Sat.Sep 16, 2023 - Fri.Sep 22, 2023

article thumbnail

Inflation Is A Risk In Retirement, But Most Planning Technology Doesn’t Treat It That Way

Nerd's Eye View

30 years ago, when financial plans relied mainly on constant investment return projections derived from straight-line appreciation and time-value of money calculations, financial advisors began acknowledging and accounting for the variable and uncertain nature of investment returns. And by turning to tools that incorporated historical or Monte Carlo simulations, advisors were able to examine the potential impact of sequence-of-return risk on an investor's portfolio, modeling those risks across h

article thumbnail

Nobody Knows Anything, Dot Plot Edition

The Big Picture

The September Federal Reserve meeting is behind us we still have November and December ahead of us. Markets are nervous expecting another hike before years over before two cuts in 2024. My advice: ignore those expectations as they have been wildly inaccurate over the past few years; they have been mostly inaccurate over the past decade. When it comes to forecasting economic outcomes, the Fed is no better or worse than anybody else.

Economics 317
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Jeremy Grantham, Bubble Historian

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Jeremy Grantham, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss being the “Bubble Historian”, Inflation, Modern Valuations, the Four most Dangerous Words, Real Estate, Impact Investing, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Valuation 306
article thumbnail

Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site The question with emerging market equities is if, not when. (abnormalreturns.com) The return on hassle is a real thing. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week TIPS are on sale. (morningstar.com) Bull markets have four distinct stages. (ritholtz.com) The rise in real interest rates is stunning. (econbrowser.com) How retirement can open you up to new possibilities.

Math 274
article thumbnail

Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

article thumbnail

How A 3-Person Team Optimizes Advisor Capacity For Firm Growth

Nerd's Eye View

When an advisor runs their own solo advisory firm, their capacity to meet with current and prospective clients is limited to the extent that they are also responsible for all of the non-client-facing tasks of running their firm. Which may not be a serious limitation when they are just starting out and don’t have a lot of clients to serve, but as the firm grows, they will eventually run out of time available for working with clients – at which point, it becomes necessary to decide whe

More Trending

article thumbnail

Still surprised

The Reformed Broker

Kristen Oliveri wrote this at the new Crain Currency – a magazine covering family offices and wealth management – yesterday afternoon: Enter Future Proof: a wealth management festival that’s decided to shake things up. Founders Josh Brown and Matt Middleton of Ritholtz Wealth Management knew the industry was due for some change, so they boldly decided to lead the way.

article thumbnail

Thursday links: perma-bear positioning

Abnormal Returns

Markets The credit markets are very different than they were in 2009. (semafor.com) Despite a slowdown, the warehouse industry is raising rents. (wsj.com) IPOs Shopify ($SHOP) is a winner in the Klayvio ($KVYO) IPO. (theinformation.com) Is the IPO window really that open? (ft.com) Books A review of "The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions" by Victor Haghani and James White.

article thumbnail

How Sequence-Of-Inflation Risk Impacts Retirees Beyond Just Sequences Of Returns

Nerd's Eye View

30 years ago, when financial plans relied mainly on constant investment return projections derived from straight-line appreciation and time-value of money calculations, financial advisors began acknowledging and accounting for the variable and uncertain nature of investment returns. And by turning to tools that incorporated historical or Monte Carlo simulations, advisors were able to examine the potential impact of sequence-of-return risk on an investor's portfolio, modeling those risks across h

article thumbnail

10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • Peek Inside America’s Largest Privately Owned Company : Cargill’s business model has worked for 158 years. Follow the money and you’ll see it ain’t broken yet. ( Bloomberg ) • Indexing Is Still the Best Bet for Investors : History shows that even in ‘narrow’ markets, actively managed funds don’t do as well over the long term. ( Wall Street Journal ) see also You Might Be Paying Too Much for That Index Fund : Push toward zero-cost ETFs nears the finish line. ( Wall S

Retail 258
article thumbnail

2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

article thumbnail

This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

We had Rob Arnott on The Compound and Friends this week live at Future Proof! We discussed lessons from the tech bubble, smart beta, big tech valuations, Tesla and Nvidia, how AI might impact markets and the economy, and much more! You can watch the new TCAF below or listen as a podcast. Podcast version: And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait.

Valuation 177
article thumbnail

Research links: the inevitability of losses

Abnormal Returns

Trend following Trend following ignore narratives. (mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) How trend following can help diversify a portfolio. (priceactionlab.com) ESG Green investing strategies should be lower risk. (alphaarchitect.com) ESG leaders have been outperforming the market. (bloomberg.com) Behavior How scarcity affects decision making. (sciencedaily.com) The marshmallow effect and investment performance.

Banking 249
article thumbnail

Kitces & Carl Ep 121: Can You Just Do Good Work And Get Noticed As An Advisor Or Do You Have To Self-Promote?

Nerd's Eye View

Regardless of the size of a financial advisory firm, clients are a constant necessity to sustain a profitable business. And while some form of advertising is how firms have traditionally attracted clients, some advisors have asked if not actively marketing themselves can be a viable option, where new clients find their way to the advisor through a referral network who vouches for the good service they provide.

article thumbnail

GDP When? (Not Now)

The Big Picture

With 10 days left in the Third Quarter, it seems that lots of folks have been obsessing about the various GDP Now forecasts. The thinking is the data will impact how the FOMC will determine whether we get more rate increases or if it’s higher for longer , or even potentially reflecting a 2024 recession and Fed rate cuts. Now Casting was first developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta to provide a real-time estimate of GDP growth for the current quarter.

