Thu.Jun 29, 2023

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What Do You Believe? Why?

The Big Picture

One of the most important aspects of becoming a good investor is creating a model of the world around you. To do this, you must have good decision-making skills, and the ability to make sense of incomplete and sometimes contradictory information. This is not easy. Indeed, it is often counterintuitive. What seems like an obvious market-moving data point or piece of news is very often already in the price.

Investing 312
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Longform links: the most informed experts

Abnormal Returns

Technology AI is making for a spate of new junk websites powered by programmatic ads. (technologyreview.com) The FTC thinks Amazon ($AMZN) customers are stupid. (stratechery.com) The many ways in which data brokers label you. (themarkup.org) The Internet is a beast that needs to be fed with content. (om.co) Water Can Utah's Great Salt Lake be saved?

Economics 224
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Kitces & Carl Ep 115: Setting The Right Minimum Fee Per Client And The Revenue Model Generator

Nerd's Eye View

For most financial advisory firm owners, ensuring that their business or practice is remunerative and that it can remain viable is often a key priority. And while there are many factors that help owners determine whether their firm is making enough money to profitably sustain itself, one common variable that can help them adjust their net revenue is the fee they charge to clients for financial planning services.

Clients 171
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Thursday links: doubling down on mistakes

Abnormal Returns

Companies Overstock.com is going all-in on the Bed Bath & Beyond name. (theinformation.com) Downtown retail has more than just a crime problem. (bloomberg.com) AI Why AI is worthy of the 'mega-trend' title. (institutionalinvestor.com) AI is going to have a mixed effect on Google ($GOOGL). (barrons.com) Where is the new wave of customer-focused AI companies?

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My morning train WFH reads: • Gold Is No Longer a Good Hedge Against Bad Times : The precious metal has become just another cyclical asset, no longer a useful harbinger of social and economic collapse. ( Bloomberg ) • AI’s Winners, Losers and Wannabes : An NVIDIA Valuation, with the AI Boost! ( Musings on Markets ) • For Trend-Setting Family Offices—and Those Following Their Lead—Timing Is Key : Investors are sensing a regime shift in the market but capturing it will take careful planning.

More Trending

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Understanding the Modern Monetary System – Updated!

Pragmatic Capitalism

It’s been over 10 years since I published Understanding the Modern Monetary System, one of the most widely read papers in the SSRN research database.

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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down Slightly YoY; New Listings Down 29% YoY

Calculated Risk

Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report from economist Danielle Hale: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending June 24, 2023 • Active inventory growth stalled completely, with for-sale homes lagging behind year ago levels for the first time in 59 weeks. As mortgage rates surged in 2022, buyers saw costs soar, and a large number of shoppers reoriented their housing plans.

Numbers 132
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Q1 GDP Third Estimate: Real GDP at 2.0%, Stronger Than Expected

Advisor Perspectives

Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.0% in Q1 2023, according to the third estimate. This is slower than the Q4 2022 GDP third estimate of 2.6% growth but faster than the initial estimate of 1.1% growth and the second estimate of 1.3% growth.

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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000

Calculated Risk

The DOL reported : In the week ending June 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 239,000 , a decrease of 26,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 264,000 to 265,000. The 4-week moving average was 257,500, an increase of 1,500 from the previous week's revised average.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Net Lease Drugstores Provide Hidden Insights on Broader Real Estate Market Trends

Wealth Management

Trends indicate that there is still demand for quality assets and much of the cap rate increases we’re seeing are being inflated by inferior assets.

Assets 111
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NAR: Pending Home Sales Down 2.7% in May; Down 22.2% Year-over-year

Calculated Risk

From the NAR: Pending Home Sales Shrunk 2.7% in May Pending home sales shrunk 2.7% in May from the previous month , according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three U.S. regions posted monthly losses, while sales in the Northeast surged. All four regions saw year-over-year declines in transactions. “Despite sluggish pending contract signings, the housing market is resilient with approximately three offers for each listing,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, “The lack of housing inv

Sales 120
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: Fidelity files new spot bitcoin ETF application, following BlackRock, Invesco

MarketWatch

Fidelity Digital Assets has filed an application for a spot bitcoin exchange traded fund, after its previous filing was rejected by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2022. Fidelity’s latest move follows similar filings by BlackRock, Invesco, Wisdom Tree, Valkyrie, and Bitwise. The SEC approved several bitcoin futures-based ETFs in the past, but has yet to greenlight anything that is backed by bitcoin itself.

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Q1 GDP Growth Revised Up to 2.0% Annual Rate

Calculated Risk

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised Estimate), and GDP by Industry, First Quarter 2023 Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.0 percent in the first quarter of 2023 , according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.6 percent.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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WealthStack Roundup: Salesforce Launches Generative AI Platform

Wealth Management

Also, Wealthtender launches its Certified Consultant Program, eMoney Advisor integrates with MaxMyInterest, an exec moves from Nitrogen to Docupace and AcreTrader news.

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How to Live Retirement to the Fullest

Integrity Financial Planning

It’s pretty easy to have a great time in retirement. You’re not working. You can focus on family and friends and do what you want. But you might find that without a plan, you feel a little aimless. If you’re looking to get the most out of retirement, what should you do? What strategies should you be using? Have an active social life When you’re working, it can be easy to just put your head down and focus on the maintenance of everyday life.

