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Collapse in Prospective Home Buyer Traffic

The Big Picture

At the beginning of each quarter, I prepare a short but in-depth conference call for RWM clients. When recession probabilities tick up to nearly 100% for the next year, this is where those expectations begin. Previously : How Everybody Miscalculated Housing Demand (July 29, 2021). This is atypical.

Budgeting 363
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

The Big Picture

They run over $800 billion in client assets, and Kristen’s group, the North American Group, is responsible for about half of the revenue that that massive organization generates. She really has an incredible background in everything from capital markets to derivatives, to wealth management. Her name is Kristen Bitterly Michell.

Clients 290
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Transcript: Michael Carmen, Wellington

The Big Picture

Michael Carmen is co-head of private Markets at Wellington Management. Tell us a little bit about the firm’s history and how it’s evolved over the past a hundred years.  The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Michael Carmen, Co-Head, Private Investments, Wellington Management , is below. Really interesting.

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Transcript: Stephen Suttmeier

The Big Picture

The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Stephen Suttmeier, BAML Chief Equity Technical Strategist , is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , YouTube , and Bloomberg. 00:00:08 [ Barry Ritholtz ] This week on the podcast, I have a special guest. I was there from 9 89 to 93.

Marketing 154
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Transcript: Gary Cohn

The Big Picture

If you’re at all interested in that, you’ll find this to be an absolutely masterclass in how legislation is assembled, how it’s shepherded through the house, through the senate, through all the competing interest groups. Starting at the beginning of the administration in 2017.

Taxes 271
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Transcript: Peter Atwater

The Big Picture

Peter has had a fascinating career in finance, JP Morgan Bank, one, a few other large places where he got to see how people’s sentiment and confidence levels affected their decision making. These are things that can be measured, and from those measurements, you could get a sense of what’s likely to come next.

Banking 253
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Transcript: David Snyderman, Magnetar Capital

The Big Picture

David Snyderman has put together an incredible career in fixed income, alternative credit, and really just an amazing way of looking at risk and trade structure and how to figure out probabilistic potential outcomes rather than playing the usual forecasting and macro tourist game. They’re pretty unique and specific in the world.

Banking 143