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Midyear Outlook 2022 | Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022

James Hendries

We may not be flying into a storm, but there’s been plenty of turbulence the first part of 2022. How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

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Sunday links: too many theories

Abnormal Returns

tker.co) A link to the 2022 Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.A) Sentencing Commission show judges rejected more than 80% of compassionate release requests filed from October 2019 through September 2022. npr.org) Occupational licensing is out of control. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

Blame History for Making Recession Calls So Hard : The National Bureau of Economic Research has been putting dates on downturns since 1929 — well before there was such a thing as gross domestic product ( Bloomberg ) see also Does This Look Like a Recession To You? . • taxpayers millions of dollars ended up in China.

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Client Letter | Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence | July 12, 2022

James Hendries

How businesses, households, and central banks steer through the rough air will set the tone for markets over the second half of 2022. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Clients 52
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Client Letter | Outlook 2023: Finding Balance | December 6, 2022

James Hendries

Even after another dizzying year, as 2022 proved to be. If 2022 was about recognizing imbalances that had built in the economy and starting to address them, we believe 2023 will be about setting ourselves up for what comes next as the economy and markets find their way back to steadier ground—even if the adjustment period continues.

Clients 52
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Client Letter | Better Times Ahead | September 28, 2022

James Hendries

Dear Valued Investor, In the last several weeks, we have continued to face elevated uncertainty in financial markets due to high inflation and rising interest rates, and we thought it was an important time to take stock with the final quarter of 2022 just ahead. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Clients 52
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Client Letter | Looking Forward | July 5, 2022

James Hendries

Dear Valued Investor, As the calendar has turned to July, investors would certainly like to forget the first six months of 2022. real GDP growth to be around 2% in 2022. This may come to pass, especially if a recession can be averted in 2022 as we expect. Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.

Clients 52