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SEC Report on Forced Arbitration Clauses Finds RIA Clients at Disadvantage

Wealth Management

Commissioned by the U.S. House Committee on Appropriations, the study confirms views that mandatory arbitration agreements imposed by fiduciary-bound RIAs can unfairly limit clients' ability to seek legal remedies from wrongful actors.

Clients 94
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5 Facts You Should Know About Social Security Retirement Benefits

MainStreet Financial Planning

Social Security can be a confusing topic and everyone’s social security strategy is specific to their circumstances, life expectancy, financial situation, etc. The decision you make about when to file will impact the rest of your life and can make a difference worth thousands of dollars over your lifetime. Here are a few helpful facts, tips, and resources that can help you better understand Social Security benefits.

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Transforming Lending: Understanding the Power of Digital Platforms

Digital platforms can provide you with plenty of solutions, yet many are still intimidated by them. It's time to end that worry and embrace what could make a major difference for your bank. Understanding how they work and how to best utilize them for your banks is key toward success. In this article, Biz2X breaks down all things digital platforms, including the many advantages of embracing them.

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WealthStack Roundup: Salesforce Launches Personalized Financial Engagement With Gen AI Capabilities

Wealth Management

Also, Wealthtender launches its Certified Consultant Program, eMoney Advisor integrates with MaxMyInterest, an exec moves from Nitrogen to Docupace and AcreTrader news.

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The Compound and Friends: The Quantum Realm

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Compound and Friends is brought to you by Jack Carr’s “Only the Dead”: Thanks to Jack Carr’s “Only the Dead” for sponsoring this episode! See here to grab your Compound Summer Read. On today’s show, we discuss: From Hustle to Scale US Consumer Confidence Three Golf Stories About Investing Magic Mushrooms. LSD. Ketamine. The Drugs That Power Silicon Valley.

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Are You Smarter Than a College Financial Planning Student?

Wealth Management

This quiz is based on actual questions from The Financial Planning Challenge.

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Corporate Bonds vs. U.S. Treasuries

A Wealth of Common Sense

A reader asks: What’s the incentive here to buy AAA Corporate debt vs. just buying U.S. T-bills that are yielding slightly higher and are risk-free? Is this normal? I have good data from the Federal Reserve on AAA-rated corporate bond yields and 3-month T-bill yields going back to 1934. No, it is not normal for T-bills to yield more than corporate bonds: Out of the nearly 1,100 months in this data, T-bill yields we.

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Your New & Improved Month-End Close Process Is Not So Far Out of Reach!

All accounting teams know what it is like to dread the inevitable month-end scaries. If there was a way to feel less burdened and maybe even a little enthusiastic to work on your month-end close and reconciliation process, would you do it? No, don't answer that, of course you would! Automate your month-end close process by up to 40% with SkyStem's ART and see how much more alive you feel!

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Seven Simple Standard Operating Procedures for Financial Advisors

Wealth Management

Checklists serve as a great starting point for systematizing your business.

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: WHO poised to declare aspartame ‘possibly carcinogenic to humans,’ Reuters reports

MarketWatch

The World Health Organization’s cancer research arm is poised to declare the artificial sweetener aspartame as “possibly carcinogenic to humans” as early as next month, Reuters reported, citing two sources with knowledge of the matter. Aspartame is used in products ranging from diet Coca-Cola to Mars’ Extra chewing gum and certain Snapple drinks. The move will be the first by the International Agency for Research on Cancer, or IARC, the news agency reported.

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Mindy Diamond on Independence: Marketing Tips for Advisors from Megan Carpenter

Wealth Management

FiComm's Megan Carpenter shares advice on what it takes to impact organic growth via marketing.

Marketing 103
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: Mullen Automotive records revenue for the 1st time with sale of 22 EV cargo vans

MarketWatch

Shares of Mullen Automotive Inc. MULN slipped 0.2% toward another record low in premarket trading Thursday, even after the electric-vehicle maker announced its first revenue recorded with the sale of 22 EV cargo vans. The company said the sale to Randy Automotive Group generated $308,000 in revenue, which will be recorded in company’s fiscal third-quarter, which ends June 30.

Sales 76
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The Blueprint for a Customer-Centric Digital Lending Experience

Creating a winning digital lending experience requires plenty of focus on the needs of customers and more. Biz2X Chief Product Officer Aaron Traub covers everything from how to create such an experience, areas to hone in on, pitfalls to avoid, and plenty more in this insightful article. Discover how to utilize new technology without alienating existing customers, what to emphasize when working on your platform, and how to utilize the data at your disposal while not becoming overly reliant on it.

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Avoiding Costly M&A Mistakes While Driving Inorganic Growth

Wealth Management

A trial-and-error approach to financial advisor acquisitions raises greater risks than ever.

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: Supreme Court rules against affirmative action at universities

MarketWatch

The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled against race-conscious programs at universities, handing a win to a group that argued that the institutions shouldn’t consider race in evaluating applications for admission. The high court, which has a conservative majority, had been expected to return a decision that wasn’t favorable for affirmative action. Market Pulse Stories are Rapid-fire, short news bursts on stocks and markets as they move.

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Fidelity Plans to Convert $13 Billion of Its Mutual Funds Into ETFs

Wealth Management

Fidelity will turn the six actively managed mutual funds into ETFs in Novembe

Planning 101