Validea

FEBRUARY 17, 2023

for 2020 while the real number was -2.8%. And a deep dive into the predictions in December 2007 found not one respondent accurately predicted the downturn that was to follow, with their forecasts ranging from 0.7% Some years saw a bigger discrepancy; in 2019, the median prediction was 1.8% percentage points.

Portfolio Management 59

Portfolio Management Budgeting Economics Portfolio 59

Carson Wealth

MARCH 27, 2023

Recent sentiment polls show a high number of bears while worries about the economy and earnings continue to expand. This is the ninth straight rate increase and brings rates to their highest level since 2007. However, since that time a slew of strong economic data, including elevated inflation numbers, came in.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Banking Economics 52

Carson Wealth

MARCH 20, 2023

A high number indicates worry is increasing about a bank’s solvency. Lastly, the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF remains above the 2007 peak. The NASDAQ 100 Index includes publicly-traded companies from most sectors in the global economy, the major exception being financial services.

Banking 52

Banking Marketing Marketing Compliance 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

waste services company Waste Connections and British pest-control firm Rentokil Initial are traditionally defensive businesses that typically benefit from local economies of scale in distribution, which can be incredibly hard for smaller players to compete with. Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Others such as U.S.

Portfolio 86

Portfolio Manufacturing Financial Services Investing 86

Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon. the current blowup) -20% so far What’s your guess?

Marketing 57

Marketing Marketing Retirement Investing 57

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 6, 2022

However, there is an important nuance in that more players have exited than the limited number who entered over time due to high barriers to entry and exit. Typically the number of IPOs, share buybacks from company management teams, the number and size of M&A deals increase as prices go up, but all typically drop off when prices fall.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Insurance Ethics 52

The Big Picture

MARCH 3, 2023

Meaning, you do not get the 8-10% long-term gains without living through a significant number of market events, ranging from cyclical drawdowns to longer secular bear markets, and full-on crashes. 2000-13 : Secular bear market did not make new highs until March 2013 2018 : ~20% pullback as the economy slowed, FOMC hiked.

Marketing 332

Marketing Marketing Economics Portfolio 332

James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

As the economy is likely downshifting, investors should take heed that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) current stance is eerily similar to early 2007. During that time, the Fed held a tightening bias since they believed the housing market was stabilizing, the economy would continue to expand, and inflation risks remained.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Communication 52

The Big Picture

JULY 11, 2023

And it’s kind of funny, if you, and now you see it in New York City, but if you showed up in a meeting in a coat and tie, post the dot-com era and coming into the more recent stuff, you were viewed as sort of the old economy. ” Who are the number one users of TurboTax? And you see that in the numbers, right?

Management 213

Management Investing Investments Assets 213

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

waste services company Waste Connections and British pest-control firm Rentokil Initial are traditionally defensive businesses that typically benefit from local economies of scale in distribution, which can be incredibly hard for smaller players to compete with. Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Others such as U.S.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Manufacturing Financial Services Investing 52

Brown Advisory

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

waste services company Waste Connections and British pest-control firm Rentokil Initial are traditionally defensive businesses that typically benefit from local economies of scale in distribution, which can be incredibly hard for smaller players to compete with. Numbers may not total 100% due to rounding. Others such as U.S.

Portfolio 52

Portfolio Manufacturing Financial Services Investing 52

Carson Wealth

SEPTEMBER 18, 2023

Myth 1: Credit Card Debt Is Out of Control We hear a lot about how credit card debt cracked $1 trillion for the first time ever and the only reason the economy is growing is because people are buying everything on credit cards. In fact, historically a higher trending 10-year yield amid an improving economy has led to strong stock gains.

Economics 144

Economics Retail Economy Media 144

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Instant access to information allows analysts to monitor a greater number of stocks, and portfolio managers are able to analyze their holdings and track performance in myriad ways. housing in 2007) or a spike in oil prices (1973, 1980 and 1990)—conditions that are not present today.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management Clients 52

Brown Advisory

AUGUST 6, 2019

Instant access to information allows analysts to monitor a greater number of stocks, and portfolio managers are able to analyze their holdings and track performance in myriad ways. housing in 2007) or a spike in oil prices (1973, 1980 and 1990)—conditions that are not present today.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Management Clients 52

The Big Picture

OCTOBER 17, 2023

Graham Foster] : 00:02:54 That was a number, that was number theory, pure number theory. And whether it’s all numbers or even numbers. Some people look at a casino as entertainment and hey, we’re gonna spend X dollars, pick a number, 500, 2000, whatever it is. Number one, longevity.

