Sat.Sep 24, 2022 - Fri.Sep 30, 2022

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Value Creation

The Reformed Broker

All of the value creation for investors comes from the actions they take in falling markets, not rising ones. If you’re not yet in retirement and not finished putting money into your retirement accounts, every 5% the market falls is an increased opportunity for you to buy things that will be worth much more in the future when you eventually sell them.

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MiB: Steve Case on AOL, Startups & Venture

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Steve Case , co-founder of America On-Line (AOL), founder of investment firm Revolution , Chair of the Smithsonian, and author of The Rise of the Rest: How Entrepreneurs in Surprising Places are Building the New American Dream. We discuss how he launched America Online in 1985 back when the internet was restricted to academia and the government.

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The Most Tax-Friendly States For Retirees: How To Compare State Income Tax Options For Retiring Clients

Nerd's Eye View

As an individual begins planning for retirement, one of the factors often considered is whether (and where) they might relocate to enjoy their retirement. When evaluating their potential options across the U.S., a state’s income tax rules can have a significant impact on where they might choose to live. The perception of a state as having high or low taxes could make it more or less attractive for someone choosing where to relocate, and those perceptions are often skewed by the state’

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Sunday links: incentivizing crazy behavior

Abnormal Returns

Markets Quality stocks have not been a defense against a bear market. (wsj.com) TIPS yields are at their highest level in a decade. (marketwatch.com) How rogue waves help explain market disasters. (bestinterest.blog) Strategy The bear case is obvious. What's the bull case? (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Why you should be happier investing today than a year ago.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Bear in mind

The Reformed Broker

Okay don’t press the <Buy> because of this but maybe reconsider pressing the <Sell> button if you haven’t already… The AAII sentiment poll hit 60% Bears this week. History says the more pessimistic the investor class becomes, the better the prospective returns look six months out. The way I think about this is that the only thing that could make investors really bearish is a big sell-off in t.

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Housekeeping: Email Subscription Updates

Pragmatic Capitalism

Just a quick note here in case you noticed the new email subscription feed. Google recently killed Feedburner so we moved everything over to FollowIt.

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Tuesday links: accepting the risk of underperformance

Abnormal Returns

Rates Yields on cash equivalents are rising rapidly. (wealthmanagement.com) Rapidly rising real interest rates provide competition for stocks. (capitalspectator.com) Expected returns on bonds are finally attractive. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Markets Lumber prices are back down to pre-pandemic levels. (wsj.com) Don't fight the last war: this isn't 2008.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

And if you haven’t subscribed yet, don’t wait. Check it out below or wherever fine podcasts are played. . The post This Week on TRB appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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The Sherman Show: Clients, Advisers, Markets & Portfolios

The Big Picture

At Future Proof , I spoke with hosts Jeffrey Sherman and Samuel Lau of Doubleline + The Sherman Show about investing, the future of financial conferences, and why not failing means you are not taking enough risk. It’s fun conversation, and Jeff & Sam are great hosts. TSS Episode 125: Barry Ritholtz on Financial Advisers, Clients, Market Outlooks and Building Portfolios.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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#FA Success Ep 300: The Evolution Of The Advice Business At Scale And The True Power Of Brand, With Joe Duran

Nerd's Eye View

Welcome back to the 300th episode of the Financial Advisor Success Podcast ! My guest on today's podcast is Joe Duran. Joe is a Partner and Head of Goldman Sachs Personal Financial Management, a national wealth management firm within Goldman Sachs which oversees more than $100 billion in assets under advisement for tens of thousands of client households.

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Personal finance links: a great irony

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Brett McKay talks with Nick Maggiulli about his book "Just Keep Buying: Proven Ways to Save Money and Build Your Wealth." (artofmanliness.com) Six questions you should ask your financial advisor, including 'If something happens to you, who will take over my account?' (peterlazaroff.com) Housing There is a lot about our financial lives we can't control, including home prices.

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Clips From Today’s Closing Bell

The Reformed Broker

Apple is actually a detractor from the market today, says Ritholtz’s Josh Brown from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Closing Bell appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Visualizing Interest Rates Since 2020

The Big Picture

? ?. Visual Capitalist : “The sharp rise in interest rates has sent shockwaves through markets. The S&P 500 Index has steadily declined ~20% year-to-date, and the NASDAQ Composite Index has fallen ~30%. Bond markets are also showing signs of uncertainty, with the 10-year minus 2-year Treasury yield curve acting as a prime example. This yield curve subtracts the return on short-term government bonds from long-term government bonds.” The post Visualizing Interest Rates Since 2020 a

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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The Market For “Lemons” In Financial Advice: How Higher Standards Can Lower Costs And Increase Access To Advice

Nerd's Eye View

In a now-famous 1970 paper, economist George Akerlof used the market for used cars to demonstrate the negative effects that can occur when there are significant information asymmetries between buyers and sellers of a good or service. He highlighted the market for used cars at the time, where, because consumers could not be sure of the quality of a used car they were offered, they were only willing to pay the price of a car in average condition, driving out sellers of high-quality used cars (R

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Top clicks this week on Abnormal Returns

Abnormal Returns

Also on the site A home is a bundle of things, not just a house with a mortgage attached. (abnormalreturns.com) Top clicks this week There is a big problem with investing more during sharp market declines. (ofdollarsanddata.com) How much do interest rates matter for the stock market? (awealthofcommonsense.com) The Uber ($UBER) hack is bad, real bad.

