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Sunday links: judgment calls

Abnormal Returns

(crr.bc.edu) We are going to need a replacement for the gasoline tax. nytimes.com) How expanded child tax credits were used. vox.com) Economy Will interest rates eventually slow the U.S. vox.com) Economy Will interest rates eventually slow the U.S. econbrowser.com) The economic schedule for the coming week.

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Strong consumer spending adds to inflationary pressures: Weekly Economic Review & Outlook

Nationwide Financial

Also, home sales activity remained subdued due to poor affordability and a low supply of existing homes for sale. Total home sales steady at a very low level Even during a very strong month for new home sales, the pace of total home sales was near an 11-year low. Key Takeaways: What we learned last week: (pg.

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Sunday links: fast pivots

Abnormal Returns

nytimes.com) Taxes Tax filing companies are lining up against the IRS offering a free filing option. npr.org) Why the IRS is scrutinizing new claims for the employee tax retention credit. washingtonpost.com) Economy American consumer behavior is normalizing. noahpinion.blog) The NBA is a model for immigration policy.

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Collapse in Prospective Home Buyer Traffic

The Big Picture

Sure, RRE/CRE is a huge part of the economy, so its health is always important. But for the purposes of our discussion about the state of the economy and rising interest rates, Real Estate is where the rubber meets the road. Rising Fed Funds Rates make capital and credit more expensive; the calculus around both debt and equity shifts.

Budgeting 363
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High Personal Tax Levels & Family Businesses

James Hendries

The Family Business Survey 2023 highlights the most pressing concerns of these enterprises, with high personal tax levels emerging as a top worry for America’s largest private employers. High Persona Tax Levels: A Barrier To Growth Family-owned businesses are crucial to the American economy.

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Sunday links: when ideas combine

Abnormal Returns

(msn.com) Cutting IRS funding reliably reduces overall tax revenue. papers.ssrn.com) Economy The world is the most equal it has been in a century. foreignaffairs.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media The music industry is being upended by huge catalogue sales.

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Market Drama

Zoe Financial

Economic Updates: The economy is slowing: we see this on the advanced estimate of Q1 GDP, purchasing managers index, the PMI index, April’s job numbers, and last week’s jobless claims all indicate that the economic growth is slowing down. Retail sales data: a good indication of how the consumer is faring.