Investing 130

Investing Investments Clients Management 130

Brown Advisory

JANUARY 19, 2023

Description Peak Month* Trough Month* Change in Earnings Estimates Date When S&P 500 Index Price Hit Bottom Date When S&P 500 Earnings Estimates Hit Bottom Number of Days S&P 500 Return During That Period Asian Financial Crisis/Russian debt default September 1998 December 1998 -2.2% Great Financial Crisis October 2007 April 2009 -39.0%

Clients 98

Clients Economy Economics Investing 98

Bell Investment Advisors

MARCH 15, 2023

But at the same time, you can imagine that if rates are going higher because the economy is really good and our profits on our stocks are going up, that effect of higher profits can actually overwhelm the suppressive effect of higher rates. economy actually grew three and a half times. 23:57 So, over this time period, the U.S.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Investing Investments 52

Brown Advisory

APRIL 1, 2015

economy following the financial crisis. trillion last year, roughly the same as during the 2007 peak. Interestingly, in an unusually large number of instances, the stock prices of the target company and the acquirer have both risen following a deal announcement, while typically only the target’s stock price benefits. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Valuation Assets 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

I wasn’t that typical person that did a number of, you know, internships during the summer, had that …. At Citi, in 2007, fantastic timing, you take over as Head of Structured Solutions. And so, 2007, I came over to Citi. BITTERLY MICHELL: … obviously, the United States, the global economy. I was econ and kind of geeky.

Clients 286

Clients Wealth Management Investing Investments 286

Calculated Risk

MAY 29, 2023

Two examples: not reaching a fiscal agreement and going off the "fiscal cliff" probably would have led to a recession, and Congress refusing to "pay the bills" would have been a policy error that would have taken the economy into recession. The other two times were in early 2007 (housing bust / financial crisis), and in March 2020 (pandemic).

Sales 145

Sales Economy Economics Banking 145

The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

I was having lunch with Jeremy in the summer of 2007, just after the Bear Stearns hedge fund started blowing up. I think the Americans going to be grateful that they didn’t do that much building in the last few years because otherwise, we would really have a replay of 2007 and ’08. Now, first year mortgage rates have doubled.

Banking 141

Banking Valuation Economy Investing 141

Carson Wealth

MAY 22, 2023

As we explain more below, the economy is presenting many positive signs that suggest a recession is unlikely, and stocks likely are sniffing this out. Residential investment makes up under 5% of the economy , but it’s been a drag on economic growth for eight straight quarters. The housing market is showing signs of recovery.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Economy Economics 52

Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 18, 2019

This fact is on the minds of a growing number of investors today who are concerned about the market’s direction. In the years after the 2008-09 financial crisis, securities tended to trade in lockstep with each other as the market focused most of its attention on the big-picture health of the economy.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Numbers 52

Brown Advisory

OCTOBER 18, 2019

This fact is on the minds of a growing number of investors today who are concerned about the market’s direction. In the years after the 2008-09 financial crisis, securities tended to trade in lockstep with each other as the market focused most of its attention on the big-picture health of the economy. Source: Standard & Poor’s).

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Valuation Numbers 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 12, 2017

In the last 10 years, 2007 through 2016, Berkshire’s shareholders’ equity per share and share price compounded at roughly 9.3% Omaha is a nice weekend getaway with a number of attractions in addition to the annual meeting events. annual rate of the Standard & Poor’s 500® Index since Buffett took control in 1965. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Ethics Taxes 52

Brown Advisory

JUNE 12, 2017

In the last 10 years, 2007 through 2016, Berkshire’s shareholders’ equity per share and share price compounded at roughly 9.3% Omaha is a nice weekend getaway with a number of attractions in addition to the annual meeting events. annual rate of the Standard & Poor’s 500® Index since Buffett took control in 1965. company.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Ethics Taxes 52

The Big Picture

AUGUST 8, 2022

So, until the financial crisis of 2007 and 2009 or however you go — you actually time it, I was in this finance bubble. There’s no corporation that lives its healthy — unless they’re on their way to bankruptcy that lives with single digit equity numbers. So, that was that and then comes the financial crisis.

