The Irrelevant Investor

NOVEMBER 11, 2018

By Nick Maggiulli The fact that high beta firms tend to have lower quality and higher financial leverage is perhaps one good reason why the outperformance in bull markets is more than erased during bear markets By David Varadi Real math is painfully precise. Investment finance math is sales math.

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Clever Girl Finance

OCTOBER 4, 2022

Recession-proof businesses can thrive despite an economic downturn. This is because consumers become concerned about the economy or have lost their jobs and means of income. GDP is how overall economic activity is measured for a country. Here are 14 good businesses to start in a bad economy: 1. Baby products.

Food 104

Food Economy Healthcare Economics 104

David Nelson

OCTOBER 31, 2022

All companies face the challenges of a slowing economy, rising inflation and a born-again Fed that is determined to bring inflation under control even if it means pushing the economy over the edge. This blocks any attempt to challenge their leadership regardless of their economic interest in the company. Do the Math!

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Investing Caffeine

FEBRUARY 1, 2022

However, the fact remains the economy remains strong, corporate profits are at record levels, unemployment is low, and interest rates remain at attractive levels despite nagging inflation ( see chart below ) and the removal of accommodative monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Math Matters. Source: Calafia Beach Pundit.

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Nationwide Financial

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

The curve, however, continues to project cuts to the rate beginning next May, which seems optimistic given the tone of Fed officials and the math around getting inflation back close to their 2% target. The Fed Futures curve embeds an 88% chance of a 0.75% hike later this month, with a peak in the Fed Funds rate at roughly 4% (currently 2.5%).

Retail 52

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Carson Wealth

MARCH 2, 2023

Most economic research recommends a safe withdrawal rate to be no more than 2% to 4% — which could be less than you are imagining. After you’ve done this math, you might be wondering if you have “enough,” and certainly that’s hard to assess when there are so many unknowns. You might set a new record for longevity.

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Mr. Money Mustache

MAY 20, 2022

And just to amplify everything even further, China has launched a batshit crazy (and medically impossible) “zero covid” policy, locking down hundreds of millions of its own people who can no longer produce or export the things that the rest of the world’s economy had grown to rely upon. So if you’re under 40, some of this may feel unfamiliar.

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The Big Picture

JULY 28, 2023

economy has been recovering better than other countries from the worldwide instability and rising prices brought on by the Covid pandemic. I love that people with little to no knowledge or experience about the economic strength of foreign nations have zero reservations about definitively opining on just that subject.

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The Big Picture

MAY 30, 2023

And he’s really moving the needle in terms of having people take control of their own financial life in a way that benefits not just them but the entire economy and all of society. I had an economics lesson, I had a life lesson, I had an epiphany, I had a race relations lesson, I had a self-esteem and confidence lesson.

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The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. So I get the sense you guys don’t pay a whole lot of attention to the macro economy or geopolitics or what the fed’s doing. Learn math, learn history.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2023

One, one is true and I’ve always said is that I wanted people to stop, ask if I could doing math. And no one asked me if I can do math anymore with a degree from Booth, particularly in econometrics and statistics. So people really ask you, you take French and can you do math. Two reasons. What, why do we think that is?

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

You graduate Harvard in 1990, with an Economics and Computer Science degree, perfect for the explosion of the Internet; a PhD from MIT and Information Technology in ‘96. And you know, the only thing math works on recognition by peers, and there’s some prizes. So it’s been a central to what I do and who I am.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 8, 2022

ANAT ADMATI, PROFESSOR OF FIANCE AND ECONOMICS, STANFORD GRADUATE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS: So, my journey starts where I took a lot of math. I was good in math and I love the math. So, I was kind of, in my romantic mind when I was in my early 20s, I was going to take but not give back to math, that kind of thing.

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The Big Picture

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

The Company Lab was the entrepreneurship and economic development center for Chattanooga and the surrounding areas, which include North Georgia, North Alabama, and Southeast Tennessee. RITHOLTZ: What’s some of the economic sectors within that area? RITHOLTZ: Why is it not surprising that a math nerd is also a placekicker?

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David Nelson

NOVEMBER 20, 2023

Big Tech’s Market Influence Walmart’s Earnings Report as an economic indicator Small Cap Stocks – Is this the beginning of a sustained rally? God forbid the economy, or the consumer were strong. Outside of energy that mindset rained on just about every sector of the economy last year. Do the math.

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Clever Girl Finance

OCTOBER 30, 2023

Benefits of work from home jobs The gig economy is booming. In fact, more than one-third of the US workforce participates in the gig economy (that is 36% to be precise). Shared economies such as Uber and Etsy are dominating their markets presenting more and more opportunities for everyone to get a share.

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 24, 2023

STEVEN KLINSKY, FOUNDER, CEO AND MANAGING DIRECTOR, NEW MOUNTAIN CAPITAL: I come from the Detroit area of Michigan as a public school kid, went to University of Michigan and studied both economics and philosophy. So I mean, in ’07 and ’08, you know, what killed the economy in ’07 and ‘08 were mortgages going down. KLINSKY: Yeah.

