Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

September 2016 Insights on Markets and Investments achen Mon, 09/12/2016 - 01:00 In this issue: Investors Facing Rising Risks Need Solid Defense, Savvy Offense Increasing political and economic risk during the past year has widened the range of possible positive and negative scenarios for financial markets.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Asset Allocation Marketing 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 11, 2016

In this issue: Investors Facing Rising Risks Need Solid Defense, Savvy Offense Increasing political and economic risk during the past year has widened the range of possible positive and negative scenarios for financial markets. By Taylor Graff, Head of Asset Allocation Research and Ed Chadwyck-Healey, Head of International Private Clients ?

Investing 52

Investing Investments Asset Allocation Marketing 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks achen Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47 Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 31, 2017

Asset allocation—at least for us—is an exercise in nuance. We move slowly and carefully when it comes to shifting our portfolios away from one asset class or region and toward another. EUROPEAN RE-ENTRY: Why We Are Shifting Portfolios Toward European Stocks. Thu, 06/01/2017 - 02:47.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Valuation Economics 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

Strong Defense: The Falling Opportunity Cost of Allocating to Bonds ajackson Tue, 07/24/2018 - 09:25 For years, “defense” in portfolios—i.e., allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

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Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 24, 2018

allocations to cash and core fixed income holdings—has meant a willingness to accept extremely low returns. But after many years of economic recovery, we finally have reached a point where defensive allocations once again provide a reasonable yield. Robust Q1 2018 earnings growth improved the valuation picture for U.S.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economics Asset Allocation Clients 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 21, 2023

When macro conditions are uncertain, a banker’s approach to valuation can help. Read more > 2023 Asset Allocation Perspectives and Outlook We are pleased to share Brown Advisory’s 2023 Outlook. The economy shakes, but the market shrugs.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Clients 52

Investing Caffeine

APRIL 1, 2022

The hangover from COVID has created significant supply chain disruptions and widespread economic shortages. Source: Trading Economics. The rising Baker Hughes drilling rig count below reflects the miracle of supply-demand economics operating in full force. Source: Trading Economics. Source: GasBuddy.com.

Economy 59

Economy Economics Valuation Investing 59

ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

As with many things in life, the truth is somewhere between the extremes: While both simulated and real-world data suggest momentum may not be suitable as a driver of long-term asset allocations, we believe momentum considerations can be integrated in a cost-effective way to help inform daily portfolio management decisions.

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Asset Allocation Commission Portfolio Distribution 52

Truemind Capital

MARCH 20, 2020

In good times i.e. when the market valuations are usually very high, everyone agrees to the logic of buying low and selling high. Not understanding the role & importance of tactical asset allocation (overweight debt in euphoric times and overweight equity in a time of acute pessimism) in creating superior returns over the long term.

Asset Allocation 52

Asset Allocation Valuation Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

FEBRUARY 15, 2019

Later in the year, markets became anxious about other topics, such as a potential economic slowdown, a new level of dysfunction in Washington (including unusual executive challenges to the Fed's independence and an extended partial government shutdown), and escalating trade disputes between the U.S. equity exposure.

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Valuation Clients Portfolio Investing 52

Validea

SEPTEMBER 29, 2022

Second, if investors aren’t willing to assign the same valuation to stocks (due to higher interest rates and uncertainty), that also has a negative effect. I for one don’t think so and neither does Burton Malkiel, Princeton Economics professor and author of the classic finance book A Random Walk Down Wall Street.

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Assets Portfolio Asset Allocation Retirement 69

Dear Mr. Market

AUGUST 5, 2022

Inflation is currently at 40 year highs with increasing signs of slowing economic growth. We’re currently seeing one of the largest disparities in valuations between growth and value stocks which in our opinion presents a very appealing opportunity for dividend seeking investors.

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Portfolio Risk Tolerance Valuation Investing 105

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. In the U.S.,

Management 52

Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 1, 2018

We tend to be strategic rather than tactical in our approach to investing, but a combination of recent fundamental developments and valuation changes has caused us to add a note of caution in conversations with clients and in the management of their portfolios. From an economic perspective, growth in the U.S. Incremental Equity Risks.

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Management Investing Investments Valuation 52

Dear Mr. Market

MARCH 17, 2024

We still like Energy this year and that is especially so with it being one of the most beaten down economic sectors from 2023. EOG is poised to breakout and trades at bargain valuation of about nine times earnings (relative to the S&P at 23 times earnings and a touch under the overall energy sector of 12 times earnings).

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Investing Investments Portfolio Assets 105

Brown Advisory

JUNE 3, 2015

The economic expansion is weak and inflation is still below the central bank’s 2% target. equity market: A comparatively quick interest rate increase counteracts the benefit from stronger economic growth, impairing profitability and valuations. Concern about future economic growth undermines valuations.

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Valuation Economy Banking Economics 52

Truemind Capital

APRIL 19, 2024

Indian equity benchmark BSE Sensex went up by only 2% due to already stretched equity valuations. Mid & small cap indices witnessed some correction after the SEBI expressed concerns regarding frothy valuations and nudged mutual funds to restrict inflows. European indices also saw decent returns.

