The Irrelevant Investor

FEBRUARY 19, 2018

Daniel Gilbert wrote about the dangers of relying on memory in Stumbling on Happiness : Memory is less like a collection of photographs than it is like a collection of impressionist paintings rendered by an artist who takes considerable license with his subject. I discovered relatively quickly how hard it is to beat the market.

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ClearMoney

NOVEMBER 4, 2021

per year in the US,3 as validation for investing in momentum-focused strategies. Momentum-focused strategies are banking on the sheer size of the premium outweighing the costs of that turnover. One of the challenges with systematic investing is the uncertainty around premiums. Some see its outsize historical premium, 9.1%

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Trade Brains

JULY 23, 2022

We commonly hear people talking about “I wish I had invested so and so money in so and so stock at that time I could’ve been a crorepati by now” but in reality, they ignore the stocks which have even more potential right now!! Stock selections in investing may seem customary decisions at first. What are growth stocks? TRENDING TOPIC.

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Trade Brains

AUGUST 3, 2022

Investments in the railway sector include high-speed rail projects, public-private projects, and enhancement projects. As for the stocks from an investment point of view, the biggest companies are public-sector enterprises. The Railway Ministry plans to reduce the land licensing fee from 6% to 3.5% 2,17,460 crores in FY21.

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Brown Advisory

AUGUST 24, 2017

Because of the cyclical nature of many real estate markets—and especially due to the recent painful memories of the mortgage crisis—many investors think that the only way to make money in real estate is to “catch a wave”—in other words, to invest in the right place and at the right time. Low correlation with other core asset classes.

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James Hendries

MARCH 13, 2023

Instead, we got a shockingly fast collapse of a financial institution with over $200 billion in assets, which turned the market’s focus toward the stability of the banking system and what systemic risks banks might be facing. But valuations strongly favor value over growth.

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James Hendries

JULY 3, 2023

Later on, funding becomes essential, either via private equity, venture capital, or a direct relationship with investment banks, and even the Bank of Mom and Dad. A Fed pause is likely coming soon, if it’s not already here, as inflation continues to ease, supporting the case for staying fully invested.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 13, 2023

economy to avoid recession, and support above-average valuations. The relationship between inflation and stock valuations is a strong one, as shown in Figure 2 , which meant the market could no longer support price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios over 20 (the same goes for the relationship between interest rates and stock valuations).

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James Hendries

JUNE 26, 2023

Investment Outlook Stocks have had a strong rally over the past eight months to establish a new bull market. With the broad market overbought in the short-term from a technical analysis perspective and valuations elevated, stocks may be due for a pause. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 11, 2022

In markets that are focused on what can go wrong when monetary policy moves into restrictive territory, as it is now with global central banks raising interest rates to curtail stubbornly high inflation, the health of the banking system is always a top concern. Bank of England Forced to Step in to Save Pension Funds.

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Sara Grillo

NOVEMBER 14, 2022

He is a flat fee advisor; not a licensed insurance agent. Financial advisors have many options at their hands to solve it, from financial planning and investment management services to fixed products such as annuities. Fee only advisors can now purchase annuities for their clients without having to be licensed agents.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 23, 2022

At this rate, home sales will likely continue to slow and residential investment could turn out to be a drag on Q3 economic growth. The banking sector is better capitalized, we do not see a “Lehman moment” lurking, and homeowners are generally not under water with loan-to-value metrics. Conclusion.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 4, 2022

Market reforms, trade with the West, and allowing foreign investment led to an economic boom that was characterized by the World Bank as “the fastest sustained expansion by a major economy in history.” Similarly, Chinese entities, especially real-estate companies, invested throughout the U.S. At the same time, U.S. and Europe.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 18, 2022

But overall, we would expect modest estimate cuts to be received positively by markets, supported by lower valuations and depressed investor sentiment. rather than 4%) could prop up valuations, stocks will likely take their cues from earnings in the near term. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 26, 2023

Margins will deteriorate further in the short-term but companies are taking steps to manage costs after preparing for recession for months now—especially the big banks as we have heard during their earnings reports. We believe China-heavy emerging market equities are more of a trade than a long-term investment at this point.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

Growth stocks typically trade at higher valuations on the premise that an investor is buying a company now that will grow to be a much larger company, producing higher levels of cash and profit in the future. Increasing the discount rate, which lowers the present value of future cash flows, and company valuations.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 20, 2023

Using the S&P 500 as the investible universe, a hypothetical long-only portfolio is constructed of the top quintile (top 20 percent) of stocks’ estimate revisions composite score. We saw that in the challenges the banks faced in their reports on Friday, January 13 (an inauspicious date to start earnings season).

