Sat.Feb 24, 2024 - Fri.Mar 01, 2024

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U.S. Technology Adoption, 1900-2021

The Big Picture

A century of tech adoption in 30 seconds click for animation Source: Blackrock The post U.S. Technology Adoption, 1900-2021 appeared first on The Big Picture.

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Adviser links: zero engagement

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Frazer Rice talks Florida and California property insurance issues with Aon's LaTanya Simmons. (open.spotify.com) Michael Kitces talks with Ben Hockema. who is the Founder of Illuminate Wealth Management about how to fund your RIA. (kitces.com) Daniel Crosby on why not caring what other people think is a valuable asset. (standarddeviationspod.com) Diana Britton talks with Michael Kitces about adviser well-being.

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Using Reflection Questions To Help Prospects Find Clarity And Focus On A Shared Planning Vision

Nerd's Eye View

Initial outreach to a financial advicer rarely (if ever) results from a prospective client waking up in the middle of the night in a cold sweat because they just figured out that they're in desperate need of a comprehensive financial plan. Rather, prospects often reach out to set an initial appointment only when they realize they have a specific pain point that they need an advicer's help with.

Planning 227
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Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley To Step Down By Year’s End

Wealth Management

The firm’s board is already conducting a search for his successor. Additionally, Greg Davis has been appointed as president in addition to his current role as chief investment officer.

Investing 142
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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Transcript: Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management

The Big Picture

Transcript: The transcript from this week’s MiB: Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ XXXXX ~~~ The post Transcript: Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management appeared first on The Big Picture.

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KPIs To Track Your Advisor Marketing And Figure Out What’s Actually Working (Or Not)

Nerd's Eye View

In the early days of the financial advice industry, an advisor's options for generating new business were somewhat limited. Cold calls, country club memberships, Chamber of Commerce networking, and referrals (from clients or centers of influence) were staples for growth, and determining how successful those sales-centric efforts were was rather straightforward.

Marketing 195
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What If You Invested at the Peak Right Before the 2008 Crisis?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Despite 5% short-term interest rates and stickier inflation than some people would like and the Fed potentially pushing back interest rate cuts for a few months and the new True Detective seasons being a massive disappointment…the S&P 500 continues to take out new all-time highs. By my count there have already been a baker’s dozen in 2024 alone.1 Here are the new highs by year since 2015: 2015: 10 2016: 1.

Investing 138
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 4.9% in January; Down 8.8% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Receded 4.9% in January Pending home sales in January dropped 4.9% , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Northeast and West posted monthly gains in transactions while the Midwest and South recorded losses. All four U.S. regions registered year-over-year decreases. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* – a forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings – decreased to 74.3 in January.

Sales 133
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Tuesday links: a love/hate relationship

Abnormal Returns

Markets Communications and health care are leading the U.S. market in 2024. (capitalspectator.com) A closer look at Europe's answer to the Magnificent Seven stocks, GRANOLA. (biopharmadive.com) Strategy What happens when you invest right before a bear market? (awealthofcommonsense.com) The case for, but mostly against, dividend-focused ETFs. (ofdollarsanddata.com) Why it's so easy to get sucked into trading too much.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Top 10 Day of My Life

The Irrelevant Investor

Today was one of the best days of my life. I got to meet and interview my favorite athlete of all time, Eli Manning. Surreal is putting it mildly. I’ve never felt more of an emotional connection to an athlete than Eli, and I never really thought about why until this weekend when I was writing an introduction for him. I am a lifelong die-hard Giants and Knicks fan.

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Avoiding Burnout & a Mid-Life Crisis

A Wealth of Common Sense

A podcast listener asks: How do you both manage to produce podcasts every week, handle your jobs, write, read, and raise families without burning out? How do you maintain this balance? What strategies do you use to recharge yourselves? Personally, when I go on vacation, I completely disconnect from work, yet I’ve noticed you guys continue podcasting even during your vacations.

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey, "Activity stalled"

Calculated Risk

"Higher rates in recent weeks have stalled activity", Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist. From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 5.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 23, 2024.

Marketing 131
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Wednesday links: a new revenue model

Abnormal Returns

Markets Some of the most speculative sectors are perking up. (allstarcharts.com) Bitcoin hit its highest level since November 2021. (blockworks.co) Strategy Rubin Miller, "Investing on hopes and hunches — making emotional decisions — is why so few portfolios earn the actual market return." (fortunesandfrictions.com) The rise of passive investing hasn't broken the markets.

Valuation 258
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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What’s Behind Liz Nesvold’s Move to Emigrant?

Wealth Management

Nesvold says she’ll certainly use her M&A know-how, but she’ll also play a larger role connecting the dots between Emigrant’s businesses—with the high-net-worth individual at the center of it all.

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What’s the Biggest Risk Right Now?

