Wed.Aug 10, 2022

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The Trouble with Sentiment

The Big Picture

Barry Ritholtz, Ritholtz Wealth Management Chairman and CIO & “Masters in Business” host, discusses recession risk and inversion of the 2-year/10-year curve. US Economy Facing Growth Recession. ?. Source: Bloomberg , August 9th, 2022. See also : Blame Election Deniers for Faltering Consumer Sentiment. by Matthew A. Winkler. Bloomberg, August 8, 2022.

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Please don’t pivot

The Reformed Broker

The Federal Reserve’s recent attempt to check inflation has been somewhat successful and some macro factors have also gone its way. This morning’s CPI bolsters the case that falling gas prices are helping to ease the overall situation. The inflation rate for housing, rent and employment, however, remains stubbornly high. U.S. inflation was 8.5% in July, the Labor Department said Wednesday, holding close to it.

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Personal finance links: wasting precious time

Abnormal Returns

Aging Five lessons from getting older including 'Change gets old.' (humbledollar.com) The pursuit of the 'new things' eventually loses its glow. (gothamgal.com) Don't let inertia keep you from learning something new (and useful). (abnormalreturns.com) Investing Why avoiding investment fads is so difficult. (bestinterest.blog) Making the case for Series I Savings Bonds.

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How To Manage Strong Emotions When Asking Clients Kinder Life Planning Questions

Nerd's Eye View

When financial planning clients think about their future, they might imagine a relaxing retirement, world travel, or other pleasant experiences. What they’re probably not considering is their own death, even though everyone’s time remaining on Earth is finite (even if the number of years they have left is unknowable). And using this perspective, advisors can add value for clients by helping them prioritize their goals and explore whether their current behaviors match their desired ou

Clients 177
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Register Now: Sneak Peek Into Close Automation SkyStem Web Demo

Technology is rapidly changing the way accountants perform and manage month-end activities. Spreadsheets, email, and shared drives no longer have to slow us down. Join us as we present a "sneak peek" recorded demo of SkyStem's month-end close solution – ART. In under four weeks, your team can start reaping the benefits of month-end close automation by vastly reducing spreadsheets, cut down on reconciliation work, speed up the month-end close, and better manage your remote team.

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Three Things I Think I Think

Pragmatic Capitalism

Here are some things I think I am thinking about: 1) Inflation has peaked. This morning’s CPI report is more evidence that disinflation is going to become a more prolonged [ … ].

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Wednesday links: financial disorder

Abnormal Returns

Markets The stock market's biggest losers have bounced hard. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) China's three biggest tech stocks are down $1 trillion in value since February 2021. (wsj.com) Companies Meta ($META) sold bonds, $10 billion worth, for the first time. (finance.yahoo.com) How the remote work revolution is playing out at Dropbox ($DBX). (time.com) Why Domino's ($DPZ) didn't make it in Italy.

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BLS: CPI Unchanged in July; Core CPI increased 0.3%

Calculated Risk

From the BLS : T he Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in July on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 1.3 percent in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.5 percent before seasonal adjustment. The gasoline index fell 7.7 percent in July and offset increases in the food and shelter indexes, resulting in the all items index being unchanged over the month.

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What Moves Markets?

The Irrelevant Investor

Inflation numbers for July were released today. We learned that consumer prices rose 8.5% from a year earlier, the fourth highest reading since I’ve been alive. And the stock market loved it, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.1% and closing at the highest levels since early May. Looking under the hood, the food index increased 1.1%, which is the seventh consecutive monthly increase of 0.9% or more.

Marketing 130
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Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base

Calculated Risk

The BLS reported this morning: The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) increased 9.1 percent over the last 12 months to an index level of 292.219 (1982-84=100). For the month, the index declined 0.1 percent prior to seasonal adjustment. CPI-W is the index that is used to calculate the Cost-Of-Living Adjustments (COLA).

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Greg Quental, Co-Founder of Tech Startup Bento Engine, Dies at 62

Wealth Management

Quental was the former CEO of J.P. Morgan Securities; his death comes just weeks after his tech startup announced an initial seed round of funding from a long roster of well-known RIA leaders.

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Homebuyers Hit Brakes in July, Sellers Hold Back

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Homebuyers Hit Brakes in July, Sellers Hold Back A brief excerpt: The big story for July existing home sales is the sharp year-over-year (YoY) decline in sales. Another key story is that new listings are down YoY in July. Of course, active listings are up sharply. Notes for all tables: 1. New additions to table in BOLD. 2.

