February, 2019

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Killer Vees

The Irrelevant Investor

The S&P 500 just rocketed 18% higher in only 44 days. A bounce of this magnitude makes a mockery of risk management. This is the ninth time stocks have experienced a killer vee bottom since 1970. I refer to them as killer vees because they suck for everyone. It makes buy and hold investors sweat and it makes mincemeat of most tactical investors.

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Outlook for 2019 | The Measure of All Things

Brown Advisory

Outlook for 2019 | The Measure of All Things. ajackson. Fri, 02/15/2019 - 09:12. Last year, our annual outlook publication, Confronting the Unknown , focused on risk: how we define it, how we measure it, and what we saw as the major risks facing investors in 2018. The discussion, unfortunately, was timely given the market volatility we experienced last year.

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Does it Ever Make Sense to Take a Personal Loan?

Wealth Pilgrim

If you are in tight financial spot – you’re probably looking at any and all sources of fast cash. Among those options are personal loans. But what is a personal loan? Where can you get such loans? And are they a good idea or a treacherous financial trap? Below, I’m going to answer these questions […]. The post Does it Ever Make Sense to Take a Personal Loan?

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Animal Spirits: The Rich Man’s Disease

The Irrelevant Investor

On today's Animal Spirits, we discuss: Desks were not meant to be our altars Wealthy and miserable Berkshire letter This guy actually put $10,000 into Microsoft at its IPO More credit card debt than emergency savings A survey I don't trust A different look at sequence of returns Inheritances Cell phone addictions Listen here Charts mentioned Tweets mentioned [link] The post Animal Spirits: The Rich Man’s Disease appeared first on The Irrelevant Investor.

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Elevating Accounting Practices: The Power of Outsourcing and Automation in the Digital Age

Speaker: Nancy Wu, Head of Sales and Customer Success at SkyStem

Join us for an enlightening webinar as we delve into the transformative realm of modern accounting practices. In today's digital age, the convergence of outsourcing and automation has revolutionized how businesses manage their financial operations. In this webinar we will explore the synergistic potential of these two strategies to streamline processes, enhance accuracy, save cost and drive strategic decision-making.

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Numbers Are Not Reality

The Irrelevant Investor

One of the more unsettling realities of investing is that we cannot rely on data from the past to guide us in the future. It's important that investors learn about market history and have a basic understanding of math, but beyond that, less might actually be more. In Enough , Jack Bogle wrote: Numbers are not reality. At best, they are a pale reflection of reality.

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The Future of Real Estate

The Irrelevant Investor

When I bought my apartment in 2015 I hired a broker. When I went to sell, however, I did it on my own. Sort of. I've never sold a piece of real estate before so why did I think I could pull this off? Let me tell you about my experience on the buy side: I found this apartment on Street Easy. I had my broker reach out to the seller's broker to schedule an appointment.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles Where’s the Venn diagram overlap between why writers write and why readers read? By Meb Faber Think of the U.S. stock market as one holding company named USA, Inc By Ehren Stanhope Investors do not like to bet on underdogs By Ryan Krueger How many thousands of quarterly investment letters have gone out to how many millions of investors entitled “ Much Ado About Nothing “ By Josh Brown Do you really think you are going to be one of the lucky ones By Nick Maggiulli A different kind of stu

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Animal Spirits: Denominator Blindess

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is presented by YCharts Mention Animal Spirits to receive 20% off (*New YCharts users only) Stories discussed: Zillow wants to flip your house Are auto loans the next subprime? Student loans for people over 600 How big should your next egg be? New Mauboussin Charlie Munger has no filter Wealthfront cash account Tax returns are down Listen here Recommendations An Economist Walks Into a Brothel To Sell is Human Charts mentioned Tweets mentioned [link] [link] The post Anima

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The Purge

The Irrelevant Investor

Do investors really need to hear from management every 90 days? The 13-week cycle of reporting earnings and issuing guidance breeds short-term thinking and invites the wrong kinds of questions. Going from quarterly reporting to a biannual system could allow for a sharper focus on running the business rather than wasting time on the business of managing earnings and investor's expectations.

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2024 Lending Outlook: Innovations and Evolutions in the Financial Sector

As we step into 2024, the lending landscape evolves rapidly with technology, regulations, and market dynamics driving change. For banks and financial institutions to stay competitive and meet the evolving needs of their customers, these drivers must be understood and engaged with. Lenders can anticipate significant transformation fueled by technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer behaviors.

