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The Most Unattractive Stocks Have Looked Since 2008

Validea

Over the next 12 months, the S&P 500 dropped 45%, the Fed slashed rates down to next-to-nothing, and valuations evened out while bond yields plunged. But high valuations don’t necessarily stem stock prices from going up, and the market is more resilient to rising interest rates now than in the past, the article contends.

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Revisiting the Market Valuation in the Wake of This Year’s Decline

Validea

With the S&P 500 now close to 20% off its highs, I thought now might be a good time to look to our market valuation tool to see where things stand. But before I do that, I wanted to first cover two caveats I always put in articles about market valuation. With that all being said, let’s look at the current valuation data.

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America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake

The Big Picture

Since 2008, the Census Bureau has included government transfers in its Supplemental Poverty Measure. ” In 2008. For the record, Census published its first study on the valuation of so-called “in-kind transfer benefits” in 1982. It is untrue. You may remember Phil Gramm. He’s the (thankfully) former U.S.

Math 246
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Why International Diversification Is Still The Prudent Strategy (While Keeping Behavioral Biases, Risks, And Results In A Healthy Perspective)

Nerd's Eye View

stock market has, on average, outperformed international equities over the last 15 years since emerging from the Great Recession of 2008, many investors argue that international diversification is a poor allocation of dollars that would otherwise be earning more in the U.S. As the U.S. The outperformance of U.S.

Valuation 232
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MiB: Edward Chancellor on the Real Story of Interest 

The Big Picture

In 2008, he received the George Polk Award for financial reporting. We discuss Chancellor’s history as an analyst interested in speculative bubbles, which led him to write a research paper on valuations and why the dotcom bubble looks a lot like other historical bubbles.

Valuation 297
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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles Ultra-low interest rates make the economics of using cheap debt to buy small companies at a low valuation and selling them at a higher one look pretty attractive. By Howard Lindzon) Millennium has generated an average calendar-year return of 14% for the past 33 years, with only one loss year in 2008. Marc Rubins.

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MiB: David Einhorn, Greenlight Capital

The Big Picture

He famously shorted Allied Capital in the 2ooos and Lehman Brothers about a year before it collapsed into bankruptcy in 2008. Since inception, Greenlight has generated about 13% annually, and ~290o% total return versus the S&P500’s 1117% total and 9.5% annual returns.

Banking 186