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Advisor Group Raises $500M in Debt for B/D Acquisitions

Wealth Management

Moody’s assigned a B2 rating to the notes and changed its outlook on the firm from stable to positive, saying the benefits of higher interest rates will offset the additional debt.

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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in July

Calculated Risk

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning: According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.5% in July. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.4% in July. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Nine Must Reads for the CRE Industry Today (Aug. 11, 2022)

Wealth Management

Fitch Ratings warned about the danger stagflation posts to commercial real estate values. Investment sales volume was up 10 percent in the second quarter, according to CBRE data. These are among today’s must reads from around the commercial real estate industry.

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What Should I Know About Saving for College?

Mullooly Asset Management

The first thing to know about saving for college is that it’s never too early to start. The earlier you start saving (and investing) for your child’s future, the more time and flexibility you allow yourself. Saving for college can be difficult for parents to do on top of saving for retirement and meeting all […].

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How To Write An Engaging Biography For Your Financial Website

Advisor Websites

A well-written bio can make all the difference for financial advisors. You only have one shot at making a good first impression, and your online biography might just be that one shot! You want to make an impression that showcases your personality, stands out among the rest, and communicates your unique value proposition. So how do you write a great biography that delivers all three?

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MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications increased 0.2 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending August 5, 2022. The Refinance Index increased 4 percent from the previous week and was 82 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Leveraged and Inverse Single Stock ETFs: The Worst of Both Worlds?

Wealth Management

Single stock ETFs may be a case of the wrong thing done for the wrong reason, writes Dimensional's head of investment strategies.

Investing 113
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Animal Spirits: Soft Landing

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Masterworks: See here to learn more about investing in contemporary art. On today’s show we discuss: Does this look like a recession to you? H1 was not a recession Uptick in home searches and tours Home listings are stale Softbank taking major losses HOOD earnings Z earnings OPEN earnings UBER earnings AMC earnings NVDA earnings Robinhood laying off 23% of workfo.

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Focus Financial's Latest M&A Moves Prioritize Growth Abroad

Wealth Management

Focus makes moves in Canada and tweaks its global leadership team as it seeks to increase the percentage of revenues earned from international markets.

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Treasury Bonds: Buy and Hold or Trend Follow?

Alpha Architect

If one had to invest in buy and hold treasury bonds or trend-followed treasury bonds, it is likely that most investors would prefer the trend-followed bond investment. However, in a broader portfolio context, the analysis suggests that how one 'eats' their bond exposure is largely irrelevant and the portfolio's long-term outcome will be driven by equity market dynamics.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Entire US Supply Chain Needs 24/7 Operations, Not Just Ports, Official Says

Wealth Management

“If only you or only a terminal goes to 24/7, that’s interesting,” Stephen Lyons told Port of Long Beach Executive Mario Cordero in an interview Tuesday. “But if everybody -- including the warehousing community, all the other modes of transport -- moved to 24/7, or something more than today, that makes logical sense that you could move much more cargo in the same period of time.

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Social Media Content Do’s and Don’ts for Financial Advisors

Twenty Over Ten

There are countless benefits that your advisor business can get from utilizing social media in its marketing strategy.

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Pennsylvania Advisor Sentenced To 5 Years For $7M Scheme

Wealth Management

Lee Weiss previously pleaded guilty to investment advisor fraud related to a Ponzi-like scheme involving his firm Family Endowment Partners.

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I Need Money Desperately! 26 Realistic Ideas To Consider

Clever Girl Finance

There are few things worse than needing access to cash but not knowing where it’s going to come from. But that’s exactly what happens when life gives us lemons. Unexpected life events can cost serious money, and often there’s a pretty tight timeframe to cough up the goods. If your brain is screaming, "I need money desperately," it can be tempting to turn to credit cards or take out a loan if you don't have an emergency fund.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Progress on Digital Asset Rules and Regulations Lagging

Wealth Management

With Congress bogged down, it may be some time before bills that will directly impact the charitable sector begin moving again.

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Syrma Sgs Tech IPO Review 2022 – GMP, Strengths, & More!

Trade Brains

Syrma Sgs Tech IPO Review: After a pause for months, an IPO is back in the Indian markets. Syrma Sgs Technology Limited is coming up with its Initial Public Offering. The IPO will open for subscription on August 12th, 2022, and close on August 18th, 2022. It is looking to raise Rs. 840 Crores out of which Rs. 766 Crores will be a fresh issue and the remaining Rs. 74 Crores will be an offer for sale.

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Snowden Lane Adds Another Fieldpoint Advisor, Creates $360M Team

Wealth Management

The Jacobi-Hakala Group has been formed under Snowden Lane Partners, reuniting two long-time colleagues.

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