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Financial Market Round-Up – Jul’23

Truemind Capital

All the sectors went up with major sectoral growth seen in auto (up 22%), realty (up 33%), and consumer durables (up 13%) on the back of an improving economic outlook. The recent rally in the market has made the valuations more expensive compared to historical standards. Valuations across all sectors do not offer any margin of safety.

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Financial Market Round-Up – Jan’24

Truemind Capital

Most of the time, even the winners account for very low weight in the overall assets, resulting in miniscule contribution to the portfolio returns. For example, a stock rising by 100% in a year, if had a weightage of 1% in the overall assets, adds only 1% more return to the portfolio.

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Equity markets at a crossroads – What is the way forward?

Truemind Capital

The quantum of money printing jumped massively after Corona-led economic shutdowns. The liquidity support since 2008 and massive stimulus post March 2020 has inflated all the asset prices be it equity, debt, or real estate. US Fed increased its balance sheet size from ~$4-4.5 trillion to ~$8-8.5 trillion in a span of just 2 years.

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What lessons today’s investors can learn from the collapse of the Roman Empire?

Truemind Capital

There is no price for guessing that gold as an asset class can protect against the risk created by the actions of our policy makers. This has resulted in skyrocketing valuations of the stock markets. Nifty currently is trading at a multi-year’s high valuation. K-shape recovery ?

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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

The Big Picture

So it’s, 00:09:11 [Speaker Changed] You’ve become an enterprise, it’s 10 x what it once was in terms of headcount, it’s much bigger in terms of assets. Then what enables that you have to have some asset ability capability that competitors can’t equally duplicate. I do keep a strong balance sheet.

Valuation 130
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Client Letter | Looking Ahead | November 2, 2022

James Hendries

The market is always forward-looking, and asset prices tend to reflect what may happen months or quarters ahead. Some recent softening in economic data, coupled with signals from the bond market, may be indicating that Fed policymakers’ concerted inflation fight may be closer to the end than the beginning.

Clients 52
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Four Strategies for The Risk-Averse Investor

Validea

The downturn in stocks and other assets reflect a number of concerning things. Higher interest rates have made the affordability of homes and other assets much more costly. Second, if investors aren’t willing to assign the same valuation to stocks (due to higher interest rates and uncertainty), that also has a negative effect.

Assets 69