Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 28, 2022

percent) in September , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through September 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for June: Personal income increased $78.9 billion (0.4 billion (0.4

Food 145

Food Economics 145

The Big Picture

JULY 25, 2023

Essentially, he was referring to the entire field of behavioral economics. The 10-year returns for equities (2012-2021) when the SPX generated 16.6% I have addressed Tax Alpha before ( see this and this ); but Pomp indirectly raised a very different issue: Why do people underperform their own assets?

Assets 246

Assets Accounting Taxes Economics 246

Calculated Risk

APRIL 28, 2023

percent) in March , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through March 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for March: Personal income increased $67.9 billion (0.3 billion (0.4

Food 124

Food Economics 124

The Big Picture

JANUARY 30, 2023

2 * sigh * A few economic truisms: Anything worthwhile requires time and effort. 27, 2023 Previously : One-Sided Markets (September 29, 2021) The Price of Paying Attention (November 2012) Manage Your Media Diet 1. Putting in time and effort is hard, but it gives you experience. It’s Not What Influencers Say It Is.

Media 291

Media Economics Investing Investments 291

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 1, 2022

Panelists’ companies continue to judiciously manage hiring, other than October 2022, the month-over-month supplier delivery performance was the best since February 2012, when it registered 47 percent and material lead times declined approximately 9 percent from the prior month, approximately 18 percent over the last four months. percent is 0.4

Manufacturing 222

Manufacturing Business Planning Management Economy 222

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 27, 2023

percent) in December , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through December 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for December: Personal income increased $49.5 billion (0.2 billion (0.3

Food 141

Food Economics 141

Calculated Risk

SEPTEMBER 29, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in August , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through August 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for August: Personal income increased $87.6 billion (0.4

Food 124

Food Taxes Economics 124

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 23, 2022

percent) in November , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through November 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for November: Personal income increased $80.1 billion (0.4 billion (0.4

Food 145

Food Economics 145

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 26, 2022

percent) in July , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through July 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for July: Personal income increased $47.0 billion (0.2 billion (0.2 billion (0.1

Food 143

Food Economics 143

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 30, 2022

Brief excerpt: Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Several years later, in early 2012, when many people were still bearish on housing, the plunge in inventory in 2011 (blue arrow on graph below) helped me call the bottom for house prices in early 2012 (see The Housing Bottom is Here ).

Economics 103

Economics Sales Marketing Marketing 103

Calculated Risk

JULY 29, 2022

percent) in June, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through June 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for June: Personal income increased $133.5 billion (0.6 billion (0.7 billion (1.1

Food 136

Food Economics 136

Calculated Risk

OCTOBER 1, 2022

percent) in August , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through August 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays, August 2022 and Annual Update report: Personal income increased $71.6 billion (0.3

Food 131

Food Economics 131

The Big Picture

MAY 21, 2023

ProPublica ) • 1 in 5 Young Chinese Is Jobless, and Millions More Are About to Graduate : The youth unemployment rate, which spiked during the pandemic, reached a record high this week, showing the perils of China’s uneven economic recovery. ( She routinely mistook her adult son for his uncle. Censoring for Strongmen Is Now a Pattern.

Insurance 283

Insurance Healthcare Nonprofit Ethics 283

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 1, 2022

The index year is 2012. Real, inflation-adjusted inventory data from the BEA via St. Louis Fed, chart by Mish. The chart shows "real" inflation-adjusted inventories. In four of the last six recession, inventories continued to build well into recession. In the other two, inventories peaked just prior to or at the start of recession.

Manufacturing 208

Manufacturing Retail Economy Economics 208

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 19, 2023

I run through 30 charts in 30 minutes that explain where we are in the economic cycle, what markets are doing, and what it means to their portfolios. One of my favorite responsibilities as chief investment officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management is the quarterly conference call I do for our clients. 2 Regardless, something is amiss.

Media 349

Media Economy Economics Wealth Management 349

Calculated Risk

AUGUST 31, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in July , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through July 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for July: Personal income increased $45.0 billion (0.2

Food 84

Food Taxes Economics 84

Nerd's Eye View

OCTOBER 30, 2023

On the other hand, the past decade has seen an explosion of 'vendor conferences', as more and more companies have discovered it's more economical to simply run their own conferences (at a breakeven or even a small loss) than to heavily sponsor the conferences of industry associations.

Financial Advisor 230

Financial Advisor Numbers Budgeting Financial Planning 230

Calculated Risk

NOVEMBER 30, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in October , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through October 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for October: Personal income increased $57.1 billion (0.2

Food 67

Food Taxes Economics 67

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 1, 2022

percent) in October , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through October 2022 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for October: Personal income increased $155.3 billion (0.7 billion (0.7

Food 90

Food Economics 90

Calculated Risk

MARCH 31, 2023

percent) in February , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through February 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for February: Personal income increased $72.9 billion (0.3 billion (0.5

Food 100

Food Economics 100

Calculated Risk

FEBRUARY 24, 2023

percent) in January , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through January 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for January: Personal income increased $131.1 billion (0.6 billion (2.0

Food 90

Food Economics 90

Calculated Risk

JUNE 30, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in May , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through May 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for May: Personal income increased $91.2 billion (0.4 billion (0.4

Food 92

Food Taxes Economics 92

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 22, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in November , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through November 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for November: Personal income increased $81.6 billion (0.4

Food 67

Food Taxes Economics 67

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 9, 2024

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2024. Forecasting the unemployment rate includes forecasts for economic and payroll growth, and also for changes in the participation rate (previous question). 2012 63.7% -0.3 2012 63.7% -0.3 2012 63.7% -0.3 in November 2022.

