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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 186
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Sunday links: a satellite asset

Abnormal Returns

npr.org) Using Russian sovereign assets to rebuild Ukraine would be unprecedented. tker.co) The economic schedule for the coming week. (barrons.com) Boeing's ($BA) downfall is a wakeup call. businessinsider.com) Global At least 19,000 Ukrainian children have been spirited away to Russia illegally.

Assets 257
Insiders

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Economic Momentum

Alpha Architect

Strong empirical evidence demonstrates that momentum (both cross-sectional and time-series) provides information on the cross-section of returns of many risk assets and has generated alpha relative to existing asset pricing models. Economic Momentum was originally published at Alpha Architect.

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Underperforming Your Own Assets

The Big Picture

I have addressed Tax Alpha before ( see this and this ); but Pomp indirectly raised a very different issue: Why do people underperform their own assets? Essentially, he was referring to the entire field of behavioral economics. That underperformance between asset class returns and investor returns is the behavior gap.

Assets 246
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Thursday links: economic realities

Abnormal Returns

economist.com) Fund management Avantis Investors is adding assets and launching new ETFs. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Seven economics books worth checking out including "For a Dollar and a Dream: State Lotteries in Modern America" by Jonathan D. axios.com) Some banks are holding the line on job cuts.

Economics 195
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Sunday links: a useful asset

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Five insights from "Economics in America: An Immigrant Economist Explores the Land of Inequality" by Angust Deaton. calculatedriskblog.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. (crr.bc.edu) The U.S. healthcare system is increasingly difficult to navigate for patients. ritholtz.com) Rate hikes are working.

Assets 227
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Tuesday links: buying cheaper assets

Abnormal Returns

newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Just how much is China's economic growth slowing? (abnormalreturns.com) Are you a financial adviser looking for some out-of-the-box thinking? Then check out our weekly e-mail newsletter. libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org) Why some young Russians who fled have chosen to return.

Assets 224