article thumbnail

America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake

The Big Picture

Since 2008, the Census Bureau has included government transfers in its Supplemental Poverty Measure. Call it ” ‘ America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake. ” In 2008. If this were true, it would mean we have been measuring income inequality incorrectly (perhaps wealth inequality as well). It is untrue.

Math 246
article thumbnail

10 Monday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Yet the fundamental math of bond returns bodes well for 2023, our columnist says. ( Survival Lessons From Past Tech Downturns : The current tech downturn could be much worse than it appears now, say those who lived through the 2001 and 2008 crashes—but those who make it have the chance to fuel the next bubble. New York Times ). •

Math 290
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Math Problems

The Better Letter

The maths are exactly the same. These sorts of math problems are the focus of this week’s TBL. Math Problems As this TBL goes live, just 16 games and one day of the NCAA Tournament are in the books, yet my bracket is a mess. We notice the unlikelihood of 100 in a row because of the pattern. Thanks for reading. quintillion.

Math 92
article thumbnail

Bernstein on Bulletproof

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

That is difficult to pull off but if you do the math on that it shows long term outperformance. As bad as 2008 was, we're 3x from there. He makes a good point about not relying solely on math to assess markets and portfolio construction, that the psychology of markets is important too.

article thumbnail

Return Stacking ETF Goes Live

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

The way the math works, a 67% allocation to NTSX replicates 100% into a 60/40 portfolio which leaves 33% left over to do something. You can see the backtest proxy of RSBT has a slightly higher CAGR very similar standard deviation but a much better worst year which was back in 2008.

article thumbnail

A New Idea For An Old Strategy

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

In 2008, S&P+PRPFX did worse than 60/40 by about 300 basis points and in 2022 it did better by about 350 basis points. The 75/50 captures 75% of the upside with only 50% of the downside, the math on that works out favorably over the long term. The two are pretty close. I have 75/50 in mind as sort of a benchmark.

article thumbnail

Throw It All Out And Start Over?

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

As a matter of math, it cannot repeat the run from 8.5% Using Vanguard funds as proxies, VFINX for domestic equities and VGTSX for international equities, an investor who retired with $1 million on Dec 31, 2007 who immediately took out their 4% for 2008 would have had $576,000 at the end of 2008. in November.