Economics 64

Economics Sales Investing Investments 64

Calculated Risk

APRIL 7, 2023

Rail volumes today are being negatively influenced by broader economic trends, including slowdowns in industrial output, high inventory levels at many retailers, lower port activity, and consumer spending that’s not as robust as it was during most of the last three years. From the Association of American Railroads (AAR) Rail Time Indicators.

Retail 98

Retail Economics 98

Calculated Risk

JANUARY 11, 2023

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2023. Forecasting the unemployment rate includes forecasts for economic and payroll growth, and also for changes in the participation rate (previous question). 2012 63.7% -0.3 2012 63.7% -0.3 2012 63.7% -0.3 in December, down 0.4

Economics 96

Economics Sales Investing Investments 96

Calculated Risk

JULY 28, 2023

percent at a monthly rate) in June , according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through June 2023 (2012 dollars). The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for June: Personal income increased $69.5 billion (0.3

Food 52

Food Taxes Economics 52

Fortune Financial

AUGUST 8, 2022

A recurring theme in my articles has been the importance of industry-level economics to the success of an investment; it is not uncommon for all participants in an industry with favorable dynamics to outperform, and, similarly, it is all too common for even the best operators in a poor industry to underperform.

Economics 119

Economics Financial Advisor Retail Investing 119

Carson Wealth

APRIL 1, 2024

The Conference Board’s widely followed Leading Economic Index finally had its first monthly gain after 23 consecutive months of declines. Looking more closely at the data above, we noticed only 1976 and 2012 were election years and the market returned 4.6% The end of long declines has typically been bullish for stocks. While our U.S.

Marketing 97

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 97

Calculated Risk

DECEMBER 1, 2022

From ISM: Manufacturing PMI® at 49% November 2022 Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® Economic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted in November for the first time since May 2020 after 29 consecutive months of growth, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®. percent is 0.4

Manufacturing 104

Manufacturing Economy Economics Management 104

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 7, 2022

What are you getting from consuming 24/7 coverage of the world of economics, markets, and finance? The Price of Paying Attention (November 2012). Instead of pastoral, bucolic imagery, it’s now yelling, arguing, and complaining about Big Garden repressing the landscape — a veritable MMA cage match of faux disagreements.

Financial Advice 275

Financial Advice Media Engineering Advertising 275

Trade Brains

SEPTEMBER 12, 2023

Let’s look back in time and see how Nifty got to where it is today, from when it started in 1996 to reach 20,000 points, and how it dealt with different economic challenges: 1996 – Birth of Nifty50 The Nifty 50 index was launched on April 22, 1996, at 1,107 points, with a base value of 1,000 counted from November 3, 1995.

Numbers 59

Numbers Economy Economics Government 59

Investing Caffeine

MAY 2, 2022

As you can see from the chart below, there have been no shortage of issues and events to worry about over the last 15 years (2007 – 2022): 2008-2009: Financial Crisis 2010: Flash Crash (electronic trading collapse) 2011: Debt Ceiling – Eurozone Collapse 2012: Greek Debt Crisis – Arab Spring (anti-government protests) 2012: Presidential Elections (..)

Electronics 59

Electronics Economy CFP Investing 59

Trade Brains

JANUARY 2, 2024

or regulators consider economically and socially viable. AIFs must be registered under SEBI (Alternative Investment Fund) Regulations, 2012. Understanding AIFs is easier when you know their categories, as per SEBI: Category I: Primarily invests in start-ups, early-stage ventures, SMEs, or other sectors which govt.

Taxes 64

Taxes Investing Investments Retail 64

Trade Brains

OCTOBER 18, 2023

He is also described as a ‘ market master ’ by economic times. In 2012, Vijay Kedia rightly predicted the beginning of the structural bull run in India when the others were bearish. Source ‘Indian equities in the first phase of a bull market’: Kedia Securities (Economic times)).

Investing 105

Investing Investments Management Portfolio 105

Walkner Condon Financial Advisors

JANUARY 30, 2024

The 2% number is somewhat arbitrary, but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), or “the Fed”, made it the official target in January 2012. Rate hiking is paused for the time being to see more economic data released in 2024. Stable prices would generally be viewed as an environment of low and stable inflation.

Economy 75

Economy Financial Advisor Banking Economics 75

Mish Talk

DECEMBER 19, 2022

On 26 July 2012, the President of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, delivered a speech at a conference in London that brought a crucial turnaround in the euro crisis. Credit stress in the EMU was also brewing. There was a huge risk of the Eurozone would break apart. Greece was the weak link but fears were of a cascade if Greece left.

Banking 187

Banking Accounting Assets Marketing 187