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Sunday links: addressing existential challenges

Abnormal Returns

Strategy The math on the 60/40 portfolio looks a lot different than it did a year ago. washingtonpost.com) Economy The U.S. awealthofcommonsense.com) There is a difference between picking and choosing. humbledollar.com) Companies Nvidia ($NVDA) has succeeded with a distributed workforce. labor market is slowing.

Math 239
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10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

The Hustle ). • What Is the Bond Market Saying About the Economy? A Wealth of Common Sense ) see also After a Terrible Year for Bonds, the Outlook Is Better : October capped their worst 12-month period ever, and the economy is under pressure. Yet the fundamental math of bond returns bodes well for 2023, our columnist says. (

Math 297
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Friday links: clarifying your direction

Abnormal Returns

barrons.com) Bond math looks a lot different from a year ago, let alone six months. morningstar.com) Just how bad is the drawdown in the 60/40 portfolio this year? nytimes.com) Economy Bill McBride, "Housing is the main transmission mechanism for Fed policy." Markets T-bill yields are approaching 4%.

Math 130
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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Stock Pickers Never Had a Chance Against Hard Math of the Market : In years like this one, when just a few big companies outperform, it’s hard to assemble a winning portfolio. economy is doing well, why do so many Americans say it’s terrible? Sapient Capital ) • If the U.S.

Insurance 130
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From Rocket Ship to Roller Coaster

Investing Caffeine

However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Math Matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.

Math 52
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RIA Net Organic Growth is Practically Non-Existent

Steve Sanduski

I’ll go straight to the punch line —> The average RIA firm had negative revenue growth over the past five years if you exclude market movement using a traditional 60/40 market portfolio as a proxy for RIA investment allocations. With a traditional 60/40 allocation, this portfolio would have grown about 75.5%

Math 52
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Ain’t So Bad

The Irrelevant Investor

Unfortunately, the math isn't on our side anymore. Two, I don't know anybody who holds an entire portfolio of long-term bonds. If interest rates rise because the economy is improving, you would think that gains from stocks will more than offset any losses in bonds. The increase in income quickly made up for the price decline.

Math 52