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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 171
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Sunday links: when irrationality takes over

Abnormal Returns

Markets Market valuations aren't that helpful in the short term. axios.com) Everybody wants simpler taxes, but it never happens. bloomberg.com) Economy Consumer balance sheets are in good shape. bonddad.blogspot.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. tker.co) The U.S. nytimes.com) Policy How much the U.S.

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Sunday links: biased expectations

Abnormal Returns

Markets Cullen Roche, "This has been one of the more fascinating years in economic and market history." michaelparekh.substack.com) Venture capital Q2 2023 startup data from AngelList show median valuations back to pre-pandemic levels. should let China continue to shoot itself in the (economic) foot. nytimes.com) Why the U.S.

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10 Friday AM Reads

The Big Picture

My end-of-week, market’s-closed-but-BLS-open Good Friday reads: • Here’s What Happens at the IRS After You File Your Taxes Refunds can come in five days—or a few months. American Prospect ) see also Six Ways Existing Economic Models Are Killing the Economy : The alleged science doesn’t match up to the real world.

Valuation 286
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Estate Planning in this Economic Climate

Park Place Financial

Estates Estate Planning in this Economic Climate Schedule a Complimentary Financial Review CLICK HERE TO SCHEDULE. Between inflation, increasing interest rates, federal changes to monetary policies, and global conflict, many factors are putting a strain on the current economic situation. Create a Trust . Charitable Remainder Unitrust

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Thursday links: the cause of bubbles

Abnormal Returns

(howardlindzon.com) Private assets Why private equity needs much better valuations. axios.com) Funds Tax efficiency is the secret sauce of ETFs. bloomberg.com) Economy What does a 'no landing' economic scenario look like? ft.com) Why where investors mark the portfolios can be all over the place.

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Weekly Economic Insight – February 27, 2023

Cornerstone Financial Advisory

FOMC Says Inflation Is Still Too High Presented by Cornerstone Financial Advisory, LLC Concerns over a firmer monetary policy were heightened by fresh economic data, touching off a climb in bond yields and a slide in stock prices last week. However, members diverged on the economy, with some members finding the risk of recession elevated.