Sat.Jul 30, 2022 - Fri.Aug 05, 2022

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MiB: Hannah Elliott on Hypercars & EVsĀ 

The Big Picture

?. This week, we speak with Bloomberg Businessweek staff writer Hannah Elliott , who reports on the automotive industry with a special focus on hyper-cars, motorcycles, and electric and luxury vehicles. She lives in Los Angeles, where car culture is enjoying a renaissance. NOTE : During the broadcast portion, we had the usual Q&A but in the podcast portion, this turned into a conversation; Hannah made the mistake of asking me a question and we were off to the races of me babbling about cars

Economics 300
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Dr. Amazon

The Reformed Broker

When you’re the size that Amazon is and you’re looking for growth, the only thing that could really move the needle for you is to attack a massive market opportunity. How does $4 trillion sound? That’s about what Americans spend directly on healthcare each year. Consider this past week’s acquisition as the solidifying piece of the story.

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Podcast links: long time horizons

Abnormal Returns

Business Zack Fuss talks with Christian Bellinger about the business of luxury giant LVMH. (joincolossus.com) Howard Lindzon talks with Will Ahmed, founder and CEO of WHOOP. (howardlindzon.com) Barry Ritholtz talks with Hannah Elliott discuss how EVs are changing driving. (ritholtz.com) Derek Thompson talks with Ted Gioia on why old music is seemingly pushing aside new music.

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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (August 2022)

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome to the August 2022 issue of the Latest News in Financial #AdvisorTech – where we look at the big news, announcements, and underlying trends and developments that are emerging in the world of technology solutions for financial advisors! This month's edition kicks off with the news that Envestnet has acquired Redi2, one of the most widely used ‘revenue management’ systems in broker-dealers that facilitates the flow of dollars coming in and being paid out to advisors in al

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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What Employment Sectors Are Growing the Fastest?

The Big Picture

Source: Visual Capitalist. It’s light summer posting season! I am heading out of town for a wedding, and then on to the ā€œ Shadow Kansas City Federal Reserve Board ā€ next week, then some family gatherings. Meanwhile, mull over this chart of the 20 fastest growing jobs over the next decade. Enjoy what’s left of the Summer! The post What Employment Sectors Are Growing the Fastest?

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Longform links: restaurant problems

Abnormal Returns

Books An excerpt from Peter Nortonā€™s book ā€œFighting Traffic: The Dawn of the Motor Age in the American City.ā€ (thereader.mitpress.mit.edu) An excerpt from "The Grieving Brain: The Surprising Science of How We Learn from Love and Loss by Mary-Frances Oā€™Connor. (behavioralscientist.org) Environment Louisiana has been losing land for decades. A look at a plan to reverse things.

Media 232
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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (Aug 6-7)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of “Weekend Reading For Financial Planners” - this week’s edition kicks off with the news that the SEC has issued a new bulletin clarifying the responsibilities of brokers under Regulation Best Interest (Reg BI). The guidance indicates that, despite early fears that Reg BI was ‘overly accommodating’ to the brokerage industry, the Commission is expecting that reducing conflicts of interest should be an ongoing task for broker-dealers rat

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: ā€¢ The stock market can be an emotional roller coaster. It shouldnā€™t be. Thereā€™s how you think about investment risk ā€” and then how you feel about it. ( Vox ). ā€¢ Gen Z Knows What It Wants From Employers. And Employers Want Them. To tap into the creativity of younger workers, and to offset a labor shortage, companies are offering four-day weeks, club memberships and work-from-anywhere flexibility. ( New York Times ) see also Youā€™re Back at the Office.

License 273
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Comments on July Employment Report

Calculated Risk

Today we celebrate the recovery of all the jobs lost in 2020, and the unemployment rate matching the lowest level since 1969. The headline jobs number in the July employment report was well above expectations, and employment for the previous two months was revised up by 28,000, combined. The participation rate decreased slightly, and the employment-population ratio increased slightly.

Numbers 145
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Friday links: undeserved assets

Abnormal Returns

Markets Crude oil prices are down to February levels. (axios.com) Why the crypto market is smaller than reported. (wsj.com) Startups Y Combinator is shrinking it new class of startups. (techcrunch.com) Startups are turning to the debt markets while the IPO window is shut. (theinformation.com) Companies Apple's ($AAPL) cash hoard has come down over time.

Assets 211
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#FA Success Ep 292: Syndicating Private Real Estate Opportunities To Differentiate With HNW Clients, With Matthew Topley

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 292nd episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Matthew Topley. Matthew is the Founder and CIO of Lansing Street Advisors, an independent RIA based in Ambler, Pennsylvania that oversees $160 million in assets under management for 60 client households. What’s unique about Matthew, though, is how he differentiates his firm by offering his high-net-worth clients opportunities to diversify their investment portfolios by syndicating pr

Clients 188
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Groucho Marx, Alts Guru

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses risk-reward and the less liquid aspects of the market: ā€œI’m reminded of the words of the great investor, Groucho Marx, who said ā€˜ I don’t want to be a member of any club that would have me.ā€. When we look at alternatives and that’s everything from venture to hedge fund to private equity, the ones you can get into tend to not to be the top performing funds.

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July Employment Report: 528 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 528,000 in July, and the unemployment rate edged down to 3.5 percent , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Both total nonfarm employment and the unemployment rate have returned to their February 2020 pre-pandemic levels.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFPĀ®, CLUĀ®, ChFCĀ® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Top clicks this week Why wealthy investors love real estate so much. (klementoninvesting.substack.com) Six things to do with your money in your 30's. (peterlazaroff.com) Money lessons learned from the Vanderbilts. (humbledollar.com) It's hard to imagine a severe recession at this point. (ritholtz.com) What new lows tell us about the state of the bear market.