Financial Market 98

Financial Market Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing 98

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Japan’s GDP had grown by an average of more than 5% per year from 1950 to 1989—a true post-War economic miracle. As important, however, is the contrast in how the two countries have dealt with financial or economic crises.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Assets Economics 52

Brown Advisory

NOVEMBER 12, 2019

could fall victim to long-term economic stagnation, similar to the fate that befell Japan starting in the 1990s. Investors who were active in the late 1980s will recall that asset prices in Japan reached extreme levels as money poured into the country from all over the world, propelled by extraordinary economic growth.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Assets Economics 52

Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

As I have discussed numerous times in the past, money goes where it is treated best, which is why interest rates, cash flows, and valuations play such a key role in ultimately determining long-term values across all asset classes. Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). interest rates.

Math 52

Math Assets Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

Although we expressed some worry about the long-term effects of mounting deficits, we concluded that stocks and other assets were not in bubble territory and represented good value despite what we saw as a weak economic recovery. It’s remarkable how far the markets have come in the five years since then. Possible Signs. Then and Now.

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Investing Investments Valuation Assets 52

James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. Recent economic data has pointed to continued growth—giving rise to the “no landing” narrative.

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Assets Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

As head of asset allocation research in our Investment Solutions Group, he is responsible for analyzing the relative attractiveness of various asset classes and investment strategies. has not seen 10+ year economic expansions, other developed markets certainly have. Additionally, while it is true that the U.S.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management Clients 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

As head of asset allocation research in our Investment Solutions Group, he is responsible for analyzing the relative attractiveness of various asset classes and investment strategies. has not seen 10+ year economic expansions, other developed markets certainly have. Additionally, while it is true that the U.S.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management Clients 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 3, 2015

million in 2006, inhibiting demand and economic growth, according to the Krueger report. Among our holdings in sectors backed by clear flows of revenues, we maintain an overweight in health care and transportation and remain focused on credit stability, valuations and opportunities for price gains. million from about 3.8 Current U.S.

Transportation 52

Transportation Government Economy Asset Allocation 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

In this article, our head of asset allocation discusses how we are managing trade risk, while still embracing global growth opportunities in our portfolios. A rapid increase in foreign trade has fueled global economic growth, and multinational companies have flourished in this environment. Tariffs: Bark or Bite? economy.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Clients Sales 52

Brown Advisory

MAY 10, 2018

In this article, our head of asset allocation discusses how we are managing trade risk, while still embracing global growth opportunities in our portfolios. A rapid increase in foreign trade has fueled global economic growth, and multinational companies have flourished in this environment. Tariffs: Bark or Bite? Tariff Recap.

Economy 52

Economy Portfolio Clients Sales 52

James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

The LPL Research Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation Committee is increasing its recommended interest rate exposure in its tactical allocation from underweight to neutral. As we know from historical precedents, when the Fed aggressively raises rates, economic growth slows or outright contracts, which is the Fed’s goal.

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Asset Allocation Marketing Marketing Assets 52

Brown Advisory

DECEMBER 2, 2015

This helps to meet your immediate needs and instill discipline in a longterm context, averting excessive spending when valuations are rising. By Taylor Graff, CFA, Asset Allocation Analyst. Determine both your annual level of spending and a five- and 10-year goal for portfolio returns. Ensuring Legacies Last.

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Taxes Clients Estate Planning Compliance 52

James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

However, the impending end of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hiking campaign, and the economy’s and corporate America’s resilience, help make the bull case that steers LPL Research toward a neutral, rather than negative, equities view from a tactical asset allocation perspective. At the same time, the resilience of the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Asset Allocation Valuation 52

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

That’s not suggesting another 2008 is coming, but rather highlights how fast the economic environment can change. Along with the statement, the Committee updated the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which is arguably more important than the brief monetary policy statement.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Asset Allocation 52

James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

Lessons learned: Economic forecasts The Fed’s bark was as bad as its bite! economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The hit to valuations in the form of about 4 P/E points (21 to 17) translates into a roughly 20% drop in the S&P 500 Index. Here are some of our lessons learned from 2022.

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Marketing Marketing Valuation Asset Allocation 52

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: Well, he sort of — yeah, he thought about it.

Banking 140

Banking Valuation Economy Investing 140

James Hendries

JULY 13, 2022

Increased equity exposure in tactical asset allocation from 62% to 65%. Reduced low duration core bond allocation and increased allocation to small cap equities. Although energy prices came down some, weakening economic data and the lack of a cease-fire in Ukraine offset the modest gas price relief.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Asset Allocation Taxes Investment Advisor 52

James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

While activity remains muted at best, expectations are focused on 2024, when there is a prevailing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be finished with its rate hike campaign, and that economic conditions will be resilient enough to underpin a strong capital markets environment. With economic data continuing to suggest the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Valuation 52

Brown Advisory

MARCH 28, 2019

As we stated in “Confronting the Unknown,” our 2018 asset allocation publication, standard deviation is “a helpful shortcut for thinking about risk, but it is not a fully effective proxy.” The “shoestring curve” below depicts these risks for a hypothetical portfolio, assuming various asset allocation targets.

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Asset Allocation Portfolio Assets Clients 52