Fri.Jul 21, 2023

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America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake

The Big Picture

@TBPInvictus here; Let’s cut to the chase : A popular video on YouTube claims the poor are much less poor than the official statistics suggest because those statistics ignore government welfare programs like Food Stamps and Aid to Dependant Children and lots of other safety net programs. If this were true, it would mean we have been measuring income inequality incorrectly (perhaps wealth inequality as well).

Math 246
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We Have Lost All Sense of Decorum

The Reformed Broker

Welcome to the latest episode of The Compound & Friends. This week, Michael Batnick, Sam Ro, Jack Raines, and Downtown Josh Brown discuss AI and the market, the meme economy, Nvidia’s rollercoaster year, the earnings recession, financial charlatans, Berkshire’s massive bet on Apple, and much more! You can listen to the whole thing below, or find it wherever you like to listen to your favorite pods!

Economy 246
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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • Inflation undershoot? Narrative shifts again. But as impressive U.S. disinflation sweeps through 2023, without a cratering of employment or the wider economy so far, the narrative is shifting again – and encouraging hopes that bruising central bank tightening may be short-lived too. With a ‘soft landing’ now majority thinking again, phrases like ‘immaculate disinflation’ abound and raise questions about whether underlying pr

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Weekend Reading For Financial Planners (July 22-23)

Nerd's Eye View

Enjoy the current installment of "Weekend Reading For Financial Planners" - this week's edition kicks off with the news that Charles Schwab's latest annual RIA Benchmarking Study shows that while average firm assets under management fell in 2022, due largely to weak market performance, organic growth remained strong, mitigating a portion of the market effects on client portfolios.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Podcast links: the state of AI

Abnormal Returns

Business Zack Fuss talks with John Zolidis about the business of Lululemon ($LULU). (joincolossus.com) Russell Napier talks with Brendan Ballou author of "Plunder: Private Equity's Plan to Pillage America." (open.spotify.com) Andy Slavitt talks with Ben Mckenzie, co-author of “Easy Money: Cryptocurrency, Casino Capitalism, and the Golden Age of Fraud.

Startup 217

More Trending

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Friday links: decelerating growth

Abnormal Returns

Markets The 2023 stock market has been a mirror image of 2022. (theirrelevantinvestor.com) Individual stock correlations have been falling for awhile. (allstarcharts.com) Strategy Why market timing is so seductive. (awealthofcommonsense.com) Why stock pickers can't ignore return factors. (albertbridgecapital.com) Collectibles A review of "The Worth of Art: Financial Tools for the Art Market" by Arturo Cifuentes and Ventura Charlin.

Startup 193
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Yatharth Hospital IPO Review – GMP, Price, Date & Financials

Trade Brains

Yatharth Hospital IPO : Yatharth Hospital Limited Ltd is coming up with its Initial Public Offering. The IPO will open for subscription on July 26, 2023, and close on July 28, 2023. In this article, we will look at the Yatharth Hospital IPO Review 2023 and analyze its strengths and weaknesses. Keep reading to find out! Yatharth Hospital IPO Review – About The Company Yatharth Hospital and Trauma Care Services Limited, founded in 2008, is a multi-care hospital network.

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[Exclusive Research] Tapping the Brakes

Wealth Management

This exclusive report, based on a survey of advisors and commercial real estate professionals, highlights the changing landscape of HNWI allocations to real estate and provides a deep understanding of current investment strategies.

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S&P 500 Snapshot: Finished Week Up 0.69%

Advisor Perspectives

The S&P 500 posted weekly gains for the second consecutive week, finishing up 0.69% from last Friday. The index is currently up 18.62% year to date and is 5.43% below its record close from January 3, 2022.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Key Considerations for Investing in Liquid, Semi-Liquid Alternatives

Wealth Management

Used correctly, private market investments can be valuable tools for building efficient long-term portfolios and accessing differentiated opportunities.

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Why Higher Interest Rates Haven’t Mattered (Yet)

A Wealth of Common Sense

Last year most economists assumed the Fed raising rates so aggressively meant a recession was inevitable: Now they’re backing off those predictions: So why hasn’t the economy crashed from going 0% to 5% in such short order? There are a lot of reasons. I like this one from Bob Elliott: If you think about what happened it makes sense higher yields and higher borrowing costs have offset one another.

Economy 82
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Why Do Most Digital Lead Platforms Fail?

Wealth Management

Success is measured by the ability to generate, evaluate, nurture and close leads. And for the most part, that means digital leads.

98
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Margin Debt Up 5.8% in June; Highest Level in 10 Months

Advisor Perspectives

FINRA has released new data for margin debt, now available through June. The latest debt level is at 681.23 billion, up 5.8% month-over-month (MoM) and down 0.3% year-over-year (YoY). However after adjusting for inflation, debt level is up 5.4% MoM and down 3.2% YoY.

