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State Coincident Indicators: November 2022

The Big Picture

The Philly Fed map is based on Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment data for the states; the St Louis Fed builds on that, creating an ongoing chart that shows the relationship between the state data and recessions: Number of States with Negative Growth (State Coincident Indexes). UPDATE: Jan 4 2022 10:53am. By Kevin L.

Numbers 278
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2 Ways the 2022 Economic Woes Affected Your Retirement Accounts

Integrity Financial Planning

The 2022 economic climate has been bumpy for most and, in some cases, even bumpier for retirees. Americans and the world at large dealt with the economic ramifications of the Russia-Ukraine war, post-pandemic industrial effects, and rising inflation and interest rates. 1] However, in 2022, this number spiked to 9.1%

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Comments on April Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the April employment report was below expectations, and February and March payrolls were revised down by 22,000 combined. YoY in March 2022 and was at 3.9% Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.5

Numbers 117
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Labor or Capital Driven Inflation?

The Big Picture

When I put together my list of what was to blame for inflation , corporate profit-seeking was number (13 of 15). Traditional economic consensus used to be inflation occurred when too many dollars chased too few goods. Economic Policy Institute, April 21, 2022). Previously : Behind the Curve, Part V (November 3, 2022).

Economics 332
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Comments on March Employment Report

Calculated Risk

The headline jobs number in the March employment report was above expectations; and January and February payrolls were revised up by 22,000 combined. YoY in March 2022 and was at 4.1% Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : " The number of people employed part time for economic reasons, at 4.3

Numbers 123
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Collapse in Prospective Home Buyer Traffic

The Big Picture

About a quarter of the October 2022 slides were focused on real estate. This brings us to the chart: The one above shows the traffic of prospective buyers looking at a new home (2014- 2022); the one below goes back to the 1980s. Aspirational Pricing (May 25, 2022). This is atypical.

Budgeting 363
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2% Inflation Target is Silly

The Big Picture

It is one of those round numbers that people just kinda made up and started with for no apparent reason. But the 2% inflation target is LITERALLY a random number 2 that originated in New Zealand in the 1980s. If there was something magical about 2% as the ideal balance between prices and jobs, that would be one thing.

Economy 246