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Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?

Calculated Risk

2) Employment: Through November 2023, the economy added 2.6 million in 2021 (the two best years ever), but still a solid year for employment gains. Or will the economy lose jobs? This graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021. Or will the economy lose jobs? million jobs in 2023. This is down from 4.8

Economy 115
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AAR: October Rail Combined Carloads and Intermodal Highest Since June 2021

Calculated Risk

railroads averaged 499,331 per week in October 2023, the most for any month since June 2021 — a span of 28 months. Part of the increase relates to intermodal seasonality and concerns over Panama Canal capacity, but part also reflects an economy that remains resilient. Carloads in 2021, 2022 and 2022: Total originated carloads on U.S.

Economy 72
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US Economy Grew at a 4.9% Pace Last Quarter, Fastest Since 2021

Advisor Perspectives

The US economy grew at the fastest pace in nearly two years last quarter, fueled by a surge in consumer spending.

Economy 52
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Want More Jobs? Raise the Minimum Wage

The Big Picture

I have been nurturing a pet thesis as to why higher minimum wages are a net positive for an economy: It acts as a transfer of revenue allocation from low-wage employers and franchisees from Capital to Labor. It stays local and is likely to benefit the regional economy. It has aa much smaller impact on the local economy.

Food 364
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Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy

Calculated Risk

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Purple is for 2021, and Red is for 2022.

Economy 136
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Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy

Calculated Risk

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Purple is for 2021, and Red is for 2022.

Economy 145
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Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy

Calculated Risk

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA for 2019 (Light Blue), 2020 (Black), 2021 (Blue) and 2022 (Red). Black is 2020, Blue is 2021 and Red is 2022. The red line is for 2022, black is 2020, blue is the median, and dashed light blue is for 2021. Purple is for 2021, and Red is for 2022.

Economy 137