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The Big Picture

OCTOBER 17, 2023

A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. What is that? The second is excess returns.

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The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

I try to analyze the economy from the top. And to this day, we know when I have a view on the economy, or usually have a view on the economy or inflation, it’s usually driven because I read so many corporate earnings reports and trying to understand why they’re cutting inventory, why are they laying off people.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 12, 2022

And so, coming out of school, I studied Economics and Spanish Literature, and I applied to a — a program that actually targeted Liberal Arts majors. I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. It was at Bank One, at the time.

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Brown Advisory

JUNE 16, 2022

The great freeze on free money has arrived with a jolt as inflation cleaves through the global economy. We discount each year at our 10% minimum weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and some infinite series maths gives us the basis for some rough approximations 2. Specifically, economics has a half-life of 9.4 GAAP in 2002 7.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 29, 2023

So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. Yes, the economy can clearly keep roaring along, which we’ve seen. So investors and savers are definitely eating into that safety net, which over time as that continues to decline should slow the economy down to some degree. One, it becomes a factor.

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The Big Picture

JANUARY 16, 2024

I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. When I look at Europe, I see a, not only a very mature area, but I also see an economy that hasn’t really recovered fully from the pandemic or arguably from the great financial crisis. I have no family history.

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The Better Letter

JANUARY 11, 2024

The economy, the markets, and the world-at-large provide unlimited fodder for them. That’s why the markets are much more of a mind game than a math game. And that’s why markets will always be exceedingly hard, even when the math seems easy or the future seems certain. ” Nobody does. And lots of surprises.

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The Big Picture

AUGUST 17, 2023

This summer’s economy is defying the odds. Financial Times Alphaville ) • How a Small Group of Firms Changed the Math for Insuring Against Natural Disasters : Climate change, inflation and global instability have thrust companies that sell insurance to insurers into the spotlight. ( My morning train WFH reads: • What recession?

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The Big Picture

JUNE 27, 2023

The economy wasn’t as dependent on the equity markets as necessarily as it is today, as we saw post ’08. We’re going to wait, we’re going to see, and we want to be supportive of the markets and the economic system. And so it’s one of these things that math works. But the Fed stepped in.

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The Irrelevant Investor

AUGUST 9, 2018

There are a lot of economic problems that we'll face in the coming years. The erosion of that bargaining power is one of the biggest economic stories of the past four decades, yet it’s less about supply and demand than about institutions and politics." The Atlantic asks Are Stock Buybacks Starving the Economy ?

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The Big Picture

APRIL 8, 2024

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ed Hyman on Using Economic Data Opportunistically , is below. So you have all of this very pragmatic experience as opposed to getting a PhD in economics, which tends to be a little more abstract and academic. I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math.

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The Big Picture

JUNE 3, 2024

Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.

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The Big Picture

JULY 31, 2023

The economic dislocation, the health risks, just the mayhem that took place, but from the perspective of a number of corporate CEOs, Bill Ackman of Pershing Square Capital, the hedge fund that had a couple of amazing trades based on this. HOFFMAN: So obviously, I’ve — you know, economically minded from the jump.

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The Big Picture

MAY 30, 2024

Simultaneously with sending those to my editor, an email arrives asking: “ If the economy is so robust, how do you explain all of these restaurant closings ?!” They sent a video from a woman, Wendy Bell, who is incensed at America’s apparent economic collapse. And she has no evidence that student loan forgiveness ruins the economy.

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The Big Picture

MAY 21, 2024

I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. I think it’s not just new economy chip purveyors, but it’s also the companies that buy the chips and become better.

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The Big Picture

MARCH 12, 2024

So in this, in this context of, of a mortgage now being clear to everyone that this default risk is present, it’s real, and it’s hard to price because following the borrower’s economic profile, there, there are defaults that are related to just life events, but there’s also defaults related to a macroeconomic event.

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The Big Picture

JULY 19, 2022

And when I was studying in university economics, I did not really get the passion. Following the financial crisis and the Fed cutting rates, economy and the market starts recovering in late 2009 and then 2010 and we kept hearing from a lot of different value corners, hey, everything is richly priced. Bonds are the most expensive.

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Aleph

FEBRUARY 18, 2023

Now she’s leading a push to legalize gambling in Texas [link] Legal gambling leaves society as a whole worse off Feb 16, 2023 As the country emerges from a pandemic that left children zoning out over Zoom, parents are turning to the turbocharged “Russian math” method to give their kids an academic edge.

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The Big Picture

APRIL 2, 2024

He is so knowledgeable about so many unusual areas in economics. You’re the author of 200 plus papers, six books, deaths of Despair, which you wrote with Anne Case who happens to be your wife, was a New York Times bestseller and your latest book, economics in America, an Immigrant Economist, explores the Land of inequality.

Healthcare 144

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David Nelson

AUGUST 8, 2022

According to the [Congressional Budget Office] and other economic organizations that have studied this bill, it will have a minimal impact on inflation,” Sanders declared on the Senate floor to open debate on the 755-page bill…. IBM Stock Buybacks since 2008 – Do the Math. Even Senator Sanders sees it.

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