Banking 141
article thumbnail

Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

article thumbnail

Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Amazon doesn’t need the hype of AI for its stock to trade higher, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC Fed kicks off 2-day meeting: What investors should expect from CNBC Intel core processors expected to bring AI to PCs by December 14 from CNBC Final Trades: Uber, Cisco & more from CNBC

161
161
article thumbnail

Friday links: more risk and illiquidity

Abnormal Returns

Rates Higher for longer, is the consensus. (wsj.com) Not surprisingly, 30-year mortgage rates are at 23-year highs. (mortgagenewsdaily.com) Who is buying Treasuries at these yields? (ft.com) Bond investors are being given an opportunity to lock in 2% real yields. (capitalspectator.com) Dumb Money There are no heroes in 'Dumb Money.' (morningstar.com) The so-called bad guys in 'Dumb Money' are stronger than ever.

article thumbnail

Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (September 23-24)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that the Investment Adviser Association has petitioned the SEC to ask the regulator to change how it defines a small adviser from one with less than $25 million under management to a firm with 100 or fewer employees. The group argued that this change would help more small firms, which tend not to have the same staffing and resources compared to their larger counterparts, as the

article thumbnail

Transcript: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Elizabeth Burton, Goldman Sachs Asset Management , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on iTunes , Spotify , Google , YouTube , and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts on your favorite pod hosts can be found here. ~~~ Barry Ritholtz : This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest.

Assets 141
article thumbnail

Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

article thumbnail

The Biggest Mystery on Wall Street

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ►Where’s the Recession? – Biggest mystery on Wall Street. ►Oil Prices – “Surging oil prices could sour soft landing hopes, but it won’t spark a crisis like the 1970s” ►Earnings, Bef.

Investing 161
article thumbnail

Longform links: embracing mediocrity

Abnormal Returns

Books Annie Duke talks with Elizabeth Zalman and Jerry Neumann co-authors of "Founder vs. Investor: The Honest Truth About Venture Capital from Startup to IPO." (annieduke.substack.com) Five insights from An except from “Build the Life You Want: The Art and Science of Getting Happier” by Arthur C. Brooks and Oprah Winfrey. (nextbigideaclub.com) An excerpt from Devorah Heitner’s new book, "Growing Up in Public: Coming of Age in a Digital World.

Startup 236
article thumbnail

#FA Success Ep 351: Facilitating Successful Advisor Mergers & Acquisitions By Avoiding The Conflicts Of A Success Fee, With Jessica Polito

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 351st episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Jessica Polito. Jessica is the Founder and Principal for Turkey Hill Management, a mergers & acquisitions consulting firm that assists financial advisors with the sale, acquisition, integration, or merger of their firms. What's unique about Jessica, though, is how she has built a practice helping financial advisors and their firms navigate the intricacies of buying, selling, or merging

article thumbnail

10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • The scientific reason why you can’t stop going to Disneyland : To say a lot of people flock to Disneyland and Walt Disney World doesn’t do the mass migration justice. Each year, people descend upon the parks by the tens of millions, and many of them don’t fund the increasingly expensive experience by using their savings alone.

Medical 130
article thumbnail

Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

article thumbnail

Top Indian Stocks Held By Goldman Sachs – Portfolio Analysis!

Trade Brains

Top Indian Stocks Held By Goldman Sachs : Goldman Sachs has been serving clients in India since the 1980s and established an onshore presence in Bengaluru, in 2004, Mumbai, India in December 2006 and a new office in Hyderabad opened in 2021 following a ten-year joint venture. Today, Goldman employs 9000+ Indians and serves leading corporate and institutional clients through corporate finance advisory, equity sales and trading, and fixed-income securities businesses, as well as providing macro-e

article thumbnail

Sunday links: household finances

Abnormal Returns

Finance Goldman Sachs ($GS) want to sell HNW clients a piece of a sports franchise. (frontofficesports.com) Why seed stage valuations haven't dropped as much as you would think. (hunterwalk.com) Fund management How securities lending works. (morningstar.com) A new ETF looks to generate income from selling daily options. (reuters.com) Apple Insights from this week's big Apple event.

article thumbnail

The Healthy Advisor: Finding Courage to Leave an Abusive Relationship with Cary Carbonaro

Wealth Management

To an outsider, advisor Cary Carbonaro looked like a strong, successful woman. But behind closed doors, she faced physical, mental and verbal abuse on a daily basis in a toxic relationship.

126
126
article thumbnail

Should You T-Bill and Chill?

Discipline Funds

T-Bills are an incredibly attractive option at this time. At 5.5% you’re getting high income, high principal stability and tax efficiency across very predictable short-term time horizons. These are the highest rates we’ve seen since the mid-2000s so it’s a welcome change from the 10 years of ZIRP (zero interest rate policy). In recent months I’ve heard the term “T-Bill and chill” more and more often.

Portfolio 123
article thumbnail

Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

article thumbnail

Fundamental Analysis of Ujjivan Small Finance Bank

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis of Ujjivan Small Finance Bank : The concept of Small Finance Banks (SFB) was introduced in India in 2015. It was done with the aim of promoting financial inclusion for the unbanked and underbanked population. This population is situated generally in tier-3 & tier-4 areas. An SFBs main aim is to develop a market to promote a credit market to provide loans to MSMEs, among other lending services.

Banking 126
article thumbnail

Adviser links: exciting plans

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Daniel Crosby talks with Michael Kitces about automation and the future of financial advice. (standarddeviationspod.com) Michael Kitces talks with Jason Wenk, CEO of Altruist, about how he is trying to build an all-in-one investment OS. (kitces.com) Brendan Frazier talks with Samantha Lamas and Danielle Labotka about why clients hire and fire their financial advisers.

Planning 233
article thumbnail

Robinhood's Loss Could Embolden States Still on the Fiduciary Fence

Wealth Management

The Massachusetts Supreme Court ruling against the online trading app last month could create “more breathing room” for other states to follow through on their own fiduciary regulations.

124
124