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: What’s the biggest risk in the markets right now? The simple answer here is the one everyone has been preparing for over the past 24 months — a recession. In the post-WWII era, the U.S. economy has slipped into a recession roughly once every 5 years or so, on average. Look at how spaced out those recessions (the grey bars) have become in recent decades: From the late-1940s through the early-198.

Economy 121
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Construction Spending Decreased 0.2% in January

Calculated Risk

From the Census Bureau reported that overall construction spending increased: Construction spending during January 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,102.4 billion, 0.2 percent below the revised December estimate of $2,105.8 billion. The January figure is 11.7 percent above the January 2023 estimate of $1,882.2 billion. emphasis added Private spending increased and public spending decreased: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $

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Longform links: basketball’s oldest tradition

Abnormal Returns

Book excerpts An excerpt from Rob Henderson's "Troubled: A Memoir of Foster Care, Family, and Social Class." (persuasion.community) An excerpt from Aaron Goldfarb’s new book “Dusty Booze: In Search of Vintage Spirits.” (wsj.com) An excerpt from "The Alternative: How to Build a Just Economy" by Nick Romeo. (behavioralscientist.org) An excerpt from “The Formula: How Rogues, Geniuses, and Speed Freaks Reengineered F1 into the World’s Fastest-Growing Sport,” by Joshua Robinson and Jonathan Clegg.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Cut Your Losses and Let Profits Run?

Alpha Architect

Be careful before acting on what is considered to be conventional wisdom. Make sure it’s supported by empirical evidence. In this case, the evidence makes clear that “cut your losses and let your profits run” should not be conventional wisdom. Cut Your Losses and Let Profits Run? was originally published at Alpha Architect. Please read the Alpha Architect disclosures at your convenience.

Investing 113
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Reporting 2023 Charitable Contributions for Income Taxes

Wealth Management

As donors and their tax advisors report 2023 charitable gifts, they should ensure compliance with the substantiation requirements to avoid questions about, and possible disallowance of, their charitable deductions.

Taxes 114
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Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.5% year-over-year in December

Calculated Risk

S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for December ("December" is a 3-month average of October, November and December closing prices). This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index. From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Reports 5.5% Annual Home Price Gain for Calendar 2023 The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.

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Friday links: feelings of FOMO

Abnormal Returns

February 2024 A look at asset class performance for February 2024. (allstarcharts.com) Small cap stocks are still down on the year. (on.spdji.com) The momentum factor had a big month. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) Markets What's the biggest risk right now? (awealthofcommonsense.com) Stock market concentration is the norm. (acadian-asset.com) Crypto Bitcoin is now worth two Teslas ($TSLA).

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Rises in January

Advisor Perspectives

Personal income ( excluding transfer receipts ) rose 0.7% in January and is up 5.4% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year.

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11 Investment Must Reads This Week

Wealth Management

Non-traded alternative managers raised $7.6 billion in January, according to data from Robert A. Stanger. Retail investor activity helped drive the crypto market rally in January, says JP Morgan. These are among the investment must reads we found this week for wealth advisors.

Investing 111
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PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.1% YoY in January

Calculated Risk

Here is a graph of the year-over-year change in shelter from the CPI report and housing from the PCE report this morning, both through January 2024. CPI Shelter was up 6.1% year-over-year in January, down from 6.2% in December, and down from the cycle peak of 8.2% in March 2023. Housing (PCE) was up 6.1% YoY in January , down from 6.3% in December, and down from the cycle peak of 8.3% in April 2023.

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Podcast links: the rise of the pod shop

Abnormal Returns

The biz Google Podcasts is going away. (wired.com) Finance Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway talks multi-strategy hedge funds with Krishna Kumar, a portfolio manager at Goose Hollow Capital Management. (podcasts.apple.com) Patrick O'Shaughnessy talks with Ali Hamed, co-founder and partner at CoVenture. (joincolossus.com) Barry Ritholtz talks concentrated portfolios with Andrew Slimmon, managing director at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Open-Source Software Is Worth a Lot More Than You Pay for It

Advisor Perspectives

Open-source software may well be the greatest “public good” the market economy has ever produced. What it shows is the power of voluntary social cooperation.

Economy 111
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Mariner Wealth Avoids DOJ Charges by Admitting to Non-Poaching Scheme

Wealth Management

The RIA entered a non-prosecution agreement with the Justice Department’s Antitrust Division last year over charges it conspired with American Century Investments not to hire each other's employees.

Investing 111
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Freddie Reports Surge in Multifamily Serious Delinquencies

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Freddie Reports Surge in Multifamily Serious Delinquencies Brief excerpt: Freddie Mac reports that the multi-family serious delinquency rate increased sharply in January to 0.44% from 0.28% in December, and up from 0.12% in January 2023. This graph shows the Freddie multi-family serious delinquency rate since 2012.

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