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Josh Gets His Face Ripped

The Reformed Broker

Join Downtown Josh Brown and Michael Batnick for another round of What Are Your Thoughts? On this week’s episode, Josh and Michael discuss the biggest topics in investing and finance, including: ?Reverse Face Ripper – I broke one of my cardinal rules as a market commentator. ?RIP BTD – It is the worst year for buying the stock-market dip since the 1930s. ?

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • The Forbes 400 2022: The Definitive Ranking of The Wealthiest Americans : In 2022 The wealthiest people in the U.S. are poorer than a year ago—and the cutoff to make the list fell for the first time since the Great Recession. ( Forbes ). • Sympathy for the Dimon : He’s dealing with an important shortage: Balance Sheet. ( Financial Times ) see also The Reinvention of Goldman Sachs : what has David Solomon achieved?

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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What is the Fed Doing?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Don’t fight the Fed used to be a positive slogan. That’s not the case anymore. If anything, it feels like the Fed wants to fight us, all of us, including the stock market and the economy. The Fed is actively trying to crash the stock market, break the housing market and push the economy into a recession. How do I know this? Because Fed officials are literally telling us this every time they speak.

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Thursday links: jumping ship

Abnormal Returns

Strategy It's been a long time since you could say bonds were competition for stocks. (ritholtz.com) Mitigating risk in your portfolio always comes with a trade-off. (blog.validea.com) International stocks Why you shouldn't hedge the currency exposure of international stocks. (monevator.com) This week shows why you need to mitigate your home country bias.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Deere, Johnson & Johnson, UnitedHealth & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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10 Tuesday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My Two-for-Tuesday morning train reads: • How the Worst Market Timer in History Built a Fortune : Over 60 years, he only added new investments at bull market tops: $10,000 each of 13 market tops, from February 1966 to February 2020. ( Compound ) see also What if You Only Invested at Market Peaks? Meet Bob. Bob is the world’s worst market timer. What follows is Bob’s tale of terrible timing of his stock purchases. ( A Wealth of Common Sense ). • Hedge Funds Piled On Bullish Pound Bets Just Before

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Housing September 26th Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Last Week; Hits New Peak for 2022

Calculated Risk

Active inventory increased for the 2nd consecutive week, increasing 0.9% last week, and hitting a new peak for the year. Here are the same week inventory changes for the last four years: 2022: +4.9K 2021: -3.7K 2020: -5.2K 2019: -0.3K Inventory bottomed seasonally at the beginning of March 2022 and is now up 131% since then. More than double! Altos reports inventory is up 28.7% year-over-year.

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Wednesday links: a crazy five years

Abnormal Returns

Markets Less than 10% of Nasdaq stocks are above their 200-day moving average. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) The Nasdaq has been outperforming the S&P 500 since June. (allstarcharts.com) IPOs are down to GFC-type levels. (ft.com) Strategy If you have to speculate in the markets, at least follow these guidelines, including 'Do not speculate on the margin.

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Clips From Today’s Halftime Report

The Reformed Broker

Final Trades: Salesforce, Volkswagen, Booz Allen & more from CNBC. The post Clips From Today’s Halftime Report appeared first on The Reformed Broker.

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Animal Spirits: Powell Wants You to Lose Your Job

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts and Tropical Brothers: See here for YCharts September Fund Flow Report See here for tropical gear, free shipping, and sunglass straps on all orders On today’s show we discuss: Weekly market commentary via BlackRock Fed hikes could add $2.1 trillion to deficits 14 charts that explain inflation Full Stack Economics on leaning out of a career to support a signifi.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019

Calculated Risk

Note: The occupancy rate will increase next week due to Hurricane Ian. From CoStar: STR: US Weekly Hotel Occupancy Reaches 70% U.S. hotel performance increased from the previous week and showed improved comparisons with 2019, according to STR‘s latest data through Sept. 24. Sept. 18-24, 2022 (percentage change from comparable week in 2019*): • Occupancy: 70.0% (-1.5%) • Average daily rate (ADR): $157.99 (+15.7%) • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): $110.60 (+13.9%) *Due to the pandemic impact,

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Adviser links: changing relationships

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Christine Benz and Jeff Ptak talk with Tim Steffen, director of tax planning for Baird. (morningstar.com) Michael Kitces and Carl Richards talk about repurposing lessons from clients for content. (kitces.com) Daniel Crosby talks with Tom Morgan about personal myth making. (standarddeviationspod.com) Future Proof Lisa Shidler, "Future Proof 2022's festival-style event was a hit and will return next year to the same Huntington Beach coastal location.

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Episode #445: Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs – Why ESG May Make This Commodity Supercycle Different From Past Cycles

Meb Faber Research

Episode #445: Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs – Why ESG May Make This Commodity Supercycle Different From Past Cycles Guest: Jeff Currie is Goldman Sachs’ global head of Commodities Research. Date Recorded: 9/16/2022 | Run-Time: 47:04 Summary: In today’s episode, Jeff shares why he called for a commodity supercycle almost two years ago and where […].

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