Banking 195

Banking Government Insurance Taxes 195

Nationwide Financial

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

The 10-year is approaching 4% for the first time since November, while the 2-year yield hit the highest level (4.8%) since 2007, and the MOVE Index (measuring bond market volatility) has surged this month. The terminal rate for Fed Funds eclipsed 5.4% in September, 0.50% higher than a month ago.

Marketing 52

Marketing Marketing Retail Economics 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

I found this to be just a masterclass in everything you need to know about distressed credit investing, private credit, the role of the economy, the fed interest rates, inflation, bottoms up, credit picking, and how to manage a firm and a fund in light of just massive dislocations in your space, as well as the overall economy.

Banking 130

Banking Investing Investments Clients 130

The Big Picture

DECEMBER 14, 2022

I was thinking any number of things and mostly that I didn’t really know what I wanted to be when I grew up, but I was not kind of at all informed by, you know, gender norms that people asked me a lot about now, in particular how do you know a woman, how did you think about ending up in this thing? RITHOLTZ: Right. People got to eat.

Assets 152

Assets Investing Investments Portfolio 152

Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Looking back over the 30 years beginning in 1985, a number of factors contributed to the strong performance of equities. Following the 2007–2008 financial crisis, some observers began referring to the “new normal.” These factors tend to limit the number of passive vehicles available to fill specific niches in a portfolio.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Assets 52

Brown Advisory

JULY 1, 2016

Looking back over the 30 years beginning in 1985, a number of factors contributed to the strong performance of equities. Following the 2007–2008 financial crisis, some observers began referring to the “new normal.” These factors tend to limit the number of passive vehicles available to fill specific niches in a portfolio.

Investing 52

Investing Investments Portfolio Assets 52

The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 5, 2023

And I literally put the entire Schedule A, which is the pricing square footage unit numbers in a Hewlett Packard 41B using bit mapping. Everybody knew the number but the appraiser. MILLER: The term back then was, here’s a good appraiser, good in air quotes and good translated into making the number. Just keep it fair.

Sales 130

Sales Numbers Taxes Marketing 130

The Big Picture

AUGUST 12, 2022

I am away this week for my annual sojourn to Maine, a trip I have been making since 2007. In the current era of low rates, low inflation, and modest economic expansion, the Fed’s rate policy is having little to no impact on stimulating the broader economy. Light posting this week, but here is my 2019 write-up for Businessweek.

Economics 177

Economics Banking Government Electronics 177

The Irrelevant Investor

JANUARY 3, 2020

The Good For the first time since 2007, the income generated in a cash investment account outpaced inflation. trillion in liabilities sounds like a scary number, but when you look at interest rates and income, household debt service to income obligations is at the lowest level in 40 years. Here are a few that caught my attention.

Valuation 52

Valuation Economy Accounting Numbers 52

The Big Picture

APRIL 18, 2023

In the short run, there can be distortions in public market valuations as we saw in 2001 and we saw prior to that in 2007, and prior to that in 2000, in ‘99. BARATTA: Wind, solar, electrifying the economy, getting off of oil and gas, and it’s all kinds of companies engaged. BARATTA: Yeah. In the long run. RITHOLTZ: Right.

Assets 152

Assets Investing Investments Valuation 152

The Irrelevant Investor

AUGUST 9, 2018

These numbers are so incomprehensibly large that they lack any meaning. In a recent Axios article, Being 30 then and now , the author wrote "In 1975, only a quarter of 25 to 34-year-old men made less than $30K per year, but that number rose to 41% in 2016." The Atlantic asks Are Stock Buybacks Starving the Economy ?

Economics 52

Economics Distribution Investing Investments 52