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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

With a plethora of interdependent and ever-changing parts, gaining a clear (or even not-terribly-fuzzy) understanding of where the economy stands at any given moment is a daunting task, to say the least. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 174
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Sunday links: a satellite asset

Abnormal Returns

npr.org) Using Russian sovereign assets to rebuild Ukraine would be unprecedented. nber.org) Economy The Federal Reserve has all the data in the world, and still gets things wrong. tker.co) The economic schedule for the coming week. (barrons.com) Boeing's ($BA) downfall is a wakeup call.

Assets 230
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Sunday links: a useful asset

Abnormal Returns

wsj.com) Five insights from "Economics in America: An Immigrant Economist Explores the Land of Inequality" by Angust Deaton. currentaffairs.org) Economy The Sahm rule did not trigger in October 2023. currentaffairs.org) Economy The Sahm rule did not trigger in October 2023. ritholtz.com) Rate hikes are working.

Assets 202
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Thursday links: economic realities

Abnormal Returns

economist.com) Fund management Avantis Investors is adding assets and launching new ETFs. theconversation.com) Economy The quit rate continues to slow. newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Seven economics books worth checking out including "For a Dollar and a Dream: State Lotteries in Modern America" by Jonathan D.

Economics 175
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Tuesday links: buying cheaper assets

Abnormal Returns

hypercritical.co) Economy Case-Shiller showed a 2.6% newsletter.abnormalreturns.com) Mixed media Just how much is China's economic growth slowing? (coindesk.com) Apple AI is coming to Apple ($AAPL) GPUs. om.co) Apple TV+ just doesn't have a big enough library. variety.com) Why Apple ($AAPL) should make its batteries removable.

Assets 200
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Podcast links: fake podcast invites

Abnormal Returns

spyglass.org) Economy Barry Ritholtz talks with Bill McBride about which economic data really matters. ritholtz.com) James Pethokoukis talks economic optimism with Ed Yardeni. The biz Beware the fake podcast invite. bigtechnology.com) The Apple ($AAPL)-Spotify ($SPOT) battle is just exhausting.

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Sunday links: overlooked downsides

Abnormal Returns

billion in assets in 28 ETFs. npr.org) Economy Q2 GDP is tracking above 3.0%. calculatedriskblog.com) Two reasons why the economy is still so strong. apolloacademy.com) The labor economy continues to soften. disciplinefunds.com) The economic schedule for the coming week. cnn.com) ETFs Avantis now has $43.4