Wed.Jul 05, 2023

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More Inflation Expectations Silliness

The Big Picture

This morning, the WSJ reported that “Consumers expect to see 4.1% inflation a year from now, the lowest such reading in two years and down sharply from its recent peak of 6.8%.” There are some who believe this is good news, but as we pointed out in May , it’s a meaningless, lagging survey. In fact, it may be even worse than that, because it appears that some at the Federal Reserve actually believe the Fed’s own survey of consumers contains information.

Economy 294
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

As the U.S. stock market has, on average, outperformed international equities over the last 15 years since emerging from the Great Recession of 2008, many investors argue that international diversification is a poor allocation of dollars that would otherwise be earning more in the U.S. market. The outperformance of U.S. stocks has led to the favoritism of ‘local’ investments over international ones through behavioral biases (e.g., recency bias and the tendency to confuse the familiar

Valuation 228
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Personal finance links: types of uncertainties

Abnormal Returns

Podcasts Ben Carlson and Michael Batnick talk credit card points with Chris Hutchins, Host of All The Hacks Podcast. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Chris Alacron talks with Jonathan Clements author of “My Money Journey: How 30 People Found Financial Freedom and You Can Too.” (financiallywelloff.com) Peter Mallouk and Jonathan Clements on the key ingredients of a good retirement.

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JD Power: Advisors Increasingly Bogged Down By Administration, Compliance

Wealth Management

Advisors who said they don't have enough time with their clients spend an average 41% more time every month than peers on compliance, administrative and other “non-value-added” tasks, according to a new J.D. Power survey.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Wednesday links: the pool of available workers

Abnormal Returns

Markets It's not just the U.S. stock market that is rallying YTD. (ft.com) Bitcoin and Ethereum are at 52-week highs. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy Six signs to help you avoid 'value traps.' (blog.validea.com) These two quality financials trade at 10-11x earnings. (brklyninvestor.com) Finance If ESG investing can be restricted, then so can religious-focused funds.

More Trending

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Return to the Office or Else!

Advisor Perspectives

Work from home benefits the employer and the employee. But society may be better off if we all show up in the office.

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Vehicles Sales at 15.68 million SAAR in June; Up 20% YoY

Calculated Risk

Wards Auto released their estimate of light vehicle sales for June: U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales End First-Half 2023 on Solid Note as June, Q2 Record Double-Digit Growth (pay site). With second-quarter results finishing 18% above the same period last year, first-half 2023 volume totaled 7.66 million units, a 13% increase on January-June 2022. Sales are forecast to rise 11% year-over-year to 7.72 million units in the second half, and Wards Intelligence partner GlobalData is pegging entire-2023 at 15.

Sales 98
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The Art of In-Force Policy Management: A Game-Changer for Life Insurance Advisors

NAIFA Advisor Today

Two weeks ago, I had the privilege of spending time with Nick Bowman, CFP, MS, CEP , in New York City at the Insurtech Insights Conference. Previously associated with Lion Street as an Advanced Sales Professional, Nick now serves as the CEO of Motif Insurance, a company that is revolutionizing the future of in-force life insurance. Motif's primary objective is to empower advisors in managing their portfolios by harnessing the potential of data.

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11 Midweek Must Reads for Real Estate Investors (July 5, 2023)

Wealth Management

Fundamentals within the multifamily sector remain strong although rising debt costs have depressed values and sale volume, according to the latest Yardi Matrix data. Despite the dreary headlines for the sector, some investors see opportunities. These are among the must reads from around the real estate investment world.

Sales 98
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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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The Total Return Roller Coaster

Advisor Perspectives

Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $13,964 for an annualized real return of 6.70%.

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Best Dividend Stocks Under Rs 200 That Offers Passive Income

Trade Brains

Best Dividend Stocks Under Rs 200 : Investor has any one of the motives while investing in an asset, it is either capital appreciation or a way of earning a passive income from the asset you have invested in. Those who look for a passive source of income can invest in stocks can that pay dividends. While there are numerous dividend-paying stocks available, this article focuses specifically on the best dividend stocks under Rs 200.

