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Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy?

The Big Picture

If you believed these stories, and acted on them, your portfolio probably did poorly in markets over this era. What’s so fascinating about each of these eras is how a very coherent narrative storyline came together to explain things that are perhaps more random and unexplainable than we are comfortable with.

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2 Reasons the Generic 60/40 Portfolio Fails

Integrity Financial Planning

This strategy tells you to put 60% of your portfolio in equities and 40% in bonds or other fixed-income offerings. 3] Because stocks account for 60% of the 60/40 allocation, their drop has affected 60/40 portfolios, sinking their value. In a 60/40 allocation, this negatively affects the whole portfolio. 1] [link]. [2]

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MiB: Michael Rockefeller, Woodline Partners

The Big Picture

Previously, he worked as a Portfolio Manager at Citadel Global Equities and as an Analyst at Millennium Management. They seek out the best and worst stocks in various sectors to run a long short portfolio. His regular publications include the Monthly Chart Portfolio of Global Markets, Sectors and Stocks on the Move.

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Picking Apart A Very Sophisticated Portfolio

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

When I was working on yesterday's post I stumbled back into the Return Stacked 60/40 Absolute Return Index which is a portfolio funds blended together with a lot of embedded leverage in pursuit of capital efficiency. It's a very sophisticated portfolio. Here's what it is in the portfolio and the notional exposures.

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From Unprofitable To $115M AUM: Reinventing A 2nd Generation Advisory Business By Finding The Right Niche

Nerd's Eye View

Gary Siperstein, Jason's father, had built a successful investment management firm exclusively focused on managing portfolios of small-cap value stocks. The firm is now getting more clients that fit their niche (with 1-2 'ideal' prospects each month) and has increased its AUM from $55 million in 2016 to $115 million today.

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Can Bitcoin Actually Help A Diversified Portfolio?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

In the last few blog posts we've looked at portfolios that seek to replace bonds with alts in such a way to reduce portfolio volatility the way bonds used to. In a couple of instances we've created portfolios that outperformed Vanguard Balanced Index (VBAIX) a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio and did so with a lower standard deviation.

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Are You Sure You Want An All Weather Portfolio?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Over the summer we looked at the Cockroach Portfolio which is an all-weather sort of strategy that is not intended to look like the stock market. Portfolio 2 is the S&P 500 and Portfolio 3 is the Vanguard Balanced Index Fund (VBAIX) which is a proxy for a 60/40 portfolio. It lagged badly in 2016, 2019 and 2021.