds, reinforcing the idea that today’s consumer is in a better position than usual at this point in the business cycle. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

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Retail Marketing Marketing Sales 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 30, 2018

While February’s volatility did not materially change our asset allocation views, it reinforced to us the importance of a comprehensive discussion about how we think about risk and how we manage it. Our asset allocation process accounts for a wide range of potential outcomes over the next 18–36 months.

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Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Valuation 52

The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. So there’s been a big push for folks to get the appropriate level of asset allocation in a highly diversified, low cost way. DAVIS: Where international equities, because of valuations, probably 7% to 7.5%. RITHOLTZ: Yes.

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Portfolio Investing Investments Numbers 130

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Recent wholesale inflation tells a similar story of a peak in pricing pressures, which has been the expectation of the Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee (STAAC) at LPL Research. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. All index data from Bloomberg.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

The Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee’s (STAAC) S&P 500 year-end fair value target of 4,000-4,100 is based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. times the STAAC’s 2023 S&P 500 earnings per share forecast of $230.

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Portfolio Taxes Government Investment Advisor 52

The Big Picture

JUNE 13, 2023

I don’t know how relevant that is to asset management, but let’s talk a little bit about you were doing before you were being lauded by the French president. You went to school in Paris, but you began your career in London at Merrill and Deutsche Bank. I joined, effectively, Deutsche Bank. I think we learned a lot.

Banking 141

Banking Assets Investing Investments 141

Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

With the most recent economic data showing signs of acceleration, more observers began to question the wisdom of introducing fiscal stimulation at a time when the economy was already gaining momentum. The prospect of legislative agreement to significantly increase federal spending on defense and infrastructure only added fuel to the fire.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Economy Assets 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 13, 2018

With the most recent economic data showing signs of acceleration, more observers began to question the wisdom of introducing fiscal stimulation at a time when the economy was already gaining momentum. The prospect of legislative agreement to significantly increase federal spending on defense and infrastructure only added fuel to the fire.

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Investing Investments Economy Assets 52