Sat.Jun 17, 2023

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“Today’s market pivots from a funeral to a party as fast as a VFW hall.”

The Reformed Broker

Please read this from Michael Santoli: Just as the depth of despond evident in investor-sentiment gauges around Labor Day was out of proportion to what the market and economy had been doing, the volume of cheer engendered by this four-week, 9% rally looks to be running at least a bit ahead of what has, after all, been a marginal upside exit from a long, grinding trading range.

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MiB: Gretchen Morgenson on Private Equity

The Big Picture

This week, we speak with Gretchen Morgenson, senior financial reporter for the NBC News investigative unit. A former stockbroker and alumna of the New York Times and Wall Street Journal, she won the Pulitzer Prize in 2002 for her “trenchant and incisive” reporting on finance. She (and coauthor Joshua Rosner) recently published “ These Are the Plunderers: How Private Equity Runs―and Wrecks―America.

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This Week on TRB

The Reformed Broker

We did Austin big this week. Supersized. BBQ, country music, sports bars, meetings, dinners, lunches, walks, scooters, forget about it. What a city. Some pics from the trip below: We were posted up at The Line hotel all week. When we bumped into the Ameriprise gang, there was quite a scuffle. Three hospitalized, two arrests. This is La Piscina, a Tex Mex spot on the pool deck of the Proper Hotel.

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10 Weekend Reads

The Big Picture

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: • Who Builds The Internet? Meet Wikipedia’s Architects : The world wide web of Wikipedia, as told by its editors. ( Byline ) • Microsoft’s Sudden AI Dominance Is Scrambling Silicon Valley’s Power Structure : The company has quietly cornered the emerging software market, and it’s preparing to cash in. ( Businessweek ) see also How Nvidia Became ChatGPT’s Brain and Joine

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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: Met lowers age for use of VR headset to 10

MarketWatch

Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. META on Friday said it plans to lower the recommended age for users of its Quest Pro virtual-reality headset to 10 from 13, sparking privacy and safety concerns from watchdog groups and parents. The move marks the second time the company has eased age restrictions for use of its products. In April, Meta said it would allow those under 18 to use Horizon World, its VR social network.

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Estimating Future Stock Returns, March 2023 Update

Aleph

Image Credit: Aleph Blog || Has the return on assets for public equities permanently risen? At March 31st, 2023, the S&P 500 was priced to return 2.41%/year over the next ten years. Given the rally since then, that return has shrunk to 0.49%/year. Currently the 10-year Treasury yields 3.76%. In investment grade corporates, you could earn more than 5% with considerably lower risk.

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Fundamental Analysis Of Thermax – Revenue, Future Plans & More

Trade Brains

Fundamental Analysis Of Thermax : The engineering industry is the backbone of a nation’s advancement and prosperity. Over the decades, multiple companies has been established in India. These companies try to overcome capital adequacy problems, low productivity, regulation, shortages of raw materials, and other factors that make them more capital-intensive in nature to run their businesses.

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Rethinking What Is Safe

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

This will be fun. Meb Faber posted a short white paper titled What Is The Safest Investment Asset ? The context is someone who has enough money to be able to avoid a normal allocation to risk assets with general idea underlying the piece is that it would be easy to just say T-bills and in nominal terms, that would be true but factoring in the loss of purchasing power due to inflation, that would not be the case.

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0DTE Options, Fixed Strike Vol and the Impact of Options Expirations with Brent Kochuba

Validea

There has been a lot going on in the options world that is impacting the stock market. The use of 0DTE (0 days to expiration) options has risen dramatically in recent months, options expirations have continued to be significant market moving events and an end of month trade by a JP Morgan fund many investors haven’t heard of has also been a significant market driver.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market

Calculated Risk

At the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter this week: • Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May • 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May • Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads • Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June • Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June • 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May This is usually published 4 to 6 times a week and provides more in-depth analysis of the housing market.

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0DTE Options, Fixed Strike Vol and the Impact of Options Expirations with Brent Kochuba

Validea

There has been a lot going on in the options world that is impacting the stock market. The use of 0DTE (0 days to expiration) options has risen dramatically in recent months, options expirations have continued to be significant market moving events and an end of month trade by a JP Morgan fund many investors haven’t heard of has also been a significant market driver.

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Why Inclusive Firms Thrive

Advisor Perspectives

It can feel like inclusivity is a risky policy for a firm in the current climate, but this is not the case at all. Research has shown that companies that are more inclusive tend to perform better than less inclusive firms.

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Schedule for Week of June 18, 2023

Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are May Housing Starts and Existing Home Sales. Fed Chair Powell provides the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on Wednesday and Thursday. -- Monday, June 19th -- All US markets will be closed in observance of Juneteenth National Independence Day 10:00 AM: The June NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 51, up from 50 last month.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Postcard from India: Day at the Dump

Advisor Perspectives

India is making bold moves in ‘new energy’ and decarbonization and our recent trip reinforced our reasons to remain bullish.

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Saturday links: over-optimized operations

Abnormal Returns

Tesla Tesla's ($TSLA) great advantage comes from its charging network. (bloomberg.com) Tesla's ($TSLA) Autopilot has been involved in more crashes than previously reported. (washingtonpost.com) Autos The window is rapidly closing for EV startups to get a toehold in the market. (roadandtrack.com) Pawning off EVs to rental car customers is not doing anyone any favors.

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Help Wanted: Why Smart Companies Recruit for Diversity

Advisor Perspectives

Recruiting talent is a basic ingredient for business success. Companies that are more inclusive in their recruiting will discover better-qualified employees, which can bolster competitive advantages and help deliver better outcomes for investors.