Investing 162
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Does This Look Like a Recession To You?

The Irrelevant Investor

Gross domestic product is the most commonly accepted measure of the economy’s performance. For the previous two quarters, it showed that the economy contracted. So recession, right? Wrong. Before getting into why I don’t think the economy was in a recession during the first half of the year, it’s worth mentioning that things are very weird right now.

Economy 135
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2023 VF8 Vinfast

The Big Picture

VinFast established in 2017 out of Hanoi, Vietnam, was founded by serial entrepreneur Pham Nhat Vuong — heā€™s Vietnamā€™s first billionaire and got his start in business selling instant ramen in the Ukrainian market. They plan to sell two all-electric sport-utility vehicles in the U.S. to start: a midsize SUV, called the VF 8, that starts at $40,700, and a larger VF 9, starting at $55,500.

Planning 271
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Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 0.1% in July

Calculated Risk

From Manheim Consulting today: Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decrease Minimally in July From Seasonal Adjustment Wholesale used-vehicle prices (on a mix, mileage, and seasonally adjusted basis) decreased 0.1% in July from June. The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index declined to 219.6, up 12.5% from a year ago. The non-adjusted price change in July decreased 3.2% compared to June, leaving the unadjusted average price up 10.2% year over year. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Tuesday links: capital distribution

Abnormal Returns

Markets Market conditions are always uncertain, but man are things cloudy right now. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Corporate bond defaults are set to rise. (axios.com) Companies Great companies create their own reality. (ofdollarsanddata.com) Why Meta ($META) is likely to miss on the metaverse. (fortune.com) TikTok's outsized success is a warning. (calnewport.com) Amazon Why Amazon ($AMZN) has big health care ambitions.

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Scarcity is an Ally of Appreciation

A Wealth of Common Sense

Derek Thompson posted this incredible chart from Our World in Data on who Americans spend their time with, by age: These are average numbers but based on this chart the time spent with: Your family peaks at around 15 years old. Your friends peaks at around 18 years old. Your co-workers peaks at around 30 years old. Your kids peaks at around 40 years old.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: ā€¢ Could This Little European Fund Be the Spark for a ā€˜Vanguard of Hedge Fundsā€™? Hedge fund replication ā€” which can be thought of as a slightly more complicated version of a stock index fund ā€” just got a big boost from a small fund. Seven years after its launch, an SEI fund is beating all its illustrious peers. That could be enough to finally make this hedge fund replicationā€™s moment.( Institutional Investor ). ā€¢ Things Are Clear as Mud : This year has been all about i

Economy 263
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NY Fed Q2 Report: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion

Calculated Risk

From the NY Fed: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion in Q2 2022; Mortgage, Auto Loan, and Credit Card Balances Increase The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Center for Microeconomic Data today issued its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. The Report shows an increase in total household debt in the second quarter of 2022, increasing by $312 billion (2%) to $16.15 trillion.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Research links: overconfident algorithms

Abnormal Returns

Inflation Do stocks protect against rising inflation expectations? (papers.ssrn.com) Why TIPS don't move one-for-one with CPI. (morningstar.com) Does the historical relationship between real gold prices and TIPS yields hold water? (marketwatch.com) Defined contribution Do DC investors care about ESG? Not that much. (papers.ssrn.com) Target-date funds reduce the desire for advice.

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Former TDAI Exec Kate Healy to Lead CFP Board Center for Financial Planning

Wealth Management

Healy, who was laid off from TD Ameritrade during its integration with Schwab, has volunteered with the Center for Financial Planning for several years. Now she'll lead it.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Volcanica coffee, grab a seat on the beach, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: ā€¢ SEC Enriches Fraudsters, Lawyers as Secrecy Shrouds Tips Program : SEC whistleblower decisions are inconsistent, cloaked in secrecy, often go to clients of agency ex-officials/ Program increasingly busy but has drawn ire of federal courts at times ( Bloomberg Law ). ā€¢ How colours affect the way you think Our world is awash with a rainbow of colours, but certa

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Housing Inventory August 1st Update: Up 32.3% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Inventory is still increasing rapidly, but the inventory build has slowed somewhat over the last few weeks. Still, inventory is increasing much faster than normal for this time of year (both in percentage terms and in total inventory added). Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: 13.4K 2021: 4.4K 2020: -13.4K 2019: 2.9K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 124% since then.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Monday links: inherent uncertainty

Abnormal Returns

Markets How major asset classes performed in July 2022. (capitalspectator.com) 30-year mortgage rates are well off their highs of a month ago. (calculatedriskblog.com) High yield bond spreads are still above average. (mailchi.mp) Crypto A look at the sorry record of celebrity cryptocurrency endorsements. (bloomberg.com) Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talk with Benn Eifert about the seeming lack of risk managment among crypto firms.

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How Mortgage Rate Increases are Affecting Commercial Real Estate Investment

Wealth Management

We are seeing investors shift into smaller tertiary markets where competition is weaker, value-add properties where the potential for rent increases is higher.

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Surprises? Not Many

The Big Picture

ā€œWith over 71% of S&P 500 companies finished reporting revenues and earnings for Q2-2021, the revenue and earnings surprises are at their lowest levels since the pandemic recovery began. Revenues are beating the consensus forecast by 2.5%, and earnings have exceeded estimates by 5.6%.ā€ – Ed Yardeni. We enter the dog days of summer with markets coming off of their best July in years.

Economics 256