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles Crowded trades work until they don’t By Michael Mauboussin Every recession begins with a softening of the data, but so too does every weak patch in the economy. By Tim Duy Investors are typically led to develop their factor return expectations with little more than an extrapolation of the factor’s past paper-portfolio returns. By Rob Arnott, Vitali Kalesnik, Campbell Harvey, and Juhani Linnainmaa The gatekeepers at the big wirehouses, brokers, and home offices decide which ETFs see the

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The Elimination of Risk

The Irrelevant Investor

Earlier this week I moderated a session at Inside ETFs called "How to capture outperformance and manage risk." Before tackling the challenges of outperformance, I wanted to ask everybody how they think about the amorphous concept of risk. The responses ran the gamut from "the chance of permanent loss of capital" to "the chance of running out of money" and everything in between.

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Pop Quiz: What is the Best Way to Save for College?

Brown Advisory

Pop Quiz: What is the Best Way to Save for College? ajackson Thu, 02/14/2019 - 15:03 Every year, college gets more expensive. Picking the right savings strategy can be the key to accomplishing your family’s personal goals. For many parents, paying for college is the largest expense/investment they will ever face within a concentrated period of time.

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Pop Quiz: What is the Best Way to Save for College?

Brown Advisory

Pop Quiz: What is the Best Way to Save for College? ajackson. Thu, 02/14/2019 - 15:03. Every year, college gets more expensive. Picking the right savings strategy can be the key to accomplishing your family’s personal goals. For many parents, paying for college is the largest expense/investment they will ever face within a concentrated period of time.

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Banking on Loyalty: Holistic Financial Advice for Unparalleled Business Growth

Speaker: Joe Buhrmann, MBA, CFP®, CLU®, ChFC® Senior Financial Planning Practice Management Consultant eMoney Advisor

During an era of evolving consumer preferences, the banking sector is undergoing a profound shift. As customers continue to broaden their perspectives, banking professionals must support their customers' financial wellness by providing holistic financial advice that aligns with individual goals and circumstances. Without adapting, financial institutions will find that loyalty may crumble amid uncertainty.

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Animal Spirits: The Rich Man’s IRA

The Irrelevant Investor

Today’s Animal Spirits is presented by YCharts Mention Animal Spirits to receive 20% off (*New YCharts users only) Stories discussed: Record flows out of stock funds The ETF business is not easy A new way to think about stocks in retirement Mind-boggling mistakes Expected returns for private equity The Jim Simons IRA One of the best stock pickers ever hangs up his cleats Listen here Recommendations: The War of Art Grant Charts mentioned: Tweets mentioned: [link] The post Animal Spirits: The R

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles Even if you are somewhat decent at calling bottoms, you would still lose in the long run By Nick Maggiulli We may now understand the magic, but only the magician could have created the trick. By John Rekenthaler The law most likely to govern here is the Law of Unintended Consequences By Jason Zweig The illiquidity premium was assumed to be a foregone conclusion by any institutional investors.

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Miss the Worst Days, Miss the Best Days

The Irrelevant Investor

If you missed just the 25 strongest days in the stock market since 1990, you might as well have been in five year treasury notes. This remarkable data point is almost always followed by "time in the market beats timing the market." I'm generally on board with this line of thinking, however, I don't necessarily agree that this chart is the best way to prove this point.

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Muni Bonds: Winners in 2018 and Bright Skies Ahead for 2019

Brown Advisory

Muni Bonds: Winners in 2018 and Bright Skies Ahead for 2019 ajackson Thu, 02/07/2019 - 08:44 Municipal bonds held their ground in 2018, and truly shined when equity markets were punished during the fourth quarter. For the year, munis outperformed not only equities, but other major fixed income sectors as well. We are optimistic about opportunities in the muni market in 2019.

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Navigating Financial Storms: Strategies for Building Resilient Balance Sheets

Speaker: Carolina Aponte - Owner and CEO, Caja Holdings LLC

In today's rapidly changing business environment, building a resilient balance sheet is crucial to the survival of any business. A resilient balance sheet allows a company to withstand financial shocks and adapt to changing market conditions. To achieve this, companies need to focus on key strategies such as maintaining adequate liquidity, managing debt levels, diversifying revenue streams, and prioritizing profitability over growth.