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Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Crosses $31K

Advisor Perspectives

Bitcoin crossed $31,000 during this past week and is now up ~84% year to date. Here's the latest charts on three of the largest cryptocurrencies by market share through 7/4.

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NAPFA Updates Membership Standards to Allow for Some Commissions

Wealth Management

The membership organization for fee-only advisors will now allow for a de minimis amount of commission business, as long as it's relinquished.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Good News and Great News About AI

Advisor Perspectives

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) continue at a furious pace. Here’s what my clients want to know.

Clients 117
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How Retail Healthcare Is Creating New Real Estate Opportunities

Wealth Management

Healthcare providers’ preference for retail spaces has put them in competition with bricks-and-mortar retailers, triggering a race for premium retail spaces.

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Success Tips for Insurance Agents and Financial Advisors With Harry Hoopis

NAIFA Advisor Today

Harry Hoopis is an entrepreneur and industry leader in the insurance and financial services space who has built a successful firm based in Chicago, IL. He speaks, teaches, and inspires executives, advisors, and front-line salespeople — providing the systems, methods, efficiencies, and confidence needed to excel in the industry. He is the author of the best-selling book, The Road to the Bountiful Life , and recipient of NAIFA's prestigious John Newton Russell Memorial Award.

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The Word on WealthTech for July 2023

Wealth Management

Doug Fritz, F2 Strategy's co-founder and CEO, provides his take on the most important wealthtech news of the last month.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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Types of Life Insurance That Generate Immediate Cash Value

Good Financial Cents

Life insurance policies are critical financial planning tools designed to provide financial security for policyholders’ beneficiaries upon their demise. They work by offering a lump-sum payment, known as a death benefit, to beneficiaries after the insured person’s death. But some life insurance policies offer an additional feature – the accumulation of cash value over time.

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[Exclusive Research] Taking a Timeout

Wealth Management

Institutional investors are holding commercial real estate target allocations flat, according to exclusive WMRE research.

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One Explanation For The Lackluster Performance in Small Caps

Andrew Thrasher

One of the big questions of 2023 has been why small cap stocks have performed so poorly relative to the rest of the market.

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Cerity Partners Adds $2.5B AJ Wealth

Wealth Management

Cerity has acquired a New York City–based firm with experience serving private equity, hedge fund and venture capital partners.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Animal Spirits: Is the Housing Correction Over?

A Wealth of Common Sense

Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Future Proof: See here for more information on the Future Proof Fintech Demo. On today’s show, we discuss: Are Social Media Influencers Out Influencing Financial Advisors? Why Economies Haven’t Slowed More Since Central Banks Hit the Brakes Home prices increase again in April, signaling a recovery Financial storm bears down on US commercial real estate Film a.

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The Emotional Cost of Bankruptcy and Insolvency

Advisor Perspectives

While much information is available about the technical aspects of avoiding bankruptcy and steps to take when filing for it, there isn’t much written about the emotional costs.

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Transgender Name Changes and the Evolving Nature of State Law

Wealth Management

Attorneys with clients who are transitioning need to keep apprised of current laws.

Clients 103
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Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, Job Openings and More

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Thursday: • At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index. • At 8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for June. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 236,000 payroll jobs added in June, down from 278,000 in May. • At 8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.

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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Estate Planning Professional Organization Denied Tax Exempt Status

Wealth Management

The IRS found the organization spent much time devoted to social and networking activities.

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Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year A brief excerpt: Tracking rents is important for understanding the dynamics of the housing market. For example, the sharp increase in rents helped me deduce that there was a surge in household formation in 2021 (See from September 2021: Household Formation Drives Housing Demand ).

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The Value Trap Conundrum – And Six Criteria to Help Deal With It

Validea

By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® ( @practicalquant ) — Value traps are the bane of a value investor’s existence. We build our strategies around buying cheap companies and hoping the market will eventually see things the way we do. And sometimes it eventually does. But other times not only does it not eventually see things our way, things actually get much worse.

Assets 52