article thumbnail

The Frenzy in the Stock Market

Truemind Capital

Thinking about all this, I felt I had read about this and observed it in 2007. However, I would insist on following an asset allocation plan with discipline, which is unaffected by the emotions of greed and fear. Asset allocation should follow probabilities of future outcomes along with risk profile.

article thumbnail

Trend Following Says Commodities…But Nothing Else!

Alpha Architect

But we do know that post-1973 we entered a world where, for several decades (at least up to around 2007), both bonds and commodities were an important component of a diversified portfolio. The last time this happened we entered a long period of high inflation and poor real returns. Will this happen again?

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Wait, Maybe We Can Mimic Harvard

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

Here's the latest about Harvard from Bloomberg that included this chart of the asset allocation. It's not that someone could not copy the asset class exposure, just that the return streams would not look the same and often, various forms of sophistication replication does not really work in fund form. Black is 2023.

article thumbnail

Weekend Reading – Is Inflation Dead?

Discipline Funds

In other words, if you’re 65 in 2007 and 100% invested in stocks and then 2008 happens then you end up going back to work until you’re at least 70. And the only way that disaster happens is if your financial planner is making irrational projections about asset returns and your asset allocation.

article thumbnail

Bernstein on Bulletproof

Random Roger's Retirement Planning

That is not guessing what markets will do, that is just managing asset allocation and cash needs. Remember, the peak in the S&P 500 in October, 2007 was 1565. The Permanent Portfolio equal weights equities, long bonds, cash and gold with the theory that no matter what, at least one of those four will be doing well.

article thumbnail

Hold Cash or Invest? History Shows Cash Isn’t King for Long

Darrow Wealth Management

The federal funds rate hasn’t been this high since 2007 when it peaked at 5.25%. Consider your objectives Before making an asset allocation decision, always keep in mind what you’re trying to accomplish. In fact, the Federal Reserve has raised the upper limit federal funds rate by 5% since the beginning of 2022.

article thumbnail

How to prepare your portfolio for the uncertain future?

Truemind Capital

One can prepare a customized plan depending upon their investment liking and understanding of different asset classes, sub-categories, and their own risk profile. Having a sense of market/asset class cycles and at which stage we could be in that cycle helps tremendously.