80
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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Long-time IBD Recruiter Jon Henschen Dies at Age 64

Wealth Management

Henschen, who owned Henschen & Associates, was a pioneer and thought leader in the independent recruiting space.

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Black Knight: "Seriously Delinquent Mortgages Hit Lowest Level Since 2006" in June

Calculated Risk

From Black Knight: Black Knight’s First Look: Seriously Delinquent Mortgages Hit Lowest Level Since 2006; Prepayments Trended Seasonally Higher in June Despite Elevated Interest Rates • Inching up 2 basis points from May, the national delinquency rate continues to hover near recent record lows, with June’s marking the third lowest level on record • The number of serious delinquencies (loans 90+ days past due) dropped to 471K – the lowest since August 2006 – and a 177K (-27%) improvement from Jun

Numbers 98
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Longtime IBD Recruiter Jon Henschen Dies at Age 64

Wealth Management

Henschen, who owned Henschen & Associates, was a pioneer and thought leader in the independent recruiting space.

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Reducing the Risk of Momentum Crashes

Alpha Architect

The empirical research demonstrates that, on average, investing in previous winners and short selling previous losers offers highly significant returns that other common risk factors cannot explain. However, momentum also displays huge tail risk, as there are short but persistent periods of highly negative returns. Crashes occur particularly in reversals from bear markets when the momentum portfolio displays a negative market beta and momentum volatility is high.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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The WealthStack Podcast: 2023 Market Predictions with Marc Chaikin

Wealth Management

The founder of Chaikin Analytics gives his biggest takeaways from navigating through 10 bear markets.

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Will Factor-Based Investment Strategies Outperform Over the Next 10 Years?

Ron A. Rhodes

A client recently inquired about stock market valuation levels, expected and historical returns.

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Lessons for Advisors from Aretha Franklin’s Estate Woes

Wealth Management

Don’t assume wealthy clients have done their planning.

Clients 98
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Best Ashish Kacholia Portfolio Stocks in 2023 – Top Picks & Analysis

Trade Brains

Best Ashish Kacholia Portfolio Stocks : The stock market, a place of uncertainty where fortunes can be won or lost in an instant. In this place of uncertainty, it is the extraordinary achievements of ace investors that inspire us to achieve success in the market. Market participants try to gain insights from the portfolio of these ace investors portfolios and try to mirror them in the hopes of gaining massive returns.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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July 21st COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations

Calculated Risk

Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. After the first few weeks, the pandemic low for weekly deaths had been the week of July 7, 2021, at 1,690 deaths (until recently). For COVID hospitalizations, the previous low was 9,821 (until recently). The last few months have seen a positive trend.

Numbers 52
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Is Cash the Best Insurance Asset?

Discipline Funds

Insurance is a sensible part of any financial plan. Good insurance should be designed as a temporal tool. For instance, you buy life insurance during a specific time period in your life when your dependents would be financially devastated by your death. This is why term life insurance is almost always the right option for life insurance – it is designed to cover a specific long duration period in your life when your dependents are most likely to be negatively impacted by your death. 20 yea

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Get to know Petra Jurova

Tobias Financial

Petra Jurova was born and raised in Bratislava, the beautiful capital city of Slovakia. She is fluent in Slovak, Czech, as well as English and was one of the only non-native English speakers in her master’s program at Nova Southeastern University in composition, rhetoric, and digital media. From the age of seven, Petra’s life was consumed with one thing, becoming a championship tennis player.

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Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%

Calculated Risk

The preliminary estimate for Q2 GDP is scheduled to be released this coming Thursday, July 27th. The consensus estimate is for real GDP to increase 1.8% SAAR from Q1. From BofA: Data since our last weekly publication moved up our 2Q GDP tracking estimate from 1.5% q/q saar to 1.6%. [July 21st estimate] emphasis added From Goldman: We left our Q2 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +2.5% (qoq ar).

Sales 52
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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Spotlight Amazon: The Jungle Where Innovation Roars

Advisor Perspectives

Amazon is the world’s largest online retailer and a prominent player in the field of cloud services, digital streaming, and artificial intelligence. This Knowledge Leader has redefined the landscape of e-commerce and technology.

Retail 52
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Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June

Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June A brief excerpt: Each month I track closed sales, new listings and active inventory in a sample of local markets around the country (over 40 local housing markets) in the US to get an early sense of changes in the housing market. In addition, we can look for regional differences.

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Weighted Average Green Revenue (Wagr): Integrating Climate Solutions into Portfolio Construction

Advisor Perspectives

Transitioning to a green net-zero economy requires climate solutions that enable the economy to decarbonise, such as renewable energy, electric vehicles, and recycling technologies.