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Muni Bonds: Winners in 2018 and Bright Skies Ahead for 2019

Brown Advisory

Muni Bonds: Winners in 2018 and Bright Skies Ahead for 2019. ajackson. Thu, 02/07/2019 - 08:44. Municipal bonds held their ground in 2018, and truly shined when equity markets were punished during the fourth quarter. For the year, munis outperformed not only equities, but other major fixed income sectors as well. We are optimistic about opportunities in the muni market in 2019.

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Video Killed the Radio Star

The Irrelevant Investor

Not sure the title of this post makes any sense but I couldn't think of something better. I did a hit yesterday with Michael Santoli at CNBC talking about the latest rally and if it might soon fizzle out (spoiler, I don't know). Why aren't I smiling you might be wondering? Why aren't I looking into the camera? I can't see Michael talking, I'm staring into a black screen.

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Was This a Dead Cat Bounce?

The Irrelevant Investor

What a comeback. The move over the past few weeks has the bulls saying "We're still here" (I'm sorry) The fourth quarter decline was so steep, however, that despite the bounce, the S&P 500 is still below its 200-day moving average. What just happened is a fairly rare occurrence, so I put on my data mining hat to see if history could give us a clue as to what might happen next.

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Animal Spirits: Banning Buybacks

The Irrelevant Investor

Today's Animal Spirits is presented by YCharts Mention Animal Spirits to receive 20% off (*New YCharts users only) Stories discussed Facebook employees make a lot of money Are we sure buybacks aren't evil? Google is spending money on.R&D and capex Ben on institutional investors Dalio dumped Fyre festival pitch deck Raise your own interest rate Acorns partners with CNBC Listen here Recommendations Amusing Ourselves to Death Charts mentioned Tweets mentioned [link] The post Animal Spirits: B

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Putting the ‘Tech’ in Spend Management Techniques

Speaker: Wayne Spivak, President and CFO of SBA * Consulting Ltd., Industry Writer, Public Speaker

If you’re lost in the world of spend management needs and your GAP analysis is lacking perspective on the future state of your business performance, listen up! With the advancement of technology, the implementation of spend management best practices and concrete GAP analyses is more streamlined and accessible than ever before. And while this may sound like great news for you and your clients, it won’t be worthwhile unless you have the latest techniques to back up your ambitions!

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These Are the Goods

The Irrelevant Investor

Articles The difference between the perfect idiot and the man with perfect foresight By Drew Dickson Greed is expecting back more than you deserve given what you put in By Morgan Housel There is almost always another side By Jack Forehand Their performance was not related to their underlying holdings By John Rekenthaler For that alone, the bet was worth the price of admission.

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The Economics of Owning a Home

The Irrelevant Investor

Should you rent or should you buy? Whether the item is a car or a home, this is a big question that does not fall neatly into the "yes" or "no" pile. There are hard and soft factors to consider, and like everything else in life, tradeoffs abound. Consider the case of a home. Owning provides you with an asset over the long term, but it's also a massive liability in the here and now.

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The Case for Permanent Life Insurance

The Irrelevant Investor

I never aspired to be an insurance salesman. I ended up in that role because the barriers to entry are non-existent, and more importantly, because I didn't have other options. Like a lot of young people who enter that world, I was chewed up and spit out in a short period of time. In any industry where the seller's livelihood depends upon commissions, they are incentivized to sell the more expensive product, in this case, permanent life insurance.

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Un-Complicating Investing

The Irrelevant Investor

I spend the majority of this space writing about the challenges associated with investing. I even wrote a whole book on it. Why am I such a Debbie Downer when it comes to this stuff? Well, maybe it's sour grapes. Look, I tried for years to beat the market, couldn't do it. Then over time I came around to the idea that trying to beat the market, in the words of Charlie Ellis, is a loser's game.

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Connect, Care, Convert: Secrets to Establishing Trust with Niche Markets and Turning Them Into Clients

Speaker: Lynnette Khalfani-Cox, The Money Coach®

Niche markets represent a huge opportunity for the financial services industry in America. From college students and women to communities of color and low-to-moderate-income households, niche populations have specialized financial needs – but they often underutilize many valuable financial products and services. How can you better connect with these consumers?