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MiB: Edward Chancellor on the Real Story of Interest 

The Big Picture

In 2008, he received the George Polk Award for financial reporting. We discuss Chancellor’s history as an analyst interested in speculative bubbles, which led him to write a research paper on valuations and why the dotcom bubble looks a lot like other historical bubbles.

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Market Commentary: Checking In on Market Fundamentals

Carson Wealth

economy continues to look solid, with markets rallying Friday after a stronger-than-expected jobs report. Pockets of attractive valuations exist despite above-average valuations in some high-profile areas of the market. economy, and the job market is leading the way. Payroll growth picked up in recent months.

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Wednesday links: late strategizing

Abnormal Returns

Markets Market valuations are a lot more attractive than they were a year ago. axios.com) Mortgage rates are at their highest level since October 2008. finance.yahoo.com) Economy Auto loan delinquencies are on the rise. blog.validea.com) Visualizing U.S. interest rates since 2020.

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Is Big Tech’s dominance over?

Nationwide Financial

These recurring shifts in the composition of the benchmark stock Index can offer insight into how different factors, such as cyclicality, long-term growth potential, and valuation, may impact stock performance in the future. This is a significant increase from 1990, when the tech sector comprised just 6.3% of the Index.

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Should You Worry About “Recession” Risk?

Discipline Funds

On one side you have optimists who have been saying that the US economy remains robust and on the other side you have pessimists who are worried about recession and a potential 2008 scenario. In our view we’re still in the “muddle through” camp as it pertains to the economy.

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Market Commentary: Carson Investment Research Looks at the Year Ahead

Carson Wealth

We believe the odds of a recession remain low, with continued income growth, a recovery in rate-sensitive cyclical areas of the economy, and untapped potential for productivity gains helping to support the expansion. Market participants, strategists, policymakers, and the economy rarely saw eye to eye. We continue to favor the U.S.,

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Paul Singer, Who Predicted The Economic Crises, On What’s Next

Validea

Paul Singer, founder of Elliott Management and well-known for predicting the financial crisis of 2008, calls the current environment “an extraordinarily dangerous and confusing period,” in an interview with The Wall Street Journal. government debt which now has a solid return thanks to the inverted yield curve.