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James Hendries

JUNE 20, 2023

Summary and Investment Outlook Periods of economic regime shifts are difficult for policymakers to manage. Treasuries, agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and short-maturity investment grade corporates) are currently more attractive than plus sectors (high-yield bonds and non-U.S.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors and they do not take into account the particular needs, investment objectives, tax and financial condition of any specific person. Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal. Bond yields are subject to change.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 3, 2022

However, the central bank could begin cutting again in the back half of 2023 if the economy shows significant weakness. That doesn’t take away from the fact that higher inflation is causing consumer spending to slow, while higher interest rates are weighing heavily on business investment. if the labor market remains stable.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 30, 2022

In our Midyear Outlook 2022: Navigating Turbulence , released back in mid-July, we wrote that it was tough to see the bull case through the cloud cover, but that an improved macroeconomic environment may set the stage for higher valuations, further earnings growth, and solid gains for stocks over the rest of the year.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Stock valuations are higher but bond yields are still low enough to support valuations with the 10-year Treasury yield well under 3% despite the big jobs number. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

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James Hendries

JANUARY 31, 2023

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. All investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.

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James Hendries

OCTOBER 25, 2022

As more metrics start blinking red, sticking to long-term investing plans with the guidance from a financial professional is becoming more and more important. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 20, 2022

That is, the Fed will only allow its balance sheet to shrink incrementally over time while also paying attention to the impact QT is having on the banking system. The reserves disappear from the banking system with a few keyboard strokes just as they appeared with a few strokes during QE. Conclusion.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 22, 2022

Marc Zabicki , CFA , Chief Investment Officer, LPL Financial . Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. All index data from Bloomberg.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

That said, for those income-oriented investors who mostly or exclusively hold bonds and don’t need fixed income to diversify stock holdings, we think there are ample opportunities in shorter maturity Treasury and investment-grade corporate securities. Core plus bond funds have more latitude to invest in out-of-benchmark (i.e.,

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James Hendries

MARCH 6, 2023

Higher interest rates are challenging stock valuations and perhaps pushing the gains further out in 2023, but we still see solid potential for double-digit returns for stocks this year. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly.

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James Hendries

NOVEMBER 1, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.

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James Hendries

SEPTEMBER 7, 2022

in September (source: Bespoke Investment Group). Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. All index data from FactSet.

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James Hendries

AUGUST 15, 2022

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. It is also a major component used to calculate the price-to-earnings valuation ratio.

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James Hendries

DECEMBER 4, 2022

Retailer valuations have also taken a hit, as the forward (next 12 months) P/E multiple has contracted ~20% year to date, from ~27x to ~22x currently. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. All index data from Bloomberg.

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Diamond Consultants

DECEMBER 20, 2022

Record valuations and sophisticated buyers, like private equity firms with deep pockets and healthy appetites to acquire high-quality businesses, caused many employee teams to reconsider the big picture in ways they had not before. The breakaway movement from RIAs will continue to accelerate and hit an all-time high.

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The Big Picture

SEPTEMBER 5, 2023

And we’d sort of turn that into a valuation business. MILLER: Well actually I thought, leading up to the great financial crisis, I thought to myself, we’re going to be out of business within a couple of years because nobody wanted an independent valuation. What are the, you know, I’d literally have it in my handheld.

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The Big Picture

FEBRUARY 7, 2023

BARRY RITHOLTZ, HOST, MASTERS IN BUSINESS: This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest, Bill Cohan is a fixture on Wall Street for a long time, both as an investment banker at Lazard Freres and eventually Merrill and JPMorgan Chase, as well as an author. RITHOLTZ: So, you ended up becoming an investment banker.

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James Hendries

JULY 6, 2022

While we acknowledge that a V-shaped recovery is probably not in the cards and prior valuation targets no longer appear achievable, we remain constructive on equities for the second half, but not complacent. Remember stock valuations are inversely correlated to inflation and interest rates. So a P/E over 20 is probably too rich.

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