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10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy

The Big Picture

I find it useful occasionally to go back to first principles and reconsider the sources that have influenced my thinmking. 10 Quotes That Shaped My Investment Philosophy 1. “I write to discover what I think. Boorstin I began writing early in my career and found it tremendously useful.

Investing 344
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Tales from the Dark Side

The Big Picture

What made this particular conversation so intriguing was his sudden epiphany about the Sell-side. Our previous discussions (debates really) were over the traditional model of brokerage I push back against versus the fee-based fiduciary asset management I embrace. What led to his realization was an exit from his firm by a senior broker.

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The “Art” of Market Timing

The Big Picture

1 I’ve had some pretty good market timing calls in my career, and I attribute my success in that space to three factors: 1) Instinct; 2) Low Stakes; 3) Luck. 3 Imagine a private placement memorandum seeking to raise money based on “ decades of honed instincts ” as an investment model. It’s utterly laughable.

Marketing 293
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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

Asterisk ) • An Innovation System That Works : Before rushing to build the next DARPA, we need to assess the R&D model we have. Boston Review ) • What Mitt Romney Saw in the Senate : In an exclusive excerpt from my forthcoming biography of the senator, Romney: A Reckoning, he reveals what drove him to retire. (

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Supply Chain Is 40% of Inflation

The Big Picture

This raises the obvious question as to what increasing FOMC rates are going to do to fix the 40% that is supply-chain-related problems. My job is not to give policy advice to the Fed, but to interpret what they are doing and its most likely impact on our portfolios. Previously : What’s Driving Inflation: Labor or Capital?

Medicine 363
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Be Careful With Backtesting

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

We have a lot of fun here with backtesting portfolios. There was news going around that Daffy.org was adding Bitcoin in 5% or 10% weightings to a couple of its portfolios , presumably to improve returns for otherwise "normal" looking portfolios. It is important to understand at least some of what drove returns.

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Introducing “At The Money”

The Big Picture

I’m very excited to tell you about my new podcast: At the Money. So when Bloomberg asked me about creating another podcast, my response was different – short-form investment literacy discussions with financial experts. So what’s a potential home buyer to do? How Much Money Is Too Much? How much money is too much?

Investing 152