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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 171
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Sunday links: selling a product

Abnormal Returns

(theatlantic.com) Do data centers really deserve tax breaks? vox.com) Economy Some signs of economic caution. klementoninvesting.substack.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. newconsumer.com) Opportunity zones have been a disappointment. It’s my story. It’s your story. bloomberg.com) Crime The U.S.

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Sunday links: a nation of bad drivers

Abnormal Returns

philbak.substack.com) Taxes How much do higher taxes prompt millionaires to relocate? theatlantic.com) Is there a better way to maximize charitable giving instead of a tax deduction? vox.com) Trying to tax all families equitably is a dilemma. npr.org) Economy Why wealth inequality is growing.

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Friday links: quality for the long-term

Abnormal Returns

citywire.com) Economy Five economic reasons to be thankful including 'Low unemployment claims.' econbrowser.com) Falling response rates are putting economic data quality at-risk. bloomberg.com) Earlier on Abnormal Returns Podcast links: tax fairness. calculatedriskblog.com) Where do year-ahead inflation expectations sit?

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Sunday links: actual news

Abnormal Returns

(fastcompany.com) Venture capital Why VC-backed startups focused on the 'creator economy' have disappointed. nytimes.com) China is facing a lost economic decade. nytimes.com) IRS There is no shortage of wealthy people with back taxes owed. theconversation.com) Researched show stepped up tax audits more than pay for themselves.

Startup 245
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Sunday links: when irrationality takes over

Abnormal Returns

axios.com) Everybody wants simpler taxes, but it never happens. bloomberg.com) Economy Consumer balance sheets are in good shape. bonddad.blogspot.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (axios.com) Private equity return dispersion is a problem. mrzepczynski.blogspot.com) How search funds work.

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Sunday links: judgment calls

Abnormal Returns

(crr.bc.edu) We are going to need a replacement for the gasoline tax. nytimes.com) How expanded child tax credits were used. vox.com) Economy Will interest rates eventually slow the U.S. vox.com) Economy Will interest rates eventually slow the U.S. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.