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Wednesday links: a new revenue model

Abnormal Returns

(allstarcharts.com) Bitcoin hit its highest level since November 2021. blockworks.co) Strategy Rubin Miller, "Investing on hopes and hunches — making emotional decisions — is why so few portfolios earn the actual market return." behaviouralinvestment.com) Why the 60/40 portfolio isn't going anywhere.

Valuation 255
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Observations to Start 2023

The Big Picture

Holding onto expectations of major shifts in key drivers of the markets and the economy – merely due to the changing of the calendar – is a carryover from the days when the calendar mattered much more. Consider: From 2010 through 2021, The S&P500 Index gained 330% — a little over 13% annually (not including dividends).

Economy 321
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Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy?

The Big Picture

2020: Covid : With the economy closed, people locked down, and local businesses crashing, many were expecting a replay of the previous market crash. 2021 Inflation Surge : In March 2021, CPI shot through the feds upside target of 2%. This was a money-losing set of narratives.

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Weekend Thoughts – Inflation Hedges, Bonds & The “This is Fine” Economy

Discipline Funds

Let’s look at the scorecard: Bitcoin – it boomed in 2020 well in advance of the big inflation spike in 2021 & 2022 and weirdly busted as inflation reared its ugly head. TIPS – Like most bonds, TIPS surged in 2020 & 2021 and then got clobbered when inflation spiked. 3) The “This is Fine” Economy.

Economy 77
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Market Review 2021: A Recovery Amid Challenges

ClearMoney

Coming out of a volatile 2020, investors sought signals as to which way the global economy was headed. Throughout the year, the market continued a relatively steady rise, with large cap stocks in the US ending 2021 near a record high. After widening in 2020, credit spreads ended 2021 at levels narrower than pre-pandemic levels.

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Tuesday links: detrimental behavior

Abnormal Returns

capitalspectator.com) 2022 was the third worst year for the 60/40 portfolio. in 2022 vs. 2021. nytimes.com) The UK has 'deconverged' from the rest of the global economy. nytimes.com) Economy Where various measures of the jobs market stand. Markets How major asset classes performed in December 2022. etf.com) Global U.S.

Startup 204
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Inflation in the U.S. Economy: Risks & Recommendations

Brown Advisory

Economy: Risks & Recommendations ajackson Tue, 05/25/2021 - 08:12 Our new report, “Inflation in the U.S. Economy: Risks & Recommendations”, by Sid Ahl, Taylor Graff and Tom Graff is now available. Inflation in the U.S.

Economy 52