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Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy?

The Big Picture

Previously : MiB: Danny Kahneman on Heuristics, Biases & Cognition (August 9, 2016) Tversky and Kahneman Changed How We Think (December 5, 2016) Some MIB background, Danny Kahneman Interview (February 15, 2017) The post Danny Kahneman: What if Everything is Narrative Fallacy? appeared first on The Big Picture.

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MiB: The Nobel Laureates

The Big Picture

The list appears to be mostly (but not exclusively) behavioral finance types; here is the short-list of laurates, plus a few related columns of Nobel Winners: Danny Kahneman on Noise (May 15, 2021) Paul Krugman on Zombie Ideas (February 15, 2020) Gene Fama (with David Booth) on Efficient Markets (November 9, 2019) Michael Spence, on the Dynamics of (..)

Investing 143
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MiB: Michael Lewis on SBF & FTX

The Big Picture

Previously : Cancelling Michael Lewis (October 5, 2023) Revisiting Liar’s Poker, 30 Years Later (April 22, 2022) MiB: Michael Lewis on Pandemic Planning (May 8, 2021) MiB: Michael Lewis on Coaches and Risk (May 25, 2020) MIB: Michael Lewis, Podcaster (April 6, 2019) MIB: Michael Lewis on a Writer’s Life (December 13, 2016) Michael Lewis’ Portrait (..)

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GDP When? (Not Now)

The Big Picture

Take all of these with a grain of salt… Previously : GDP Update: -52.8% (June 2, 2020) Cherry Picking Your Favorite GDP Forecast (May 18, 2016) Atlanta Fed GDPNow for 2016 Q2 (LOL) (May 18, 2016) Sources : NY Fed NowCast Atlanta Fed GDP Now Introducing the New York Fed Staff Nowcast NY Fed, April 12, 2016 GDPNow: A Model for GDP ‘Nowcasting’ (..)

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Nobody Knows Anything, Calvin & Hobbes edition

The Big Picture

Previously : Nobody Knows Nuthin’ (May 5, 2016) Can Anyone Catch Nokia?

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What If You Invested at the Peak Right Before the 2008 Crisis?

A Wealth of Common Sense

1 Here are the new highs by year since 2015: 2015: 10 2016: 1. By my count there have already been a baker’s dozen in 2024 alone.1

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Global Leaders Investment Letter - Q4 2016

Brown Advisory

Global Leaders Investment Letter - Q4 2016 ajackson Sat, 12/31/2016 - 09:50 Global Leaders Strategy Investment Letter - Q4 2016 This letter discusses Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election and the ensuing market upswing.