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What Else Might be Driving Sentiment?

The Big Picture

My prior sentiment discussions focused on two things: The general unreliability of surveys — asking people questions and then assuming their answers are accurate or honest; they are not, often because people are loathe to say “ I don’t know.” 4 People’s perceptions do not match the data.

Media 349
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More Inflation Expectations Silliness

The Big Picture

There are some who believe this is good news, but as we pointed out in May , it’s a meaningless, lagging survey. People have no ability to forecast things like what inflation will be like 1, 3, or 5 years hence. People who should know better pay way too much attention to Inflation Expectations.

Economy 290
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Monday links: understanding psychology

Abnormal Returns

seths.blog) Economy Even before the pandemic people were staying in more. bloomberg.com) The good news on real wages. com) Apple The Apple ($AAPL) Vision Pro is launching without a lot of popular apps. stratechery.com) The Apple ($AAPL) Mac changed the world. A look back 40 years later.

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (December 16-17)

Nerd's Eye View

Also in industry news this week: Most businesses that operate in the U.S., Also in industry news this week: Most businesses that operate in the U.S., Also in industry news this week: Most businesses that operate in the U.S., Also in industry news this week: Most businesses that operate in the U.S.,

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Future Proof 2023

The Big Picture

Times , Investment News , Financial Planning , RIA Biz , Think Advisor , Business Insider ; Afterward, I told you the traditional financial conference was kaput. We took people’s ideas to heart, and I am even more excited about this year’s event. Last year, we hosted the first Future Proof conference , and it was.

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10 Wednesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

A Wealth of Common Sense ) see also Your guide to ‘good news is bad news’ and ‘bad news is good news’ High inflation has made for unusual times. Average yields remained above healing CPI numbers throughout the 1990s and 2000s. ( Vanity Fair ). • Businessweek ). Behavioral Scientist ).

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Friday links: a toxic stew

Abnormal Returns

newyorker.com) Mixed media People have stopped checking their mailboxes. wsj.com) How people get their news today. (wsgresearch.com) Tarpley Hitt, "It’s hard to imagine a record more damning than the one Dalio has created himself." washingtonpost.com)